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Premier LeagueMatchweek 29
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest match centre

Manchester City badgeManchester CityHome · 2 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Nottingham Forest badgeNottingham ForestAway · 16 in league
DWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling22/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Rodri62′
Etihad Stadium · ManchesterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
Manchester CityNottingham Forest
5Corner Kicks1
10Fouls6
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
768Total passes326
708Passes accurate266

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 358940 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Manchester City2.73xG

2 goals -0.73 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Nottingham Forest1.24xG

2 goals +0.76 vs xG

69%Share of total xG · not a win probability31%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Manchester City Nottingham ForestBoth teams attack →
Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 1′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 1′ · Blocked Shot · 0.07 xGManchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 7′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGManchester City · Bernardo Silva · 19′ · Saved Shot · 0.08 xGManchester City · Phil Foden · 22′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xGManchester City · Bernardo Silva · 23′ · Blocked Shot · 0.05 xGManchester City · Phil Foden · 23′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 26′ · Saved Shot · 0.10 xGManchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 31′ · Goal · 0.47 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 34′ · Saved Shot · 0.03 xGManchester City · Erling Haaland · 43′ · Missed Shots · 0.32 xGManchester City · Bernardo Silva · 49′ · Saved Shot · 0.08 xGManchester City · Rodri · 50′ · Blocked Shot · 0.01 xGManchester City · Mathis Cherki · 52′ · Missed Shots · 0.10 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 56′ · Goal · 0.61 xGManchester City · Bernardo Silva · 58′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGManchester City · Mathis Cherki · 58′ · Blocked Shot · 0.11 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 59′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGManchester City · Erling Haaland · 61′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGManchester City · Rodri · 62′ · Goal · 0.51 xGNottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 76′ · Goal · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 81′ · Missed Shots · 0.09 xGManchester City · Jéremy Doku · 82′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGManchester City · Marc Guehi · 86′ · Missed Shots · 0.09 xGNottingham Forest · Ryan Yates · 91′ · Missed Shots · 0.25 xGManchester City · Rodri · 93′ · Missed Shots · 0.11 xGManchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 96′ · Shot On Post · 0.04 xGManchester City · Bernardo Silva · 99′ · Blocked Shot · 0.12 xGManchester City · Sávio · 99′ · Blocked Shot · 0.14 xGManchester City · Sávio · 99′ · Blocked Shot · 0.43 xG

30 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 30 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
1′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.04
1′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.07
7′Antoine SemenyoManchester CityMissed Shots0.04
19′Bernardo SilvaManchester CitySaved Shot0.08
22′Phil FodenManchester CityMissed Shots0.01
23′Bernardo SilvaManchester CityBlocked Shot0.05
23′Phil FodenManchester CitySaved Shot0.02
26′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.10
31′Antoine SemenyoManchester CityGoal0.47
34′Igor JesusNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.03
43′Erling HaalandManchester CityMissed Shots0.32
49′Bernardo SilvaManchester CitySaved Shot0.08
50′RodriManchester CityBlocked Shot0.01
52′Mathis CherkiManchester CityMissed Shots0.10
56′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestGoal0.61
58′Bernardo SilvaManchester CityBlocked Shot0.04
58′Mathis CherkiManchester CityBlocked Shot0.11
59′Igor JesusNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.02
61′Erling HaalandManchester CityBlocked Shot0.04
62′RodriManchester CityGoal0.51
76′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestGoal0.02
81′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.09
82′Jéremy DokuManchester CityMissed Shots0.04
86′Marc GuehiManchester CityMissed Shots0.09
91′Ryan YatesNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.25
93′RodriManchester CityMissed Shots0.11
96′Antoine SemenyoManchester CityShot On Post0.04
99′Bernardo SilvaManchester CityBlocked Shot0.12
99′SávioManchester CityBlocked Shot0.14
99′SávioManchester CityBlocked Shot0.43

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Manchester City

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Nottingham Forest

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

2.0Goals scored / match0.9
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
12Clean sheets6
4Failed to score13
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Manchester City

Formation4-1-3-2Pep Guardiola
  1. 25G. DonnarummaForm 7.0Ability 89G
  2. 27M. NunesForm 6.9Ability 83D
  3. 3R. DiasForm 7.2Ability 87D
  4. 15M. GuehiForm 7.5Ability —D
  5. 21R. Ait-NouriForm 6.9Ability 81D
  6. 16RodriForm 7.5Ability 90M
  7. 47P. FodenForm 7.0Ability —M
  8. 20B. SilvaForm 6.9Ability 84M
  9. 10R. CherkiForm 7.2Ability —M
  10. 9E. HaalandForm 7.3Ability —F
  11. 42A. SemenyoForm 6.9Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

1 · J. TraffordForm 7.1Ability —

4 · T. ReijndersForm 6.9Ability 84

11 · J. DokuForm 7.4Ability —

5 · J. StonesForm 6.5Ability 82

6 · N. AkeForm 6.8Ability —

7 · O. MarmoushForm 6.7Ability 82

14 · NicoForm 7.0Ability 81

26 · SavinhoForm 6.8Ability 80

45 · A. KhusanovForm 6.9Ability —

Nottingham Forest

Formation5-3-2Vitor Pereira
  1. 26M. SelsForm 6.8Ability —G
  2. 34O. AinaForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 23CunhaForm 6.6Ability 75D
  4. 31N. MilenkovicForm 6.8Ability 80D
  5. 5MurilloForm 7.0Ability 82D
  6. 3N. WilliamsForm 6.9Ability —D
  7. 16N. DominguezForm 6.8Ability —M
  8. 6I. SangareForm 7.0Ability 78M
  9. 8E. AndersonForm 7.4Ability —M
  10. 10M. Gibbs-WhiteForm 6.9Ability —F
  11. 19Igor JesusForm 6.6Ability 77F
Substitutes (9)

18 · A. GunnForm 6.3Ability —

9 · T. AwoniyiForm 6.7Ability —

22 · R. YatesForm 6.7Ability —

25 · L. NetzForm 6.7Ability 73

24 · J. McAteeForm 6.5Ability —

7 · C. Hudson-OdoiForm 6.9Ability —

14 · D. NdoyeForm 6.6Ability —

4 · MoratoForm 7.0Ability 75

21 · O. HutchinsonForm 6.8Ability —

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Manchester City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gianluigi Donnarumma906.0—0—19—
Matheus Nunes906.3—0—792
Rúben Dias907.2—0—881
Marc Guéhi906.9—0191—
Rayan Aït-Nouri777.3—1—771
Rodri908.21021061
Phil Foden776.9—02631
Bernardo Silva908.5—021121
Rayan Cherki828.3—11861
Erling Haaland906.0—017—
Antoine Semenyo907.3103261
Abdukodir Khusanov136.6—0—9—
Jérémy Doku137.0—0171
Savinho86.9—024—
James Trafford———————
John Stones———————
Nathan Aké———————
Tijjani Reijnders———————
Nico González———————
Omar Marmoush———————

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matz Sels907.0—0—35—
Ola Aina906.3—0—183
Jair906.2—0—321
Nikola Milenković906.3—0—40—
Murillo907.3—0—33—
Neco Williams896.5—0—243
Nicolás Domínguez637.2—0—273
Ibrahim Sangaré906.3—0—262
Elliot Anderson908.5102455
Morgan Gibbs-White897.3102231
Igor Jesus796.9—11131
Callum Hudson-Odoi276.6—1—101
Taiwo Awoniyi116.5—0—1—
Morato97.5—0———
Ryan Yates96.3—012—
Angus Gunn———————
Luca Netz———————
Omari Hutchinson———————
Dan Ndoye———————
James McAtee———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
Etihad Stadium
Referee
Darren England, England
Kickoff
4 Mar · 19:30 UK
Match data by API-Football
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