LDU de Quito
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect LDU de Quito’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRELDU de Quito vs Palmeiras match centre
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Luis Segovia15′
Michael Estrada90′
Michael Estrada90+3′
Marlon Freitas10′
Vitor Roque73′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 21:28 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LDU de QuitoPalmeiras
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target2
9Total Shots8
74%Ball Possession26%
5Corner Kicks3
6Fouls4
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
304Total passes108
275Passes accurate76
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
LDU de Quito 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Palmeiras 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 16 Sep, 23:50 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Palmeiras
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Palmeiras’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
LDU de Quito
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Deportivo CuencaHome · Liga Pro1–1PalmeirasAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–1Tecnico UniversitarioAway · Liga Pro3–1Mushuc Runa SCHome · Liga Pro0–0Guayaquil City FCAway · Liga Pro1–2AucasHome · Copa Ecuador1–0EmelecHome · Liga Pro2–0MirassolHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–0AucasAway · Liga Pro1–0MirassolAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1
Palmeiras
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sao PauloHome · Serie A2–0LDU de QuitoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–0BotafogoAway · Serie A0–0SantosAway · Copa Do Brasil0–0MirassolAway · Serie A1–1SantosHome · Copa Do Brasil3–0Vasco DA GamaHome · Serie A4–1Cerro PortenoAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–0FluminenseAway · Serie A2–3Cerro PortenoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare LDU de Quito at home with Palmeiras away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:11 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
LDU de QuitoPalmeiras
9Matches played9
16Points earned18
5Wins5
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match0.7
4Clean sheets3
3Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares LDU de Quito at home with Palmeiras away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
LDU de Quito
1wins3MEETINGS
Palmeiras
2winsOct 2025 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with LDU de Quito first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
LDU de Quito
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Gustavo Álvarez
- 1
G. ValleG - 3
Richard Alexander Mina CaicedoD - 4
Ricardo AdeD - 44
L. SegoviaD - 57
M. WeigandtM - 31
J. RodrÃguezM - 5
Sebastían González BaqueroM - 23
Yerlin QuinonezM - 7
L. RodríguezM - 13
J. CorozoF - 11
M. EstradaF
Substitutes (12)
16 · Deyverson
67 · J. Carabalí
20 · F. Cornejo
28 · J. Cuero
22 · Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
8 · J. Pretell
33 · Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
99 · C. Tobar
77 · K. Velasco
15 · G. Villamíl
26 · I. Zambrano
10 · Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
Palmeiras
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Abel Ferreira
- 1
Carlos MiguelG - 26
MuriloD - 2
A. BarbozaD - 3
Bruno FuchsD - 4
A. GiayM - 17
Marlon FreitasM - 8
Andreas PereiraM - 22
J. PiquerezM - 11
J. AriasM - 30
Lucas EvangelistaM - 42
J. LópezF
Substitutes (12)
43 · Benedetti
50 · Luis Felipe
32 · E. Martínez
18 · Maurício
14 · Marcelo Lomba
7 · Felipe Anderson
9 · Vitor Roque
56 · Arthur
12 · Khellven
19 · R. Sosa
48 · Larson
39 · Heittor
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
LDU de Quito
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel | 34 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| I. Zambrano | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Villamíl | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Velasco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Tobar | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Pretell | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexander Domínguez Carabalí | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Cuero | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Cornejo | 34 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| J. Carabalí | 10 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| Deyverson | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| G. Valle | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 1 |
| Ricardo Ade | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 4 |
| L. Segovia | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 1 |
| M. Weigandt | 80 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| J. RodrÃguez | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 89 | 0 |
| Sebastían González Baquero | 56 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 |
| Yerlin Quinonez | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 |
| L. Rodríguez | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 2 |
| J. Corozo | 56 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| M. Estrada | 90 | 8.4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Palmeiras
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedetti | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Felipe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Martínez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maurício | 1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Marcelo Lomba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felipe Anderson | 5 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Carlos Miguel | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| Murilo | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| A. Barboza | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Bruno Fuchs | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 |
| A. Giay | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 10 |
| Marlon Freitas | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
| Andreas Pereira | 89 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| J. Piquerez | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 |
| J. Arias | 85 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| Lucas Evangelista | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 4 |
| J. López | 67 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| Vitor Roque | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Arthur | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khellven | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Sosa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Heittor | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONMEBOL Libertadores table
Current standings · Group F. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | WLWDW |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LWLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | LDU de Quito | Draw | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.04 | 2.93 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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