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Lithuania vs Poland match centre

Lithuania badgeLithuaniaHome · 5 in league
DLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling11/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Poland badgePolandAway · 2 in league
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Szymanski15′
R. Lewandowski64′
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas · KaunasSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LithuaniaPoland
4Corner Kicks8
21Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
368Total passes395
285Passes accurate316

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lithuania 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Poland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lithuania

0/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Lithuania’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Poland

5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Poland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Lithuania

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 3 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Poland

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lithuania at home with Poland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

LithuaniaPoland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lithuania at home with Poland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lithuania

Confirmed formation5-4-1Edgaras Jankauskas
  1. 12T. SvedkauskasG
  2. 17P. SirvysD
  3. 18V. ArmalasD
  4. 4E. GirdvainisD
  5. 2A. TutyskinasD
  6. 13J. LasickasD
  7. 22P. GolubickasM
  8. 15G. GineitisM
  9. 11G. SirgedasM
  10. 14V. SlivkaM
  11. 10F. CernychF
Substitutes (11)

1 · D. Bartkus

23 · V. Sarkauskas

3 · R. Lekiatas

5 · M. Beneta

6 · M. Vorobjovas

8 · T. Kalinauskas

9 · G. Paulauskas

16 · D. Antanavicius

19 · K. Upstas

20 · E. Jankauskas

21 · N. Petkevicius

Poland

Confirmed formation3-4-3Jan Urban
  1. 1L. SkorupskiG
  2. 3P. WisniewskiD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 14J. KiwiorD
  5. 2M. CashM
  6. 17B. SliszM
  7. 10P. ZielinskiM
  8. 21M. SkorasM
  9. 20S. SzymanskiF
  10. 9R. LewandowskiF
  11. 13J. KaminskiF
Substitutes (12)

12 · K. Grabara

22 · K. Tobiasz

4 · T. Kedziora

6 · J. Piotrowski

7 · K. Swiderski

8 · B. Kapustka

11 · K. Grosicki

15 · A. Pyrka

16 · P. Wszolek

18 · J. Ziolkowski

19 · K. Kozlowski

23 · K. Piatek

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lithuania

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tomas Švedkauskas907.2—0—29—
Pijus Širvys906.6—01291
Vilius Armalas906.3—0—382
Edvinas Girdvainis856.7—0231—
Artemijus Tutyškinas906.5—0—51—
Justas Lasickas906.3—0—401
Paulius Golubickas666.2—0—181
Gvidas Gineitis906.6—0—431
Gratas Sirgėdas666.9—0128—
Vykintas Slivka856.5—0—22—
Fedor Černych736.3—01221
Modestas Vorobjovas246.3—0—7—
Tomas Kalinauskas246.3—0—5—
Eligijus Jankauskas176.5—0—3—
Gytis Paulauskas106.7—0—1—
Nauris Petkevičius106.3—0—1—
Džiugas Bartkus———————
Vincentas Sarkauskas———————
Rokas Lekiatas———————
Markas Beneta———————
Klaudijus Upstas———————
Domantas Antanavičius———————

Poland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Łukasz Skorupski906.6—0—33—
Przemysław Wiśniewski837.2—01363
Jan Bednarek907.6—0—38—
Jakub Kiwior907.6—01555
Matty Cash897.9—02365
Bartosz Slisz896.9—0—461
Piotr Zieliński907.5—0—501
Michał Skóraś907.0—0—295
Sebastian Szymański829.3111225
Robert Lewandowski907.710326—
Jakub Kamiński897.0—01171
Karol Świderski86.9—0—2—
Jan Ziółkowski126.3—0—3—
Paweł Wszołek1——0—1—
Kamil Grosicki1——0—11
Bartosz Kapustka1——0———
Kamil Grabara———————
Kacper Tobiasz———————
Tomasz Kędziora———————
Arkadiusz Pyrka———————
Jakub Piotrowski———————
Kacper Kozłowski———————
Krzysztof Piątek———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group G. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Netherlands86202742320
WDWWW
2Poland8521147717
WDWWD
3Finland8314814-610
LLWLW
4Malta8125419-155
LWLDL
5Lithuania8035615-93
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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