Holstein Kiel
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Holstein Kiel’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTREHolstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Harres56′
J. Therkelsen88′
M. Kaars32′
T. Hara45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
2.090Expected goals · API-Football2.560
6Shots on target6
19Total Shots13
64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks5
14Fouls19
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves4
548Total passes295
470Passes accurate199
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Holstein Kiel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC St. Pauli
4/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Holstein Kiel
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga2–21899 HoffenheimAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3FSV Mainz 05Away · Friendlies Clubs0–3SwanseaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2Al-Ahli JeddahHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1SonderjyskeHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1FC FredericiaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3Dynamo DresdenAway · 2. Bundesliga1–21. FC MagdeburgHome · 2. Bundesliga1–3Eintracht BraunschweigHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0
FC St. Pauli
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored10 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Deportivo La CorunaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2BournemouthAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4HNK GoricaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1SV Babelsberg 03Away · Friendlies Clubs4–1Kickers EmdenAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1Altona 93Away · Friendlies Clubs6–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga1–2FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Holstein Kiel at home with FC St. Pauli away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Holstein Kiel at home with FC St. Pauli away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Holstein Kiel
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Tim Walter
- 1
T. WeinerG - 32
H. SekineD - 13
I. NekicD - 26
D. ZecD - 40
L. ParduziD - 28
J. MeffertM - 20
A. KapralikM - 8
G. BalziM - 15
K. DavidsenM - 11
A. BernhardssonM - 19
P. HarresF
Substitutes (9)
41 · L. Rothenhagen
6 · M. Ivezic
3 · N. Takahashi
47 · J. Tolkin
10 · J. Therkelsen
27 · I. Ugoh
30 · T. Tasdelen
17 · F. Alidou
22 · M. Reimers
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Marcel Rapp
- 1
B. VollG - 4
D. NemethD - 6
M. MathisenD - 15
T. AndoD - 11
A. PyrkaM - 20
M. RasmussenM - 16
J. FujitaM - 23
L. OppieM - 10
B. HrgotaF - 19
M. KaarsF - 18
T. HaraF
Substitutes (9)
33 · D. Mitov
25 · A. Dzwigala
21 · L. Ritzka
8 · E. Smith
2 · R. Jansson
22 · S. Klein
14 · E. Ahlstrand
17 · S. Banks
26 · R. Jones
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rasmussen | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 5 |
| T. Ando | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| J. Fujita | 64 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| T. Hara | 64 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| B. Hrgota | 80 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 2 |
| M. Kaars | 85 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| M. Mathisen | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 2 |
| D. Nemeth | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 3 |
| L. Oppie | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| A. Pyrka | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| B. Voll | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| E. Ahlstrand | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Banks | 10 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| A. Dźwigała | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Jansson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Jones | 26 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Samuel Klein | 5 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| D. Mitov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Ritzka | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Smith | 26 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Zec | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 0 |
| G. Balzi | 74 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 1 |
| A. Bernhardsson | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| K. Davidsen | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 3 |
| P. Harres | 90 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
| A. Kaprálik | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| J. Meffert | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0 |
| I. Nekić | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 3 |
| Leon Parduzi | 86 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 1 |
| H. Sekine | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 75 | 1 |
| T. Weiner | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 0 |
| F. Alidou | 4 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| M. Ivezić | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Niko Takahashi Cendagorta | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Therkelsen | 16 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| J. Tolkin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Ugoh | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Tasdelen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lio Rothenhagen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Reimers | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗2. Bundesliga table
Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DWDLD |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LDWLW |
| 10 |  Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | WLDWL |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | DDLWL |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | LWLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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