Palermo
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Palermo’s results
Serie BMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREPalermo vs Padova match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Dominic Vavassori44′
Dominic Vavassori83′
Christian Pastina7′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:12 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 12:28 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PalermoPadova
2.510Expected goals · API-Football1.180
7Shots on target5
20Total Shots20
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks11
9Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
370Total passes307
292Passes accurate238
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Palermo 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Padova 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 21:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Padova
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Padova’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Palermo
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AvellinoAway · Serie B1–1SampdoriaHome · Serie B3–1MantovaHome · Coppa Italia5–2ArezzoAway · Serie B3–2Juve StabiaHome · Serie B1–0LecceHome · Coppa Italia2–0JuventusAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Melbourne CityAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Iraklis 1908Home · Friendlies Clubs1–11. FC NürnbergHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2
Padova
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Palermo at home with Padova away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 20:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches
PalermoPadova
4Matches played4
10Points earned7
3Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Palermo at home with Padova away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Palermo
4wins4MEETINGS
Padova
0winsJun 2022 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Palermo first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Palermo
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1F. Inzaghi
- 14
M. FortinG - 27
N. PierozziD - 13
M. BaniD - 32
P. CeccaroniD - 3
T. AugelloD - 8
J. SegreM - 10
F. RanocchiaM - 9
D. VavassoriM - 5
A. PalumboM - 17
D. JohnsenM - 20
J. PohjanpaloF
Substitutes (12)
29 · P. Peda
63 · N. Balagušs
12 · M. Nespola
36 · L. Mazzitelli
11 · E. Gyasi
6 · C. Gomes
99 · A. Gabrielloni
96 · G. Magnani
24 · N. Estévez
84 · T. Cassandro
33 · A. Bozzolan
93 · F. Barba
Padova
Confirmed formation3-5-2N. Calabro
- 22
A. SorrentinoG - 27
Alessandro DellavalleD - 5
M. LovatoD - 58
C. PastinaD - 17
A. CapelliM - 6
G. GiuntiM - 21
E. ZuelliM - 8
P. FusiM - 34
M. CocchiM - 11
A. SeghettiF - 9
L. MoroF
Substitutes (12)
14 · M. Pompetti
1 · L. Mouquet
15 · K. Lasagna
25 · N. Galazzi
72 · C. Faedo
23 · F. Di Mariano
24 · L. Carissoni
10 · G. Caprari
20 · M. Bortolussi
32 · F. Sgarbi
18 · E. Silletti
7 · K. Varas
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Palermo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Balagušs | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Barba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bozzolan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Cassandro | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| N. Estévez | 23 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| M. Fortin | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| N. Pierozzi | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| M. Bani | 45 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 4 |
| P. Ceccaroni | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
| D. Vavassori | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| J. Segre | 76 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| F. Ranocchia | 67 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| T. Augello | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| A. Palumbo | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 6 |
| D. Johnsen | 90 | 8.5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Pohjanpalo | 82 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| G. Magnani | 45 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 |
| A. Gabrielloni | 8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| C. Gomes | 14 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| E. Gyasi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Mazzitelli | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Nespola | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Peda | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Padova
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sorrentino | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| C. Pastina | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 2 |
| M. Pompetti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Mouquet | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Lasagna | 21 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| N. Galazzi | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| C. Faedo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Di Mariano | 37 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| L. Carissoni | 21 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| G. Caprari | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bortolussi | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alessandro Dellavalle | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 2 |
| M. Lovato | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 3 |
| A. Capelli | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| P. Fusi | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 3 |
| E. Zuelli | 84 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 0 |
| G. Giunti | 84 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1 |
| M. Cocchi | 69 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 1 |
| A. Seghetti | 53 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| L. Moro | 69 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| F. Sgarbi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Silletti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Varas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie B table
Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | DDDWD |
| 11 |  Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | LDDLW |
| 17 |  Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | DDLWL |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Palermo | Draw | Padova |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.33 | 5.81 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 12:28 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →