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2. BundesligaMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRE

FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth match centre

FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. PauliHome · 8 in league
WWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling60/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
SpVgg Greuther Fürth badgeSpVgg Greuther FürthAway · 12 in league
LLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Mathisen46′
F. Klaus51′
Millerntor-Stadion · HamburgSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
8Corner Kicks2
4Fouls3
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves4
381Total passes292
330Passes accurate243

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC St. Pauli 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC St. Pauli

4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with SpVgg Greuther Fürth away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches

FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with SpVgg Greuther Fürth away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

FC St. Pauli

2wins
1 draw

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1wins

Mar 2023 – Jul 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with FC St. Pauli first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC St. Pauli

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Alexander Blessin
  1. 1B. VollG
  2. 4D. NemethD
  3. 6M. MathisenD
  4. 15T. AndoD
  5. 11A. PyrkaM
  6. 20M. RasmussenM
  7. 16J. FujitaM
  8. 23L. OppieM
  9. 10B. HrgotaF
  10. 19M. KaarsF
  11. 18T. HaraF
Substitutes (9)

30 · S. Spari

25 · A. Dzwigala

21 · L. Ritzka

17 · S. Banks

8 · E. Smith

14 · E. Ahlstrand

26 · R. Jones

2 · R. Jansson

47 · H. Sabah

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Confirmed formation4-4-2Heiko Vogel
  1. 1F. HellsternG
  2. 23J. DehmD
  3. 22J. HeuerD
  4. 29K. KeresztesD
  5. 27L. ItterD
  6. 8S. AppelkampM
  7. 6S. BanseM
  8. 13P. WillM
  9. 10O. PohlmannM
  10. 30F. KlausF
  11. 7D. SrbenyF
Substitutes (9)

43 · S. Prufrock

28 · D. Arifi

2 · L. Reich

17 · N. Konig

11 · A. Keller

5 · M. Dal

42 · O. Sillah

48 · J. Krautkramer

21 · M. Wallentowitz

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ben Voll907.3—0—15—
David Nemeth906.6—02851
Marcus Mathisen908.91011061
Tomoya Ando907.2—0168—
Arkadiusz Pyrka797.6—0—263
Mathias Rasmussen857.2—0—544
Joel Chima Fujita906.2—0—461
Louis Oppie857.0—0131—
Branimir Hrgota908.2—11293
Martijn Kaars906.2—0316—
Taichi Hara736.5—0112—
Ricky-Jade Jones176.6—0—5—
Rony Jansson116.9—0—10—
Eric Smith146.7—0—9—
Erik Ahlstrand146.3—0—8—
Simon Emil Spari———————
Lars Ritzka———————
Adam Dźwigała———————
Scott Banks———————
Haron Sabah———————

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Florian Hellstern907.9—0—47—
Jannik Dehm876.6—1228—
Jannis Heuer907.0—0—45—
Krisztián Keresztes906.9—01441
Luca Itter906.2—0—33—
Shinta Appelkamp877.2—0—332
Sacha Banse766.3—0—281
Paul Will907.0—0—412
Ole Pohlmann706.3—0—16—
Felix Klaus767.9106301
Dennis Srbeny906.0—0223—
Aaron Keller206.6—0—4—
Doni Arifi146.7—0—11—
Omar Sillah146.9—0—4—
Lukas Reich126.9—0—5—
Mika Wallentowitz126.6—0112
Silas Prüfrock———————
Maxim Dal———————
Jakob Krautkramer———————
Noah König———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

2. Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSC66001771018
WWWWW
21. FC Nürnberg65101661016
WWDWW
31. FC Heidenheim64111412213
DWWWL
4VfL Wolfsburg6321158711
WLDWW
51. FC Kaiserslautern632164211
WLWWD
61. FC Magdeburg6312119210
DWLWW
7Energie Cottbus6222141318
DWDLL
8FC St. Pauli61418807
DWDLD
9VfL Bochum621356-17
LDWLW
10Hannover 96621379-27
WLDWL
11VfL Osnabrück6213912-37
DLWWL
12SpVgg Greuther Fürth6132911-26
DDLWL
13Arminia Bielefeld61231012-25
DLDLW
14Karlsruher SC6123612-65
LLDLD
15Eintracht Braunschweig61141213-14
LDLLL
16Holstein Kiel6042710-34
DLDLD
17Dynamo Dresden6114814-64
LDLLW
18SV Darmstadt 986114513-84
LWLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFC St. PauliDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Bet3651.803.903.90

Snapshot from 8 Aug 2026, 18:23 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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