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World CupGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Uruguay vs Spain match centre

Uruguay badgeUruguayHome · 3 in league
LDDDD
Momentum→ Steady28/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Spain badgeSpainAway · 1 in league
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Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Baena42′
Estadio Akron · ZapopanSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
UruguaySpain
1Corner Kicks6
13Fouls14
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
291Total passes618
222Passes accurate549

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Uruguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Spain 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Uruguay

3/9Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Uruguay’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Spain

7/9Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Spain’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Uruguay at home with Spain away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

UruguaySpain
1Matches played1
1Points earned1
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match0.0
1.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Uruguay at home with Spain away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

Uruguay

0wins
0 draws

Spain

1wins

Jun 2013 – Jun 2013 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Uruguay first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Uruguay

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Marcelo Bielsa
  1. 23Fernando MusleraG
  2. 13Guillermo VarelaD
  3. 3Sebastián CáceresD
  4. 16Mathías OliveraD
  5. 25Juan SanabriaD
  6. 5Manuel UgarteM
  7. 14Agustín CanobbioM
  8. 6Rodrigo BentancurM
  9. 8Federico ValverdeM
  10. 20Maximiliano AraújoM
  11. 9Darwin NúñezF
Substitutes (15)

7 · Nicolás de la Cruz

1 · Sergio Rochet

21 · Federico Viñas

18 · Brian Rodríguez

12 · Santiago Mele

17 · Matías Viña

24 · Santiago Bueno

2 · José María Giménez

4 · Ronald Araújo

22 · Joaquín Piquerez

15 · Emiliano Martínez

10 · Giorgian de Arrascaeta

11 · Facundo Pellistri

19 · Rodrigo Aguirre

26 · Rodrigo Zalazar

Spain

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis de la Fuente
  1. 23Unai SimónG
  2. 5Marcos LlorenteD
  3. 22Pau CubarsíD
  4. 14Aymeric LaporteD
  5. 24Marc CucurellaD
  6. 20PedriM
  7. 16RodriM
  8. 19Lamine YamalM
  9. 6Mikel MerinoM
  10. 15Alex BaenaM
  11. 21Mikel OyarzabalF
Substitutes (15)

8 · Fabián Ruiz

10 · Dani Olmo

11 · Yéremy Pino

17 · Nico Williams

7 · Ferran Torres

13 · Joan García

1 · David Raya

2 · Marc Pubill

4 · Eric García

12 · Pedro Porro

9 · Pablo Gavi

18 · Martín Zubimendi

3 · Alejandro Grimaldo

26 · Borja Iglesias

25 · Víctor Muñoz

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Uruguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Fernando Muslera455.7—0—13—
Guillermo Varela906.3—0—21—
Sebastián Cáceres906.2—0—37—
Mathías Olivera907.5—0—466
Juan Sanabria706.9—0—117
Manuel Ugarte446.6—0—153
Agustín Canobbio906.2—0—13—
Rodrigo Bentancur906.9—01433
Federico Valverde576.7—0—152
Maximiliano Araújo906.9—0—201
Darwin Núñez906.3—0119—
Nicolás de la Cruz467.0—01181
Sergio Rochet456.3—0—18—
Federico Viñas336.3—0152
Brian Rodríguez206.5—0—7—
Santiago Mele———————
Matías Viña———————
Santiago Bueno———————
José María Giménez———————
Ronald Araújo———————
Joaquín Piquerez———————
Emiliano Martínez———————
Giorgian de Arrascaeta———————
Facundo Pellistri———————
Rodrigo Aguirre———————
Rodrigo Zalazar———————

Spain

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Unai Simón907.5—0—35—
Marcos Llorente907.2—1—504
Pau Cubarsí907.5—0187—
Aymeric Laporte907.9—0—102—
Marc Cucurella906.9—0—421
Pedri607.2—0—493
Rodri906.9—0—1065
Lamine Yamal766.3—0—271
Mikel Merino606.3—0—231
Alex Baena667.5101242
Mikel Oyarzabal766.0—0120—
Fabián Ruiz306.9—0—25—
Dani Olmo306.9—0117—
Yéremy Pino246.5—0—9—
Nico Williams146.6—0—5—
Ferran Torres146.7—012—
Joan García———————
David Raya———————
Marc Pubill———————
Eric García———————
Pedro Porro———————
Pablo Gavi———————
Martín Zubimendi———————
Alejandro Grimaldo———————
Borja Iglesias———————
Víctor Muñoz———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group H. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain32105057
WWWWW
2Cape Verde Islands30302203
LDDD
3Uruguay302134-12
LDD
4Saudi Arabia302115-42
DLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerUruguayDrawSpain
Bet3655.753.501.70

Snapshot from 26 Jun 2026, 20:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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