Heerenveen
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Heerenveen’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREHeerenveen vs Heracles match centre
86′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Trenskow35′
L. Nordas45+5′ (pen)
R. Pasveer47′ (og)
M. Rivera51′
M. Engels21′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
86′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Heerenveen
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Heracles
Another goal14.2%before full time
Next goal: Heerenveen 8.5% · no further goal 85.8% · Heracles 5.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.HeerenveenHeracles
3.550Expected goals · API-Football1.330
13Shots on target3
22Total Shots5
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks1
11Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves10
540Total passes249
469Passes accurate194
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 34 | +7 | 53 | ↑ 2 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | -52 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Heerenveen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Heracles 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Heracles
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Heracles’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Heerenveen
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NEC NijmegenAway · Eredivisie2–2TelstarHome · Eredivisie3–0ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie2–1PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleHome · Eredivisie4–2GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie3–1TwenteAway · Eredivisie0–5PSV EindhovenAway · KNVB Beker1–4UtrechtHome · Eredivisie1–1
Heracles
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie1–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie0–4UtrechtHome · Eredivisie0–0PSV EindhovenHome · Eredivisie1–3GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie0–4NAC BredaHome · Eredivisie0–1NEC NijmegenAway · Eredivisie1–4Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie2–1FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie2–4TwenteHome · Eredivisie0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heerenveen at home with Heracles away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
HeerenveenHeracles
28Matches played28
41Points earned19
11Wins5
1.8Goals scored / match1.2
1.7Goals conceded / match2.5
3Clean sheets2
5Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heerenveen at home with Heracles away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Heerenveen
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Robin Veldman
- 22
B. KlaverboerG - 45
O. BraudeD - 4
S. KerstenD - 3
M. WillemsenD - 19
V. ZagaritisD - 6
J. van OvereemM - 16
M. LindayM - 20
J. TrenskowM - 10
R. MeerveldM - 7
M. RiveraM - 18
L. NordasF
Substitutes (11)
31 · N. Bakker
30 · T. Schreuder
8 · L. Brouwers
28 · H. Petrov
17 · N. Hopland
15 · M. Egbring
36 · N. Courtens
38 · I. Mulder
35 · I. Ahmed
50 · E. Gurbuz
11 · L. Oyen
Heracles
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernest Faber
- 22
R. PasveerG - 2
M. BenitaD - 4
D. MiraniD - 18
A. Van HoorenbeeckD - 24
I. MesikD - 73
W. Ould ChikhM - 32
S. SchepermanM - 14
E. AhlstrandM - 10
T. BrunsM - 8
M. EngelsM - 25
L. ZeefuikF
Substitutes (11)
30 · R. Mantel
16 · T. Jansink
6 · S. Cestic
7 · B. Limbombe
42 · J. Kerkdijk
5 · D. van der Kust
9 · N. Unuvar
3 · J. Wieckhoff
19 · L. Kulenovic
21 · Y. Borges Sanches
17 · T. van Gilst
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Heerenveen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Oliver Braude | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 1 |
| Sam Kersten | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Maas Willemsen | 77 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | 77 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Joris van Overeem | 64 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 49 | — |
| Marcus Linday | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 1 |
| Jacob Trenskow | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| Ringo Meerveld | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | — |
| Maxence Rivera | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 3 |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | 85 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | — |
| Luuk Brouwers | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Mats Egbring | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Luca Oyen | 5 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Eser Gürbüz | 5 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ingmar Mulder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Schreuder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolai Soyset Hopland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolhan Courtens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nordin Bakker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heracles
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remko Pasveer | 90 | 10.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Mimeirhel Benita | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Damon Mirani | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Ivan Mesík | 58 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Walid Ould-Chikh | 58 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 3 |
| Sem Scheperman | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 |
| Erik Ahlstrand | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Thomas Bruns | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Mario Engels | 58 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | — |
| Lequincio Zeefuik | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Tristan van Gilst | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| Djevencio van der Kust | 32 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Sava Arangel Čestić | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Jannes Wieckhoff | 32 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Luka Kulenović | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Robin Mantel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Limbombe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naci Ünüvar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Jansink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesper Kerkdijk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvandro Borges Sanches | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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