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Probability or value? Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Value also considers its price. A high percentage alone does not make a good selection; estimates and odds can change.

About these probabilities and odds

Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.

Over 2.5 goals

25 matching fixtures · 17 Sep

England · League Cup19:30 UK

Manchester City5–0

Norwich

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home—Odds 1.18

Draw—Odds 9.00

Away—Odds 23.00

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

—

1.34PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.34 mean?

Potential return £134.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £34.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 74.6%. Displayed chance: —. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	—	1.181xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	—	9.00Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	—	23.00Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	—	1.02Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	—	29.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	—	1.10Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	—	10.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	—	1.34Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	—	4.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	—	1.94Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	—	2.29SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	—	3.14Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	—	1.53Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	—	2.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	—	1.85BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	—	1.03William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	—	6.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	—	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	—	—
Away team to concede	—	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:02 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Crystal Palace4–0

Lech Poznan

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home—Odds 1.38

Draw—Odds 5.60

Away—Odds 8.50

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

—

1.50Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

The statistical estimate is under quality review. Market chances, where shown, come from stored bookmaker odds and do not establish value.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	—	1.38Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	—	5.60Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	—	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	—	1.03Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	—	20.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	—	1.16Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	—	6.00Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	—	1.50Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	—	2.80Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	—	2.241xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	—	1.711xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	—	3.85Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	—	1.29Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	—	1.80Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	—	2.15Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	—	1.11Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	—	3.30Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	—	1.17William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	—	—
Away team to concede	—	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:40 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League17:45 UK

OFI2–0

1899 Hoffenheim

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home—Odds 9.90

Draw—Odds 6.00

Away—Odds 1.36

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

—

1.40Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 17:35 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

The statistical estimate is under quality review. Market chances, where shown, come from stored bookmaker odds and do not establish value.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	—	9.90Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:35
Draw	—	6.00Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:35
Away win	—	1.36Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 0.5 goals	—	1.02Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 0.5 goals	—	25.001xBet 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 1.5 goals	—	1.13Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 1.5 goals	—	7.50Betfair 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 2.5 goals	—	1.40Bet365 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 2.5 goals	—	3.15Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 3.5 goals	—	2.13SBO 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 3.5 goals	—	1.93Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 4.5 goals	—	3.40Bet365 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 4.5 goals	—	1.37Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Both teams to score — Yes	—	1.70Bet365 17 Sep, 17:35
Both teams to score — No	—	2.25William Hill 17 Sep, 17:35
Home or draw	—	3.75Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:35
Away or draw	—	1.10Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Home or away	—	1.15William Hill 17 Sep, 17:35
Home team to concede	—	—
Away team to concede	—	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:36 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A20:00 UK

Athletic Carpi2–2

Ospitaletto

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home27.8%Odds 3.20

Draw24.9%Odds 3.13

Away47.3%Odds 2.39

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.9%

2.17PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.17 mean?

Potential return £217.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £117.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.1%. Displayed chance: 51.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	27.8%	3.20Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	24.9%	3.13BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	47.3%	2.39Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	76.1%	1.38Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	23.9%	3.08Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.9%	2.17Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.1%	1.69Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	4.10BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	1.25Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.5%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.5%	1.08Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	54.7%	1.85William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	45.3%	1.91Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	52.7%	1.57Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	72.2%	1.39Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	75.1%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	79.6%	—
Away team to concede	68.7%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Spain · La Liga20:30 UK

Malaga1–3

Villarreal

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home36.6%Odds 3.88

Draw25.5%Odds 3.95

Away37.8%Odds 2.00

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.8%

1.671xBetSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Displayed chance: 51.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	36.6%	3.88Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	25.5%	3.95Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	37.8%	2.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	1.04Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	16.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	1.21Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	4.80Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.8%	1.671xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.2%	2.401xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	2.55Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	1.56Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.4%	4.60BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.6%	1.22Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	55.8%	1.57William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	44.2%	2.63Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	62.2%	1.94SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	63.4%	1.31Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	74.5%	1.301xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	75.0%	—
Away team to concede	74.4%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:46 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Plzen0–3

Union St. Gilloise

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home50.7%Odds 2.50

Draw24.4%Odds 3.69

Away24.8%Odds 2.80

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.4%

1.70BetanoSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.70 mean?

Potential return £170.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £70.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 58.8%. Displayed chance: 51.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	50.7%	2.50Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	24.4%	3.69Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	24.8%	2.80Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.5%	1.05Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.5%	16.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.7%	1.23Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.3%	4.93Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.4%	1.70Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.6%	2.37Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.3%	2.70Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	70.7%	1.54Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	4.70Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	1.21Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	53.4%	1.57William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	46.6%	2.63Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	75.2%	1.481xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	49.3%	1.57Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	75.6%	1.311xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	66.0%	—
Away team to concede	80.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:40 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Beşiktaş4–1

Marseille

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home67.7%Odds 1.76

Draw20.0%Odds 4.35

Away12.3%Odds 4.50

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.1%

1.50Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.50 mean?

Potential return £150.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £50.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 66.7%. Displayed chance: 51.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	67.7%	1.76SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	20.0%	4.35Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	12.3%	4.50Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	1.03Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	19.501xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.5%	1.16Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.5%	5.84Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.1%	1.50Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.9%	2.71Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.0%	2.25Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	71.0%	1.721xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.0%	4.00Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	86.0%	1.29Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	44.2%	1.50William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	55.8%	2.55BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	87.7%	1.24Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	32.3%	2.15Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	80.0%	1.25William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	51.0%	—
Away team to concede	86.6%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:40 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Juventus5–0

NEC Nijmegen

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home52.5%Odds 1.18

Draw24.5%Odds 8.53

Away22.9%Odds 19.00

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

49.3%

1.42BetanoSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.42 mean?

Potential return £142.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £42.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 70.4%. Displayed chance: 49.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	52.5%	1.18Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	24.5%	8.53Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	22.9%	19.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	1.02Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	25.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	74.2%	1.13Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	25.8%	7.00Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	49.3%	1.42Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	50.7%	3.10Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	27.4%	2.02Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	72.6%	1.87Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	3.40Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	1.36Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	51.0%	2.10Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	49.0%	1.83Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	77.1%	1.04BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	47.5%	5.55Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	75.5%	1.10Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	63.2%	—
Away team to concede	80.7%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:40 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Real Sociedad1–2

Bournemouth

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home42.3%Odds 3.45

Draw26.1%Odds 3.70

Away31.6%Odds 2.30

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

48.4%

1.66SBOSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.66 mean?

Potential return £166.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £66.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 60.2%. Displayed chance: 48.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	42.3%	3.45Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	26.1%	3.70Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	31.6%	2.30Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	1.04Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	16.501xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	73.4%	1.20Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	26.6%	5.06Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	48.4%	1.66SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	51.6%	2.41Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	26.6%	2.50Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	73.4%	1.57Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	4.41Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	1.23Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	52.8%	1.53Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	47.2%	2.55BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	68.4%	1.76Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	57.7%	1.42Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	73.9%	1.32Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	69.6%	—
Away team to concede	75.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:40 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

England · League One20:00 UK

AFC Wimbledon0–0

Milton Keynes Dons

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home32.0%Odds 2.90

Draw26.2%Odds 3.51

Away41.8%Odds 2.56

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

48.2%

1.93PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.93 mean?

Potential return £193.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £93.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 51.8%. Displayed chance: 48.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	32.0%	2.90SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	26.2%	3.51Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	41.8%	2.56Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	1.06Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	11.00Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	73.3%	1.29BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	26.7%	3.75Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	48.2%	1.93Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	51.8%	1.97SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	26.5%	3.25Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	73.5%	1.36Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	7.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	1.13Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	52.7%	1.70Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	47.3%	2.25Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	58.2%	1.57SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	68.0%	1.47Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	73.8%	1.33Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	75.5%	—
Away team to concede	69.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:50 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League17:45 UK

Levski Sofia0–1

Red Bull Salzburg

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home37.9%Odds 3.45

Draw26.7%Odds 3.70

Away35.3%Odds 2.15

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

46.6%

1.701xBetSnapshot 17 Sep, 17:35 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.70 mean?

Potential return £170.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £70.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 58.8%. Displayed chance: 46.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	37.9%	3.45Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Draw	26.7%	3.70Bet365 17 Sep, 17:35
Away win	35.3%	2.151xBet 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 0.5 goals	92.1%	1.04Bet365 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 0.5 goals	7.9%	15.001xBet 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 1.5 goals	72.1%	1.22Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 1.5 goals	27.9%	4.70Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 2.5 goals	46.6%	1.701xBet 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 2.5 goals	53.4%	2.28Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 3.5 goals	25.1%	2.64Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 3.5 goals	74.9%	1.52Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Over 4.5 goals	11.4%	4.80BetVictor 17 Sep, 17:35
Under 4.5 goals	88.6%	1.21Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Both teams to score — Yes	51.7%	1.57William Hill 17 Sep, 17:35
Both teams to score — No	48.3%	2.50Betfair 17 Sep, 17:35
Home or draw	64.7%	1.75Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:35
Away or draw	62.1%	1.36Betano 17 Sep, 17:35
Home or away	73.3%	1.31Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:35
Home team to concede	71.1%	—
Away team to concede	72.7%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Celtic1–3

Ferencvarosi TC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home35.0%Odds 1.75

Draw27.0%Odds 4.20

Away37.9%Odds 4.90

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

45.5%

1.53Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Displayed chance: 45.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	35.0%	1.75Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	27.0%	4.20BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	37.9%	4.90Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	1.03Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	19.001xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	71.2%	1.17Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	28.8%	5.50Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%	1.53Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	2.58Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	24.1%	2.35Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	75.9%	1.671xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	4.20Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	1.27Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	50.8%	1.55Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	49.2%	2.50William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	62.1%	1.23Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	65.0%	2.21SBO 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	73.0%	1.26Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	72.1%	—
Away team to concede	70.4%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Spain · La Liga18:00 UK

Real Betis1–0

Getafe

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home56.4%Odds 1.57

Draw24.7%Odds 4.30

Away18.9%Odds 7.75

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

44.3%

2.05PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 17:52 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.05 mean?

Potential return £205.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £105.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 48.8%. Displayed chance: 44.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	56.4%	1.57Betano 17 Sep, 17:52
Draw	24.7%	4.30Betano 17 Sep, 17:52
Away win	18.9%	7.75Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:52
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	1.07Betano 17 Sep, 17:52
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	11.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 17:52
Over 1.5 goals	70.2%	1.34Betano 17 Sep, 17:52
Under 1.5 goals	29.8%	3.50Bet365 17 Sep, 17:52
Over 2.5 goals	44.3%	2.05Pinnacle 17 Sep, 17:52
Under 2.5 goals	55.7%	1.91Bet365 17 Sep, 17:52
Over 3.5 goals	23.1%	3.60Betfair 17 Sep, 17:52
Under 3.5 goals	76.9%	1.33Bet365 17 Sep, 17:52
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	7.50Betfair 17 Sep, 17:52
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	1.11Bet365 17 Sep, 17:52
Both teams to score — Yes	45.0%	2.15Betfair 17 Sep, 17:52
Both teams to score — No	55.0%	1.80William Hill 17 Sep, 17:52
Home or draw	81.1%	1.14Betano 17 Sep, 17:52
Away or draw	43.6%	2.65Marathonbet 17 Sep, 17:52
Home or away	75.3%	1.271xBet 17 Sep, 17:52
Home team to concede	56.1%	—
Away team to concede	80.3%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 15:38 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

Cittadella2–0

Juventus U23

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home53.3%Odds 1.67

Draw26.0%Odds 3.75

Away20.7%Odds 5.01

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

41.8%

1.90Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.90 mean?

Potential return £190.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £90.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 52.6%. Displayed chance: 41.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	53.3%	1.67William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	26.0%	3.75BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	20.7%	5.01Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	1.05Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	11.00Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	68.1%	1.29Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	31.9%	3.60BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	41.8%	1.90Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	58.2%	1.94Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	21.1%	3.40Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	78.9%	1.33Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	9.0%	7.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	91.0%	1.12Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	44.2%	1.87Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	55.8%	1.91William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	79.3%	1.18BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	46.7%	2.10Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	74.0%	1.29William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	56.7%	—
Away team to concede	78.0%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A20:00 UK

Renate0–0

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home37.0%Odds 2.13

Draw28.0%Odds 3.20

Away35.0%Odds 3.62

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

41.7%

2.20PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.20 mean?

Potential return £220.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £120.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 45.5%. Displayed chance: 41.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	37.0%	2.13Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	28.0%	3.20BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	35.0%	3.62Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	90.5%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	9.5%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	68.1%	1.38Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	31.9%	3.00Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	41.7%	2.20Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	58.3%	1.67Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	21.1%	4.10BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	78.9%	1.24Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	9.0%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	91.0%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	47.8%	1.91William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	52.2%	1.85Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	65.0%	1.31Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	63.0%	1.70Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	72.0%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	68.5%	—
Away team to concede	69.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

Lumezzane0–0

Novara

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home41.4%Odds 2.70

Draw28.2%Odds 3.13

Away30.3%Odds 2.70

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

40.0%

2.21PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.21 mean?

Potential return £221.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £121.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 45.2%. Displayed chance: 40.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	41.4%	2.70Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	28.2%	3.13BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	30.3%	2.70Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	89.8%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	10.2%	8.50Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	66.6%	1.38Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	33.4%	3.00Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	40.0%	2.21Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	1.67Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	19.8%	4.20Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	80.2%	1.25Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	46.0%	1.91Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	54.0%	1.87Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	69.7%	1.47Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	58.6%	1.50Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	71.8%	1.35William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	64.3%	—
Away team to concede	71.5%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Europa League20:00 UK

Lillestrom1–2

Torreense

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home46.5%Odds 1.67

Draw28.5%Odds 4.30

Away25.1%Odds 5.36

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

37.0%

1.671xBetSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Displayed chance: 37.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	46.5%	1.67Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	28.5%	4.301xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	25.1%	5.36Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	88.6%	1.04Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	11.4%	15.501xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	63.9%	1.21Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	36.1%	4.60BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	37.0%	1.671xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	63.0%	2.31Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	17.6%	2.63Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	82.4%	1.53Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	7.0%	4.80BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	93.0%	1.21Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	42.4%	1.67William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	57.6%	2.25Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	74.9%	1.20Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	53.5%	2.301xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	71.5%	1.24Marathonbet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	58.2%	—
Away team to concede	72.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

Pergolettese0–0

Folgore Caratese

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home44.3%Odds 2.76

Draw28.9%Odds 3.10

Away26.8%Odds 2.66

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

36.6%

2.35PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.35 mean?

Potential return £235.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £135.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 42.6%. Displayed chance: 36.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	44.3%	2.76Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	28.9%	3.10BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	26.8%	2.66Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	88.4%	1.10Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	11.6%	8.00Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	63.5%	1.44Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	36.5%	2.88Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	36.6%	2.35Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	63.4%	1.62Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	17.2%	4.60BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	82.8%	1.22Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	6.8%	9.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	93.2%	1.07Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	42.5%	1.95William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	57.5%	1.80Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	73.2%	1.47Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	55.7%	1.47Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	71.1%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	59.5%	—
Away team to concede	71.4%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

PRO Vercelli2–2

Alcione

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home31.6%Odds 2.63

Draw29.9%Odds 3.10

Away38.5%Odds 2.74

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

34.8%

2.35PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.35 mean?

Potential return £235.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £135.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 42.6%. Displayed chance: 34.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	31.6%	2.63Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	29.9%	3.10BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	38.5%	2.74Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	87.7%	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	12.3%	8.00Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	61.9%	1.42Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	38.1%	2.88Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	34.8%	2.35Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	65.2%	1.62Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	16.0%	4.50Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	84.0%	1.22Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	6.1%	9.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	93.9%	1.07Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	41.9%	1.95Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	58.1%	1.80Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	61.5%	1.45Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	68.4%	1.50Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	70.1%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	67.2%	—
Away team to concede	62.4%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A20:00 UK

Union Brescia2–2

Treviso

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home45.0%Odds 1.64

Draw30.6%Odds 3.60

Away24.4%Odds 5.88

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

30.7%

2.28PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.28 mean?

Potential return £228.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £128.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 43.9%. Displayed chance: 30.7%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	45.0%	1.64Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	30.6%	3.60Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	24.4%	5.88Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	85.6%	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	14.4%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	57.7%	1.42Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	42.3%	2.88Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	30.7%	2.28Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	69.3%	1.63Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	13.2%	4.40BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	86.8%	1.22Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	4.7%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	95.3%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	37.1%	2.20Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	62.9%	1.62Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	75.6%	1.15Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	55.0%	2.30Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	69.4%	1.29William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	53.9%	—
Away team to concede	68.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores01:30 UK

Corinthians0–1

Estudiantes L.P.

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home41.9%Odds 2.22

Draw31.2%Odds 2.92

Away26.9%Odds 4.50

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

30.1%

3.50Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 01:02 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 3.50 mean?

Potential return £350.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £250.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 28.6%. Displayed chance: 30.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	41.9%	2.22Pinnacle 17 Sep, 01:02
Draw	31.2%	2.921xBet 17 Sep, 01:02
Away win	26.9%	4.50Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Over 0.5 goals	85.3%	1.18Betano 17 Sep, 01:02
Under 0.5 goals	14.7%	5.50Betfair 17 Sep, 01:02
Over 1.5 goals	57.2%	1.80Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Under 1.5 goals	42.8%	2.07Pinnacle 17 Sep, 01:02
Over 2.5 goals	30.1%	3.50Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Under 2.5 goals	69.9%	1.34Betano 17 Sep, 01:02
Over 3.5 goals	12.9%	8.00Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Under 3.5 goals	87.1%	1.11Betano 17 Sep, 01:02
Over 4.5 goals	4.6%	21.00Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Under 4.5 goals	95.4%	1.03Betano 17 Sep, 01:02
Both teams to score — Yes	37.3%	2.75Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Both teams to score — No	62.7%	1.50William Hill 17 Sep, 01:02
Home or draw	73.1%	1.25Betano 17 Sep, 01:02
Away or draw	58.1%	1.80Bet365 17 Sep, 01:02
Home or away	68.8%	1.421xBet 17 Sep, 01:02
Home team to concede	55.9%	—
Away team to concede	66.8%	—

Calculated 16 Sep, 21:28 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

Albinoleffe1–2

Arzignano Valchiampo

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home41.3%Odds 2.41

Draw31.5%Odds 3.13

Away27.3%Odds 3.06

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

29.6%

2.30PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.30 mean?

Potential return £230.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £130.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 43.5%. Displayed chance: 29.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	41.3%	2.41Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	31.5%	3.13BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	27.3%	3.06Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	85.0%	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	15.0%	8.50Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	56.6%	1.40Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	43.4%	2.88Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	29.6%	2.30Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	70.4%	1.62Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	12.5%	4.40BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	87.5%	1.22Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	4.4%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	95.6%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	36.9%	1.91Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	63.1%	1.87Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	72.7%	1.38Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	58.7%	1.60Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	68.5%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	55.9%	—
Away team to concede	66.0%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

France · Ligue 319:45 UK

Bastia1–1

Cannes

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home21.7%Odds 2.88

Draw30.5%Odds 3.30

Away47.9%Odds 2.59

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

29.6%

2.15PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.15 mean?

Potential return £215.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £115.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.5%. Displayed chance: 29.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	21.7%	2.88Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	30.5%	3.30Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	47.9%	2.59Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	85.0%	1.07Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	15.0%	9.00Betfair 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	56.5%	1.36Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	43.5%	3.25Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	29.6%	2.15Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	70.4%	1.73Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	12.5%	3.90BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	87.5%	1.28Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	4.4%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	95.6%	1.10Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	35.2%	1.91Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	64.8%	1.91William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	52.1%	1.53Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	78.3%	1.50Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	69.5%	1.33William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	69.8%	—
Away team to concede	50.4%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A20:00 UK

Giana Erminio2–2

Trento

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home27.2%Odds 3.67

Draw31.6%Odds 3.20

Away41.2%Odds 2.11

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

29.2%

2.21PinnacleSnapshot 17 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.21 mean?

Potential return £221.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £121.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 45.2%. Displayed chance: 29.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	27.2%	3.67Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Draw	31.6%	3.20BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Away win	41.2%	2.11Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	84.8%	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	15.2%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	56.2%	1.40Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	43.8%	3.05Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	29.2%	2.21Pinnacle 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	70.8%	1.67Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	12.2%	4.10BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	87.8%	1.25Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	4.3%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	95.7%	1.08Bet365 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	36.5%	1.91William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	63.5%	1.811xBet 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	58.8%	1.72Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	72.8%	1.31Betano 17 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	68.4%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	65.8%	—
Away team to concede	55.5%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 19:34 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A17:30 UK

Desenzano Calvina1–3

Lecco

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home39.8%Odds 2.40

Draw33.8%Odds 3.13

Away26.4%Odds 3.22

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

23.9%

2.20Bet365Snapshot 17 Sep, 13:56 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.20 mean?

Potential return £220.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £120.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 45.5%. Displayed chance: 23.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	39.8%	2.40Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Draw	33.8%	3.13BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Away win	26.4%	3.22Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 0.5 goals	81.5%	1.09Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 0.5 goals	18.5%	8.50BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 1.5 goals	50.3%	1.40Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 1.5 goals	49.7%	3.11Pinnacle 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 2.5 goals	23.9%	2.20Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 2.5 goals	76.1%	1.65Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 3.5 goals	9.1%	4.33Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 3.5 goals	90.9%	1.23Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Over 4.5 goals	2.9%	9.00BetVictor 17 Sep, 13:56
Under 4.5 goals	97.1%	1.08Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — Yes	31.8%	1.91Bet365 17 Sep, 13:56
Both teams to score — No	68.2%	1.87Betfair 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or draw	73.6%	1.36William Hill 17 Sep, 13:56
Away or draw	60.2%	1.57Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home or away	66.2%	1.36Betano 17 Sep, 13:56
Home team to concede	51.5%	—
Away team to concede	61.8%	—

Calculated 17 Sep, 17:18 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →