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Primeira LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Sporting CP vs Arouca match centre

Sporting CP badgeSporting CPHome · 3 in league
WWWD
Momentum↘ Falling79/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Arouca badgeAroucaAway · 5 in league
LWDL
Momentum↘ Falling32/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Gonçalo Inácio3′
Luis Suárez17′
Jose Fontán81′ (pen)
Dylan Nandín87′
Estádio José Alvalade · LisbonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:56 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 19:26 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.17Estimated chance 64.7%Pre-match estimate Draw8.00Estimated chance 20.4%Pre-match estimate Away win13.00Estimated chance 14.9%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 19:26 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Sporting CPArouca
4Corner Kicks2
7Fouls17
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total passes378
410Passes accurate335

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sporting CP 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Arouca 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 19 Sep, 20:26 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sporting CP

8/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 9 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sporting CP’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Arouca

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Arouca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sporting CP at home with Arouca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 11:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Sporting CPArouca
6Matches played6
14Points earned10
4Wins3
2.5Goals scored / match1.3
1.0Goals conceded / match0.8
2Clean sheets3
0Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sporting CP at home with Arouca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Sporting CP

4wins
1 draw

Arouca

0wins

Mar 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sporting CP

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
  1. 1Rui SilvaG
  2. 22Iván FresnedaD
  3. 6Z. DebastD
  4. 25Gonçalo InácioD
  5. 20M. AraújoD
  6. 5Sergi AltimiraM
  7. 77I. DoumbiaM
  8. 10Geny CatamoM
  9. 17R. ZalazarM
  10. 19N. IrankundaM
  11. 97L. SuárezF
Substitutes (12)

28 · J. Derry

4 · S. Andersen

50 · Rodrigo Dias

58 · Flávio Gonçalves

7 · F. Ioannidis

30 · Kaique

31 · Luis Guilherme

9 · Rafael Ferreira Nel

21 · Pedro Lima

72 · Eduardo Quaresma

8 · João Simões

13 · G. Vagiannidis

Arouca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
  1. 12I. de ArruabarrenaG
  2. 28Tiago EsgaioD
  3. 15Javi SánchezD
  4. 3José FontánD
  5. 18O. LebedenkoD
  6. 6E. van EeM
  7. 8T. FukuiM
  8. 19A. TrezzaM
  9. 21Mateo FloresM
  10. 7N. DjouahraM
  11. 17BarberoF
Substitutes (12)

37 · Mario Climent

1 · J. Vinarčík

20 · G. Rukavina

5 · B. Popović

89 · Pedro Santos

77 · S. Park

23 · D. Nandín

4 · Diogo Monteiro

9 · F. Mayulu

24 · B. Mansilla

27 · Mamadu Balde

71 · M. Duarte

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Arouca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mario Climent00.000000
Barbero866.400581
N. Djouahra906.2001360
Mateo Flores456.100090
José Fontán906.7101661
T. Fukui907.2001451
O. Lebedenko906.6000357
Javi Sánchez866.2003411
Tiago Esgaio906.5001342
A. Trezza696.0002101
E. van Ee596.4000222
I. de Arruabarrena906.3000240
B. Mansilla216.6000100
F. Mayulu46.500010
Diogo Monteiro00.000000
D. Nandín48.110100
S. Park00.000000
Pedro Santos316.9000370
B. Popović00.000000
G. Rukavina456.8000120
J. Vinarčík00.000000
Mamadu Balde00.000000
M. Duarte00.000000

Sporting CP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Derry00.000000
Sergi Altimira906.9000592
M. Araújo907.1011352
Geny Catamo906.3002331
Z. Debast545.8001690
I. Doumbia866.5001230
Iván Fresneda907.2010401
Gonçalo Inácio908.1102841
N. Irankunda576.2001140
L. Suárez867.8101240
R. Zalazar666.9000221
S. Andersen246.5000130
Rui Silva906.8000390
Rodrigo Dias00.000000
Flávio Gonçalves00.000000
F. Ioannidis46.700030
Kaique00.000000
Luis Guilherme00.000000
Rafael Ferreira Nel00.000000
Pedro Lima46.300131
Eduardo Quaresma335.9000190
João Simões00.000000
G. Vagiannidis00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSporting CPDrawArouca
William Hill1.148.0015.00
Bet3651.178.0013.00
Marathonbet1.138.2015.25
Betfair1.138.5016.00
BetVictor1.147.0013.00

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 19:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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