Coventry
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Coventry’s results
League CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRECoventry vs Aston Villa match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Victor Torp27′
Tammy Abraham7′
Ross Barkley40′
Tammy Abraham59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 16 Sep 19:54 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CoventryAston Villa
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target9
14Total Shots18
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks9
17Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
378Total passes499
312Passes accurate440
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Coventry 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Aston Villa 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 16 Sep, 18:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aston Villa
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Coventry
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BrightonHome · Premier League0–5Manchester CityAway · Premier League0–1Hull CityHome · Premier League0–1PlymouthAway · League Cup4–2ArsenalAway · Premier League0–3MonacoHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0EspanyolHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1NorthamptonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0WatfordAway · Championship4–0WrexhamHome · Championship3–1
Aston Villa
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nottingham ForestHome · Premier League1–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–2Hull CityAway · Premier League0–0ArsenalHome · Premier League0–1BrightonAway · Premier League0–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Super Cup1–2Bayern MünchenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2BG Pathum UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1Real SociedadHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Coventry at home with Aston Villa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
CoventryAston Villa
1Matches played0
3Points earned0
1Wins0
4.0Goals scored / match—
2.0Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Coventry at home with Aston Villa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Coventry
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1F. Lampard
- 25
D. BentleyG - 24
A. AmendaD - 4
B. ThomasD - 12
S. MfuniD - 22
J. LatibeaudiereM - 8
Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM - 29
V. TorpM - 7
T. SakamotoM - 38
G. HamerM - 34
Y. GbohoM - 49
S. CherifF
Substitutes (9)
10 · E. Mason-Clark
6 · M. Grimes
21 · J. Bidwell
16 · F. Onyeka
2 · E. Pinnock
9 · E. Simms
17 · L. Tchaouna
23 · B. Thomas-Asante
13 · B. Wilson
Aston Villa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
- 40
M. BizotG - 29
A. Wan-BissakaD - 4
T. Harwood-BellisD - 5
T. MingsD - 13
M. RuggeriD - 26
L. BogardeM - 6
R. BarkleyM - 7
J. McGinnM - 19
I. MbayeM - 53
George HemmingsM - 18
T. AbrahamF
Substitutes (9)
10 · E. Buendía
2 · M. Cash
17 · A. Garnacho
11 · N. Jackson
8 · B. Kamara
44 · J. Manzambi
3 · V. Lindelöf
1 · Z. Suzuki
47 · Alysson Edward
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Coventry
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bentley | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| A. Amenda | 12 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| S. Mfuni | 73 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 |
| B. Wilson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Thomas-Asante | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Tchaouna | 33 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| E. Simms | 32 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| E. Pinnock | 78 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 3 |
| F. Onyeka | 17 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| J. Bidwell | 17 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| M. Grimes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Mason-Clark | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Latibeaudiere | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| B. Thomas | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 2 |
| V. Torp | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 4 |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 |
| T. Sakamoto | 57 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| G. Hamer | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 0 |
| Y. Gboho | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 3 |
| S. Cherif | 58 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alysson Edward | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| E. Buendía | 26 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| M. Cash | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Garnacho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Jackson | 21 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Kamara | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Manzambi | 26 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| V. Lindelöf | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Suzuki | 45 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| M. Bizot | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 2 |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 |
| T. Mings | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 2 |
| M. Ruggeri | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 0 |
| L. Bogarde | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 4 |
| R. Barkley | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 70 | 1 |
| J. McGinn | 64 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 2 |
| I. Mbaye | 64 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
| George Hemmings | 79 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| T. Abraham | 69 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Coventry | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.85 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →