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1. LigMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük match centre

Esenler Erokspor badgeEsenler EroksporHome · 17 in league
DLDLD
Momentum↓ Low20/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Fatih Karagümrük badgeFatih KaragümrükAway · 9 in league
WDDLD
Momentum↘ Falling35/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Ozturk39′ (og)
T. Ahmed90+4′
Esenler Stadium · IstanbulSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 17:32 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 15:59 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.95Our model 45.1%Market 46.6% Draw3.30Our model 26.8%Market 27.5% Away win3.50Our model 28.0%Market 25.9% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 15:59 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
8Corner Kicks1
10Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
438Total passes264
364Passes accurate214

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Esenler Erokspor 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fatih Karagümrük 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:00 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Esenler Erokspor at home with Fatih Karagümrük away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:11 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Lig · 2026/27 · all league matches

Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
7Matches played7
5Points earned9
0Wins2
0.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.2Goals conceded / match1.6
2Clean sheets0
4Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Esenler Erokspor at home with Fatih Karagümrük away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Esenler Erokspor

2wins
0 draws

Fatih Karagümrük

2wins

Nov 2020 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Esenler Erokspor first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Esenler Erokspor

Confirmed formation4-4-2Mustafa Gursel
  1. 22Erdem CanpolatG
  2. 77Hayrullah BilazerD
  3. 21Bahadır ÖztürkD
  4. 14Onur UlasD
  5. 33Enes AlicD
  6. 17Burak ÇobanM
  7. 8Guélor KangaM
  8. 5Mikail OkyarM
  9. 39Erkan KaşM
  10. 7Nicolas JanvierF
  11. 18Braian SamudioF
Substitutes (8)

4 · Luccas Claro

70 · Furkan Orak

34 · Osman Ertuğrul Çetin

67 · Doğukan Demir

6 · Tugay Kaçar

27 · Ferhat Yazgan

20 · Muhamed Buljubašić

52 · Yusuf Arda Ozyurt

Fatih Karagümrük

Confirmed formation4-4-2Aleksandar Stanojevic
  1. 1Marco SilvestriG
  2. 25Muhammed Emin SarikayaD
  3. 4Davide BiraschiD
  4. 28Anıl Yiğit ÇınarD
  5. 33Çağtay KurukalıpD
  6. 26Ahmed TraoreM
  7. 5Emre AkbabaM
  8. 20Manolis SiopisM
  9. 22Ramazan CivelekM
  10. 72Aleksandar PešićF
  11. 9Cenk TosunF
Substitutes (10)

8 · Dorukhan Toköz

11 · Tiago Cukur

23 · Batuhan Şen

24 · Burhan Ersoy

6 · Robin Yalçın

3 · Atınç Nukan

19 · Yaya Onogo

14 · Marius Tresor Doh

21 · Candan Baskale

10 · Daniele Verde

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Esenler Erokspor

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Erdem Canpolat917.7———27—
Hayrullah Bilazer456.7———24—
Bahadır Öztürk916.3———554
Onur Ulas456.9———271
Enes Alic 776.6——1374
Burak Çoban917.5——117—
Guélor Kanga916.9———55—
Mikail Okyar896.7———363
Erkan Kaş917.0———403
Nicolas Janvier847.0———381
Braian Samudio916.6———29—
Luccas Claro467.7——127—
Furkan Orak467.3———242
Tugay Kaçar146.6———4—
Yusuf Arda Ozyurt7————4—
Ferhat Yazgan2———11—
Osman Ertuğrul Çetin———————
Doğukan Demir———————
Muhamed Buljubašić———————

Fatih Karagümrük

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marco Silvestri917.0———26—
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya916.9———222
Davide Biraschi917.0———271
Anıl Yiğit Çınar917.7———293
Çağtay Kurukalıp916.6——123—
Ahmed Traore915.9——1324
Emre Akbaba817.2———252
Manolis Siopis917.9——1302
Ramazan Civelek646.7——3202
Aleksandar Pešić816.3———7—
Cenk Tosun576.3——15—
Dorukhan Toköz346.6———91
Tiago Cukur276.6——191
Yaya Onogo106.6———21
Daniele Verde106.5———2—
Batuhan Şen———————
Burhan Ersoy———————
Robin Yalçın———————
Atınç Nukan———————
Marius Tresor Doh———————
Candan Baskale———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

1. Lig table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Lig A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Kayserispor86111531219
WWWDL
2Bursaspor8611167919
WDWWW
3Iğdır FK8512127516
DWWWW
4Batman Petrolspor85121513216
LLWWW
5Sarıyer8422119214
WDLWW
6Keçiörengücü83411710713
DDWWD
7Mardin 1969833295412
LLWDD
8Antalyaspor84041413112
WWLWL
9Fatih Karagümrük83321211112
WDLDD
10Muğlaspor825187111
DDDWW
11Bandırmaspor8242125710
LDWLD
12Pendikspor82421013-310
DDWLD
13Manisa F.K.8233121209
LDLLD
14Bodrum FK81527618
DWLDD
15Sivasspor8152911-28
DDWDL
16Ümraniyespor813469-36
WLLLD
17Esenler Erokspor8053410-65
LDLDL
18İstanbulspor8125719-125
WLLLD
19Vanspor FK8134817-94
LDDLD
20Boluspor8017320-171
LDLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerEsenler EroksporDrawFatih Karagümrük
William Hill2.053.253.30
Bet3651.953.303.50
Marathonbet1.953.303.30
BetVictor2.003.403.30
Pinnacle2.073.543.52

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 15:59 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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