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Atletico-MG vs Santos match centre

Atletico-MG badgeAtletico-MGHome · 1 in league
WWLLW
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:2
UK time · Europe/London
Santos badgeSantosAway
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Scorer details awaited
Scorer details awaited
Arena MRV · Bello HarisantaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 21:28 UK.

Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.73Estimated chance 32.7%Pre-match estimate Draw3.70Estimated chance 27.6%Pre-match estimate Away win5.00Estimated chance 39.7%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Atletico-MGSantos
2Corner Kicks2
8Fouls6
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves0
257Total passes221
215Passes accurate179

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atletico-MG 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Santos 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 16 Sep, 23:50 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atletico-MG

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atletico-MG’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Santos

6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Santos’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico-MG at home with Santos away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:36 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 2026/27 · all league matches

Atletico-MGSantos
9Matches played11
14Points earned20
4Wins5
1.2Goals scored / match1.8
1.1Goals conceded / match0.9
3Clean sheets3
2Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico-MG at home with Santos away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Atletico-MG

0wins
1 draw

Santos

3wins

Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Atletico-MG first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atletico-MG

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1E. Domínguez
  1. 1Gabriel DelfimG
  2. 21A. FrancoD
  3. 13LyancoD
  4. 40VitãoD
  5. 6Renan LodiD
  6. 8MayconM
  7. 15K. CastañoM
  8. 28T. CuelloM
  9. 7FredM
  10. 11BernardM
  11. 19ReinierF
Substitutes (12)

9 · M. Cassierra

3 · Léo Duarte

39 · Mamady Cisse

14 · Vitor Hugo

10 · Gustavo Scarpa

5 · Alexsander

27 · A. Minda

2 · Natanael

36 · K. Pascini

31 · Robert

17 · Igor Gomes

18 · T. Borbas

Santos

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Cuca
  1. 77Gabriel BrazãoG
  2. 23RodineiD
  3. 15Willian ArãoD
  4. 14Luan PeresD
  5. 31G. EscobarD
  6. 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
  7. 5João SchmidtM
  8. 8Gabriel BontempoM
  9. 32B. RollheiserM
  10. 11RonyM
  11. 9Gabriel BarbosaF
Substitutes (12)

17 · G. Caballero

27 · D. Fernandes

81 · S. Pierri

45 · Lima

28 · C. Oliva

6 · Arthur

34 · João Paulo

30 · M. Terceros

4 · Lucas Veríssimo

16 · Thaciano

18 · Igor Vinicius

26 · João Paulo Ananias

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atletico-MG

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gabriel Delfim906.3000240
A. Franco816.9001241
Lyanco815.1001370
Vitão906.1000471
Renan Lodi907.2013242
Maycon716.4000331
K. Castaño906.9010821
Bernard717.5101470
T. Borbas96.400020
Igor Gomes196.0000120
Robert00.000000
K. Pascini00.000000
Natanael196.1001120
A. Minda00.000000
Alexsander00.000000
Gustavo Scarpa96.000080
Vitor Hugo00.000000
Mamady Cisse00.000000
M. Cassierra456.6000111
Léo Duarte00.000000
T. Cuello907.5102283
Fred908.0021643
Reinier459.0202220

Santos

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
João Paulo Ananias45.800031
G. Caballero00.000000
D. Fernandes00.000000
S. Pierri00.000000
Lima00.000000
C. Oliva95.900081
Arthur456.7011440
João Paulo00.000000
M. Terceros00.000000
Lucas Veríssimo456.2001290
Thaciano00.000000
Igor Vinicius15.700000
Gabriel Brazão905.7000180
Rodinei955.5000401
Willian Arão906.3000471
Luan Peres455.5000323
G. Escobar905.6001434
Gustavo Henrique Pereira455.6000180
João Schmidt906.7000704
Gabriel Bontempo906.2001432
B. Rollheiser816.5004590
Rony866.1003260
Gabriel Barbosa908.2106240
2026/27 STANDINGS

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Atletico-MG631286210
WWDLW
2Cienciano622257-28
DLLWW
3Juventud614110737
DDDWL
4Puerto Cabello621369-37
LDWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAtletico-MGDrawSantos
William Hill1.733.504.50
Bet3651.733.705.00
Marathonbet1.693.644.80
Betfair1.703.405.00
BetVictor1.703.605.00

Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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