Skip to content
Coppa ItaliaRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Palermo vs Mantova match centre

Palermo badgePalermoHome
WLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising83/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:2
UK time · Europe/London
Mantova badgeMantovaAway
WLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising83/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Strefezza9′
A. Palumbo45′ (pen)
J. Pohjanpalo70′
D. Johnsen89′
J. Pohjanpalo90′
F. Ruocco52′
R. Kouda55′
Stadio Renzo Barbera · PalermoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PalermoMantova
3Corner Kicks2
9Fouls14
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves4
338Total passes440
257Passes accurate366

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Palermo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Mantova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Palermo

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Palermo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Mantova

8/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Mantova’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Palermo at home with Mantova away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 20:40 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Coppa Italia · 2026/27 · all league matches

PalermoMantova
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Palermo at home with Mantova away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Palermo

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Filippo Inzaghi
  1. 14M. FortinG
  2. 84T. CassandroD
  3. 96G. MagnaniD
  4. 93F. BarbaD
  5. 33A. BozzolanD
  6. 24N. EstevezM
  7. 7G. StrefezzaM
  8. 5A. PalumboM
  9. 6C. GomesM
  10. 9D. VavassoriM
  11. 99A. GabrielloniF
Substitutes (12)

1 · M. Perin

12 · M. Nespola

13 · M. Bani

32 · P. Ceccaroni

27 · N. Pierozzi

29 · P. Peda

3 · T. Augello

8 · J. Segre

10 · F. Ranocchia

23 · Hernani

20 · J. Pohjanpalo

17 · D. Johnsen

Mantova

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Francesco Modesto
  1. 22F. BardiG
  2. 58T. Del LungoD
  3. 29S. CellaD
  4. 27A. CastelliniD
  5. 11I. CajazzoM
  6. 21S. TrimboliM
  7. 25L. IgnacchitiM
  8. 50F. Benaissa-YahiaM
  9. 71F. ChinettiF
  10. 8R. IlieF
  11. 9E. GliozziF
Substitutes (13)

1 · L. Gemello

12 · M. Gasparini

75 · E. Kospo

5 · B. Tomasevic

6 · J. Longonda

19 · F. Ruocco

10 · D. Wieser

80 · R. Kouda

20 · F. Paoletti

41 · J. Silva

18 · S. Keita

99 · V. Vlahovic

33 · C. Marai

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Palermo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mattia Fortin907.2—0—54—
Tommaso Cassandro906.6—0—216
Giangiacomo Magnani616.2—0—262
Federico Barba907.0—0—401
Andrea Bozzolan906.9—0—275
Nahuel Estévez906.3—01473
Gabriel Strefezza457.710161
Antonio Palumbo616.9102311
Claudio Gomes736.9—1115—
Dominic Vavassori908.0—12131
Alessandro Gabrielloni616.5—0—141
Dennis Johnsen458.9111152
Patryk Peda297.0—0—61
Hernani296.7—0291
Joel Pohjanpalo298.920210—
Jacopo Segre177.2—1—41
Manfredi Nespola———————
Mattia Perin———————
Pietro Ceccaroni———————
Mattia Bani———————
Niccolò Pierozzi———————
Filippo Ranocchia———————
Tommaso Augello———————

Mantova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Francesco Bardi905.7—0—23—
Tommaso Del Lungo775.6—0234—
Stefano Cella905.9—01513
Alessio Castellini905.3—01571
Ismael Cajazzo456.2—0—21—
Simone Trimboli145.9—0—7—
Lorenzo Ignacchiti906.6—01493
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia906.7—0—493
Federico Chinetti456.5—018—
Rareș Ilie906.7—11212
Ettore Gliozzi606.7—0311—
Rachid Kouda767.6101501
Jonathan Silva456.7—0—235
Francesco Ruocco456.9101201
Vanja Vlahović306.5—0—5—
Bodin Tomašević135.3—0111—
Luca Gemello———————
Manuel Gasparini———————
Eman Košpo———————
Cristian Marai———————
David Wieser———————
Jean Pierre Longonda———————
Flavio Paoletti———————
Sambaly Keïta———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Coppa Italia table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →