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World CupFinalTHE MATCH CENTRE

Spain vs Argentina match centre

Spain badgeSpainHome · 1 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Argentina badgeArgentinaAway
WDWDW
Momentum↑ Strong73/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Ferrán Torres106′
MetLife Stadium · East RutherfordSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
SpainArgentina
9Corner Kicks4
20Fouls25
0Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves11
844Total passes461
755Passes accurate357

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Spain 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Argentina 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Spain

8/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Spain’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Argentina

8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Argentina’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spain at home with Argentina away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

SpainArgentina
7Matches played7
19Points earned21
6Wins7
1.9Goals scored / match2.7
0.2Goals conceded / match1.0
6Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spain at home with Argentina away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Spain

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis de la Fuente
  1. 23U. SimonG
  2. 12P. PorroD
  3. 22P. CubarsiD
  4. 14A. LaporteD
  5. 24M. CucurellaD
  6. 16RodriM
  7. 8F. RuizM
  8. 19Lamine YamalM
  9. 10D. OlmoM
  10. 15A. BaenaM
  11. 21M. OyarzabalF
Substitutes (15)

1 · D. Raya

13 · J. Garcia

5 · M. Llorente

7 · F. Torres

18 · M. Zubimendi

20 · Pedri

9 · Gavi

3 · A. Grimaldo

26 · B. Iglesias

6 · M. Merino

4 · E. Garcia

11 · Y. Pino

17 · N. Williams

25 · V. Munoz

2 · M. Pubill

Argentina

Confirmed formation4-4-2Lionel Scaloni
  1. 23E. MartinezG
  2. 4G. MontielD
  3. 13C. RomeroD
  4. 6L. MartinezD
  5. 3N. TagliaficoD
  6. 7R. de PaulM
  7. 24E. FernandezM
  8. 20A. Mac AllisterM
  9. 15N. GonzalezM
  10. 10L. MessiF
  11. 9J. AlvarezF
Substitutes (15)

12 · G. Rulli

1 · J. Musso

19 · N. Otamendi

5 · L. Paredes

14 · E. Palacios

26 · N. Molina

17 · G. Simeone

11 · G. Lo Celso

22 · L. Martinez

2 · M. Senesi

25 · F. Medina

16 · T. Almada

21 · J. Lopez

8 · V. Barco

18 · N. Paz

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Spain

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Víctor Muñoz00.000000
Pau Cubarsí Paredes1208.00011262
Lamine Yamal1207.3004513
Marc Pubill00.000000
Gavi00.000000
Nico Williams457.3013220
Joan García00.000000
Yeremy Pino00.000000
Pedri587.2001612
Martín Zubimendi216.6000261
Pedro Porro1207.0000992
Álex Baena756.4001211
Eric García216.5000120
Ferran Torres587.710380
Rodri998.20011064
Mikel Oyarzabal626.3001141
Unai Simón1206.6000380
Marc Cucurella1206.8001791
Dani Olmo756.7002250
Borja Iglesias00.000000
Fabián Ruiz627.1000500
Mikel Merino457.0001220
David Raya00.000000
Marcos Llorente00.000000
Álex Grimaldo00.000000
Aymeric Laporte997.0001920

Argentina

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
N. Paz00.000000
G. Simeone506.7001182
V. Barco00.000000
J. López00.000000
E. Fernández906.2000361
T. Almada00.000000
J. Álvarez1026.4000161
N. González456.500090
A. Mac Allister1206.5000302
Lisandro Martínez446.2000291
F. Medina506.6000171
N. Molina626.0000263
M. Senesi186.100060
C. Romero706.8000401
Lautaro Martínez00.000000
G. Montiel586.6000131
E. Palacios00.000000
G. Lo Celso00.000000
J. Musso00.000000
L. Paredes756.3000431
R. De Paul706.4000290
E. Martínez1209.8000530
N. Tagliafico1206.9000353
G. Rulli00.000000
N. Otamendi766.1000290
L. Messi1206.8001341
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group H. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain32105057
WWWWW
2Cape Verde Islands30302203
LDDD
3Uruguay302134-12
LDD
4Saudi Arabia302115-42
DLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSpainDrawArgentina
Bet3652.253.003.60

Snapshot from 19 Jul 2026, 08:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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