Pafos
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Pafos’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREPafos vs AEL match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. R. Mughe46′
L. Singh53′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 17:58 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 15:47 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PafosAEL
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Pafos 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
AEL 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 17:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AEL
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AEL’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Pafos
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AEK LarnacaAway · 1. Division1–0OlympiakosHome · 1. Division0–0Omonia NicosiaAway · Super Cup1–0KarmiotissaAway · 1. Division3–0Dinamo TiranaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2Dinamo TiranaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Red Bull SalzburgHome · UEFA Europa League3–3Red Bull SalzburgAway · UEFA Europa League0–1HNK Hajduk SplitHome · UEFA Europa League4–0HNK Hajduk SplitAway · UEFA Europa League0–2
AEL
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nea SalamisHome · 1. Division2–1Apoel NicosiaAway · 1. Division0–6AnorthosisHome · 1. Division2–0Krasava OdintsovoAway · Friendlies Clubs4–0Radomiak RadomAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1AkritasAway · 1. Division2–1OlympiakosHome · 1. Division1–3Krasava YpsonasAway · 1. Division1–1AnorthosisHome · 1. Division0–1PafosAway · Cup1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Pafos at home with AEL away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
PafosAEL
3Matches played3
7Points earned6
2Wins2
1.3Goals scored / match1.3
0.0Goals conceded / match2.3
3Clean sheets1
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Pafos at home with AEL away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Pafos
4wins4MEETINGS
AEL
0winsNov 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Pafos first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Pafos
Confirmed formation4-5-1Ricardo Sa Pinto
- 99
Radosław MajeckiG - 7
BrunoD - 5
David GoldarD - 4
David LuizD - 12
Ken SemaM - 13
Nicolas Moumie NgamaleuM - 26
Ivan ŠunjićM - 30
Vlad DragomirM - 88
PêpêM - 14
Nikolas IoannouD - 18
LelêF
Substitutes (12)
71 · Michalis Papastylianou
82 · Petros Petrou
2 · Yoram Zague
3 · Samy Mmaee
23 · Jonatás Noro
72 · Kosmas Ioannou
6 · Guga
8 · Domingos Quina
60 · Christos Efzona
17 · Afonso Patrao
20 · Biel
33 · Anderson Silva
AEL
Confirmed formation3-4-3Hugo Martins
- 1
Stefanos KapinoG - 33
Evagoras AntoniouD - 23
Diogo GomesD - 22
Kypros NeofytouD - 10
Rémi OudinF - 6
Davor ZdravkovskiM - 20
João TavaresM - 11
Luther SinghM - 30
Giorgos PapageorgiouM - 77
François Régis MugheF - 9
Stevan JovetićF
Substitutes (11)
74 · Samy Merzouk
98 · Panagiotis Kyriakou
2 · Andreas Karo
4 · Stefano Denswil
35 · Sérgio Conceição
70 · Kyriakos Kyriakou
17 · Danil Paroutis
80 · Jair Tavares
75 · Simonas Christofi
84 · Christos Karamani
99 · Chinedu Geoffrey
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗1. Division table
Current standings · 1-division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WLWW |
| 2 | AEL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | WDWD |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | LWDW |
| 5 |  Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 6 |  Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | DDWD |
| 7 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | LDDW |
| 8 |  Aris | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | DWLD |
| 9 |  Apoel Nicosia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | DLWL |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | DDDD |
| 11 |  Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 12 |  Karmiotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | DDDL |
| 13 |  Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | LWLL |
| 14 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Pafos | Draw | AEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.33 | 6.85 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 15:47 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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