Swindon Town
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Swindon Town’s results
EFL TrophyGroup South - 5THE MATCH CENTRESwindon Town vs Newport County match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Gerard Garner4′
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 22 Sep 18:36 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Swindon TownNewport County
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target5
12Total Shots14
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks2
14Fouls11
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
501Total passes340
374Passes accurate224
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Swindon Town 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Newport County 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 22 Sep, 17:32 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Newport County
2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Newport County’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Swindon Town
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Salford CityAway · League Two0–1Crystal Palace U21Home · EFL Trophy1–2YorkAway · League Two0–4ColchesterHome · League Two3–1Port ValeHome · League Two3–1OldhamAway · League Two0–3CheltenhamHome · League Two2–1NorthamptonAway · League Two0–0CardiffAway · League Cup2–3Forest GreenAway · Friendlies Clubs4–1
Newport County
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Accrington STAway · League Two0–0Fleetwood TownHome · League Two1–1NorthamptonAway · League Two0–1Salford CityAway · League Two1–2TranmereHome · League Two2–2Bristol RoversAway · League Two3–5RochdaleHome · League Two3–0AFC WimbledonAway · League Cup1–1AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–4Yeovil TownAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Swindon Town at home with Newport County away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
EFL Trophy · 2026/27 · all league matches
Swindon TownNewport County
1Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match0.0
2.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Swindon Town at home with Newport County away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Swindon Town
4wins4MEETINGS
Newport County
0winsSep 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Swindon Town
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ian Holloway
- 12
Lewis Moore WardG - 2
M. ClarkD - 18
J. DebayoD - 38
Lucas Griffiths-BrownD - 34
B. KirkmanD - 6
J. BallM - 7
T. NicholsF - 14
D. ButterworthF - 29
A. HackfordF - 22
J. PearmanM - 43Freddie HoareM
Substitutes (6)
26 · D. Butler
8 · O. Clarke
15 · J. Hungbo
37 · Charlie Summers
42 · Josh Terry
24 · M. Virtue-Thick
Newport County
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1H. Mullins
- 25
J. TurnerG - 12
Joe ThomasD - 34
D. SassiD - 36
Harrison PughM - 17Alfie MerrittD
- 2
C. EvansD - 8
M. SmithM - 20
Y. BambaF - 40
C. JarvisF - 21
T. NyakuhwaF - 19
G. GarnerF
Substitutes (7)
23 · M. Adu-Poku
6 · C. Brennan
24 · M. Dibley-Dias
7 · K. Evans
9 · S. Gwengwe
38 · H. Halpin
33 · S. MacDonald
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Swindon Town
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ball | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 2 |
| Lewis Moore Ward | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 |
| M. Virtue-Thick | 30 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Josh Terry | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Summers | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Hungbo | 30 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| O. Clarke | 18 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| D. Butler | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| J. Pearman | 60 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| B. Kirkman | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1 |
| Freddie Hoare | 72 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| A. Hackford | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| J. Debayo | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 2 |
| M. Clark | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 |
| D. Butterworth | 60 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| T. Nichols | 72 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 |
| Lucas Griffiths-Brown | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| Rory Da Costa | 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Newport County
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 5 |
| Joe Thomas | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 |
| C. Brennan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Dibley-Dias | 30 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 |
| K. Evans | 10 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| S. MacDonald | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Sassi | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 |
| T. Nyakuhwa | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| G. Garner | 87 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| C. Evans | 87 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 3 |
| J. Turner | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 |
| H. Halpin | 3 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| M. Adu-Poku | 3 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| S. Gwengwe | 3 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Harrison Pugh | 60 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 |
| Alfie Merritt | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| Y. Bamba | 87 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| C. Jarvis | 80 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗EFL Trophy table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Swindon Town | Draw | Newport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.28 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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