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World CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Portugal vs Spain match centre

Portugal badgePortugalHome
WDWDW
Momentum↑ Strong73/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Spain badgeSpainAway · 1 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Merino90+1′
AT&T Stadium · DallasSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PortugalSpain
3Corner Kicks7
9Fouls12
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves2
400Total passes529
333Passes accurate466

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Portugal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Spain 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Portugal

5/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Portugal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Spain

8/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Spain’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Portugal at home with Spain away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

PortugalSpain
4Matches played4
8Points earned10
2Wins3
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.5Goals conceded / match0.0
2Clean sheets4
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Portugal at home with Spain away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Portugal

0wins
3 draws

Spain

1wins

Jun 2021 – Jun 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Portugal first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Portugal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Roberto Martinez
  1. 1Diogo CostaG
  2. 20João CanceloD
  3. 3Rúben DiasD
  4. 13Renato VeigaD
  5. 25Nuno MendesD
  6. 23VitinhaM
  7. 15João NevesM
  8. 18Pedro NetoM
  9. 8Bruno FernandesM
  10. 11João FélixM
  11. 7Cristiano RonaldoF
Substitutes (15)

2 · Nélson Semedo

5 · Diogo Dalot

17 · Rafael Leão

10 · Bernardo Silva

26 · Francisco Conceição

12 · José Sá

22 · Rui Silva

6 · Matheus Nunes

14 · Gonçalo Inácio

4 · Tomás Araújo

19 · Gonçalo Guedes

16 · Francisco Trincão

24 · Samú Costa

21 · Rúben Neves

9 · Gonçalo Ramos

Spain

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis de la Fuente
  1. 23Unai SimónG
  2. 12Pedro PorroD
  3. 22Pau CubarsíD
  4. 14Aymeric LaporteD
  5. 24Marc CucurellaD
  6. 16RodriM
  7. 20PedriM
  8. 19Lamine YamalM
  9. 10Dani OlmoM
  10. 15Alex BaenaM
  11. 21Mikel OyarzabalF
Substitutes (15)

7 · Ferran Torres

8 · Fabián Ruiz

6 · Mikel Merino

26 · Borja Iglesias

1 · David Raya

13 · Joan García

4 · Eric García

5 · Marcos Llorente

2 · Marc Pubill

3 · Alejandro Grimaldo

18 · Martín Zubimendi

17 · Nico Williams

9 · Pablo Gavi

25 · Víctor Muñoz

11 · Yéremy Pino

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Portugal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa907.3—0—28—
João Cancelo716.9—01251
Rúben Dias906.7—0—50—
Renato Veiga906.9—0—601
Nuno Mendes567.2—0—244
Vitinha836.7—0—45—
João Neves907.2—01354
Pedro Neto836.9—0—271
Bruno Fernandes906.9—0151—
João Félix716.9—0—202
Cristiano Ronaldo906.9—0312—
Nélson Semedo346.3—0—13—
Diogo Dalot196.5—0—81
Rafael Leão196.6—0—9—
Bernardo Silva166.3—0112—
Francisco Conceição166.9—0—7—
José Sá———————
Rui Silva———————
Matheus Nunes———————
Gonçalo Inácio———————
Tomás Araújo———————
Gonçalo Guedes———————
Francisco Trincão———————
Samú Costa———————
Rúben Neves———————
Gonçalo Ramos———————

Spain

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Unai Simón907.3—0—31—
Pedro Porro907.2—01374
Pau Cubarsí906.9—0—77—
Aymeric Laporte906.7—0—41—
Marc Cucurella906.7—0—38—
Rodri907.3—01934
Pedri856.7—0—591
Lamine Yamal907.3—02325
Dani Olmo856.9—01411
Alex Baena756.9—03364
Mikel Oyarzabal896.0—0222—
Ferran Torres156.2—1113—
Fabián Ruiz146.7—0—7—
Mikel Merino147.61014—
Borja Iglesias1——0———
David Raya———————
Joan García———————
Eric García———————
Marcos Llorente———————
Marc Pubill———————
Alejandro Grimaldo———————
Martín Zubimendi———————
Nico Williams———————
Pablo Gavi———————
Víctor Muñoz———————
Yéremy Pino———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group H. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Spain32105057
WWWWW
2Cape Verde Islands30302203
LDDD
3Uruguay302134-12
LDD
4Saudi Arabia302115-42
DLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerPortugalDrawSpain
Bet3654.203.601.85

Snapshot from 6 Jul 2026, 06:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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