A. BahInjury
Reported out
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREAC Milan vs Benfica match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Lukebakio16′
J. Kaminski53′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 16 Sep 15:28 UK.
Odds updated 16 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AC MilanBenfica
0.960Expected goals · API-Football0.640
4Shots on target4
15Total Shots11
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks1
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
541Total passes378
497Passes accurate322
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AC Milan 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Benfica 1 reported
Fetched 16 Sep, 18:40 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AC Milan
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect AC Milan’s resultsBenfica
8/10Wins
3.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Benfica’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AC Milan
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Benfica
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga3–1MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga4–0MaritimoAway · Primeira Liga3–0EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–1AarhusAway · UEFA Europa League3–1AarhusHome · UEFA Europa League3–1Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga7–0Heart Of MidlothianAway · UEFA Europa League1–1Academico ViseuHome · Primeira Liga2–2Heart Of MidlothianHome · UEFA Europa League6–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AC Milan at home with Benfica away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa League · 2026/27 · all league matches
AC MilanBenfica
0Matches played6
0Points earned13
0Wins4
—Goals scored / match3.2
—Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AC Milan at home with Benfica away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
AC Milan
0wins1MEETINGS
Benfica
1winsJul 2019 – Jul 2019 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with AC Milan first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AC Milan
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ruben Amorim
- 16
Mike MaignanG - 42
Filippo TerraccianoD - 5
Koni De WinterD - 31
Strahinja PavlovićD - 21
Samuel ChukwuezeM - 80
Yunus MusahM - 30
Ardon JashariM - 33
Davide BartesaghiM - 20
Omari HutchinsonF - 70
Alphadjo CissèF - 9
Gonçalo RamosF
Substitutes (12)
96 · Lorenzo Torriani
23 · Fikayo Tomori
34 · Mario Gila
46 · Matteo Gabbia
2 · Pervis Estupiñán
8 · Ruben Loftus-Cheek
12 · Adrien Rabiot
14 · Luka Modrić
22 · Diego Moreira
56 · Alexis Saelemaekers
11 · Christian Pulišić
73 · Francesco Camarda
Benfica
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marco Silva
- 1
Anatoliy TrubinG - 58
Daniel BanjaquiD - 44
Tomás AraújoD - 3
Alessandro CircatiD - 34
Souffian El KarouaniD - 8
Fredrik AursnesM - 36
João PalhinhaM - 11
Dodi LukebakioM - 10
Georgiy SudakovM - 13
Jakub KamińskiM - 22
Jhon DuránF
Substitutes (12)
24 · Samuel Soares
2 · Clément Lenglet
26 · Samuel Dahl
5 · Enzo Barrenechea
16 · Manu Silva
18 · Leandro Barreiro
21 · Andreas Schjelderup
25 · Gianluca Prestianni
27 · Rafa Silva
30 · Claudio Echeverri
14 · Vangelis Pavlidis
72 · Anísio Cabral
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Europa League table
Current standings · UEFA Europa League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | AC Milan | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.68 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 16 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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