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EredivisieMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam match centre

NAC Breda badgeNAC BredaHome · 17 in league
WLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling21/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Sparta Rotterdam badgeSparta RotterdamAway · 10 in league
LLDLW
Momentum↗ Rising32/100OlderLatest
Rat Verlegh Stadion · BredaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.1%NAC Breda
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%Sparta Rotterdam
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: NAC Breda 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · Sparta Rotterdam 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NAC BredaSparta Rotterdam
11Corner Kicks3
11Fouls17
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
422Total passes340
343Passes accurate279

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Eredivisie

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1PSV Eindhoven33+5281—
2Feyenoord33+2462—
3Twente33+2358—
4NEC Nijmegen33+2356—
5Ajax33+2155—
6AZ Alkmaar33+751—
7Utrecht33+1150—
8Heerenveen33+450—
9Groningen33+345—
10Sparta Rotterdam34-2144—
11Fortuna Sittard33-1239—
12GO Ahead Eagles33+238—
13PEC Zwolle33-2537—
14Excelsior33-1435—
15Telstar33-734—
16FC Volendam33-1932—
17NAC Breda34-2329—
18Heracles33-4919—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

NAC Breda 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sparta Rotterdam 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

NAC Breda

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect NAC Breda’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sparta Rotterdam

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Sparta Rotterdam’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NAC Breda at home with Sparta Rotterdam away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

NAC BredaSparta Rotterdam
28Matches played28
23Points earned41
5Wins12
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.8Goals conceded / match1.7
4Clean sheets10
11Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NAC Breda at home with Sparta Rotterdam away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

NAC Breda

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carl Hoefkens
  1. 99D. BielicaG
  2. 3D. OdoiD
  3. 20F. JensenD
  4. 22R. HillenD
  5. 4B. KemperD
  6. 16M. BalardM
  7. 8C. LeemansM
  8. 7C. BrymM
  9. 10M. NassohM
  10. 11R. PaulaM
  11. 19A. SalamaF
Substitutes (12)

31 · K. Lamprou

1 · R. Kortsmit

24 · A. Ayew

90 · L. Holtby

15 · E. Mahmutovic

14 · K. Sowah

2 · B. Lucassen

32 · J. Talvitie

55 · B. Ghalidi

25 · C. Valerius

21 · J. Candelaria

26 · P. Reulen

Sparta Rotterdam

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Maurice Steijn
  1. 1J. DrommelG
  2. 2L. MartesD
  3. 3M. YoungD
  4. 4B. Martins IndiD
  5. 5T. QuinteroD
  6. 6J. BaasM
  7. 8J. KitolanoM
  8. 7M. van BergenM
  9. 10V. van CrooijM
  10. 11S. MitoM
  11. 9T. LauritsenF
Substitutes (12)

20 · F. Bednarek

30 · P. Kuiper

13 · J. de Guzman

21 · J. Toornstra

22 · P. van Aanholt

14 · A. Roaldsoy

19 · M. Zonneveld

15 · G. Vianello

16 · P. Clement

12 · S. Sambo

17 · C. Terho

18 · A. Santos

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

NAC Breda

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Bielica907.3—0—31—
Denis Odoi907.5—0—334
Fredrik Jensen906.9—0164—
Rio Hillen616.7—02513
Boy Kemper907.3—0—381
Maximilien Balard566.6—0—221
Clint Leemans906.9—0—601
Charles-Andreas Brym556.7—0111—
Mohamed Nassoh777.2—02143
Raul Paula906.6—03271
Amine Salama556.5—0—9—
Juho Talvitie356.6—0—16—
André Ayew356.3—019—
Kamal Sowah346.7—0—171
Lewis Holtby296.9—0—291
Pepijn Reulen136.3—0—2—
Roy Kortsmit———————
Cherrion Valerius———————
Jayden Candelaria———————
Enes Mahmutović———————
Boyd Lucassen———————
Kostas Lamprou———————
Brahim Ghalidi———————

Sparta Rotterdam

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joël Drommel907.2—0—43—
Lushendry Edward Martes456.5—0—16—
Marvin Young907.3—0—474
Bruno Martins Indi457.2—0—401
Teo Quintero907.2—0—354
Julian Baas456.5—0—19—
Joshua Kitolano907.7—0—23—
Mitchell van Bergen906.9—0321—
Vito van Crooij906.2—0—151
Shunsuke Mito756.9—02211
Tobias Lauritsen905.9—0117—
Ayoni Santos457.2—0—123
Shurandy Sambo457.3—0—262
Giannino Vianello456.9—0—91
Casper Terho156.3—0—5—
Milan Zonneveld———————
Alwande Roaldsoy———————
Patrick van Aanholt———————
Filip Bednarek———————
Jens Toornstra———————
Jonathan de Guzmán———————
Pascal Kuiper———————
Pelle Clement———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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