AFC Wimbledon
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect AFC Wimbledon’s results
League OneMatchweek 38THE MATCH CENTREAFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient match centre
90′ · Live
2:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Nkeng39′
R. Nkeng45+1′
D. Ballard15′
D. Ballard48′
J. Morris57′
D. Ballard70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%AFC Wimbledon
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Leyton Orient
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: AFC Wimbledon 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Leyton Orient 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AFC WimbledonLeyton Orient
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target7
12Total Shots14
55%Ball Possession45%
2Corner Kicks3
9Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
339Total passes293
216Passes accurate199
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Leyton Orient | 47 | -10 | 55 | ↑ 3 |
| 18 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | ↓ 1 |
| 19 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | ↓ 1 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 47 | -23 | 53 | ↓ 1 |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AFC Wimbledon 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leyton Orient 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leyton Orient
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Leyton Orient’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AFC Wimbledon
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leyton Orient
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AFC Wimbledon at home with Leyton Orient away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
AFC WimbledonLeyton Orient
36Matches played36
49Points earned42
14Wins12
1.3Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
7Clean sheets6
13Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AFC Wimbledon at home with Leyton Orient away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AFC Wimbledon
Confirmed formation3-5-2Johnnie Jackson
- 20
J. McDonnellG - 33
I. OgundereD - 31
J. LewisD - 6
R. JohnsonD - 30
R. Nkeng - 37
Z. NelsonM - 12
A. SmithM - 21
M. HippolyteM - 3
S. SeddonM - 9
O. BugielF - 11
M. BrowneF
Substitutes (7)
1 · N. Bishop
4 · J. Reeves
14 · M. Stevens
16 · A. Hackford
15 · P. Bauer
8 · C. Maycock
2 · N. Asiimwe
Leyton Orient
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Richie Wellens
- 12
W. DennisG - 2
T. JamesD - 16
K. CaseyD - 4
J. SimpsonD - 3
J. MorrisD - 15
T. BakinsonM - 22
A. AbdulaiM - 11
D. MitchellM - 25
C. WellensM - 7
O. O'NeillM - 32
D. BallardF
Substitutes (7)
33 · K. Cahill
44 · T. Archibald
14 · M. Craig
19 · F. Fawunmi
5 · D. Happe
8 · I. El Mizouni
20 · S. Perkins
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AFC Wimbledon
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe McDonnell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Isaac Ogundere | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Joe Lewis | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Ryan Johnson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| Junior Nkeng | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 |
| Zack Nelson | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Alistair Smith | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Myles Hippolyte | 74 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Omar Bugiel | 74 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Marcus Browne | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Jake Reeves | 16 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Antwoine Hackford | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mathew Stevens | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Nathan Bishop | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Bauer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Asiimwe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Maycock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leyton Orient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dennis | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Thomas James | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Kaelan Casey | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Jack Simpson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| James Morris | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Tyreeq Bakinson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | — |
| Azeem Abdulai | 84 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Demetri Mitchell | 68 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Charlie Wellens | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Ollie O'Neill | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Dominic Ballard | 83 | 9.6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | — |
| Daniel Happe | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Theodore Archibald | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Idris El Mizouni | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Sonny Perkins | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Favour Fawunmi | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Killian Cahill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Craig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →