FC St. Pauli
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREFC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Joel Chima Fujita88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
18Total Shots10
40%Ball Possession60%
10Corner Kicks4
12Fouls8
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
327Total passes509
262Passes accurate446
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
VfL Wolfsburg
5/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC St. Pauli
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga2–21. FC KaiserslauternHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2Rot-Weiß EssenAway · DFB Pokal0–2Holstein KielAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Deportivo La CorunaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2BournemouthAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4HNK GoricaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1SV Babelsberg 03Away · Friendlies Clubs4–1Kickers EmdenAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
VfL Wolfsburg
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Energie CottbusHome · 2. Bundesliga4–4Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga5–2AltglienickeAway · DFB Pokal2–2Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga1–01. FC KaiserslauternHome · 2. Bundesliga0–0TelstarHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1LyonHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2VerlHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0SchöningenAway · Friendlies Clubs8–2SC Paderborn 07Away · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with VfL Wolfsburg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with VfL Wolfsburg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
FC St. Pauli
0wins4MEETINGS
VfL Wolfsburg
1winsApr 2011 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with FC St. Pauli first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2M. Rapp
- 1
B. VollG - 11
A. PyrkaD - 4
D. NemethD - 21
L. RitzkaD - 23
L. OppieD - 8
E. SmithM - 7
Y. NiangM - 20
M. RasmussenM - 16
J. FujitaM - 24
C. MetcalfeF - 9
Abdoulie CeesayF
Substitutes (9)
22 · Samuel Klein
19 · M. Kaars
26 · R. Jones
18 · T. Hara
25 · A. Dźwigała
17 · S. Banks
14 · E. Ahlstrand
33 · D. Mitov
46 · J. Westphal
VfL Wolfsburg
Confirmed formation4-3-3Tobias Strobl
- 30
J. ZielińskiG - 2
K. FischerD - 6
H. WahlD - 33
CleitonD - 21
J. MæhleD - 20
M. DamarM - 5
Vinicius SouzaM - 32
M. SvanbergM - 17
A. BernhardssonF - 7
K. ShiogaiF - 11
F. ReeseF
Substitutes (9)
25 · A. Zehnter
18 · J. Adjetey
27 · M. Arnold
23 · A. Besio
8 · Bence Dárdai
31 · Y. Gerhardt
14 · P. Hensel
42 · B. Katz
12 · P. Pervan
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nemeth | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| E. Smith | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 4 |
| L. Ritzka | 67 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 3 |
| A. Pyrka | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| J. Fujita | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| M. Rasmussen | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| L. Oppie | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
| C. Metcalfe | 89 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 |
| Y. Niang | 70 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 89 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| B. Voll | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| Samuel Klein | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| M. Kaars | 20 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| R. Jones | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Hara | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Dźwigała | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| S. Banks | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Ahlstrand | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Mitov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Westphal | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Reese | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2 |
| K. Shiogai | 74 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| A. Bernhardsson | 82 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| M. Svanberg | 74 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| Vinicius Souza | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 4 |
| M. Damar | 65 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| J. Mæhle | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 3 |
| Cleiton | 65 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 |
| H. Wahl | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 0 |
| K. Fischer | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 0 |
| J. Zieliński | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| A. Zehnter | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Adjetey | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| M. Arnold | 16 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 |
| A. Besio | 8 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Bence Dárdai | 25 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 |
| Y. Gerhardt | 16 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| P. Hensel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Katz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Pervan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗2. Bundesliga table
Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DWDLD |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LDWLW |
| 10 |  Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | WLDWL |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | LWLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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