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League OneMatchweek 39THE MATCH CENTRE

Lincoln vs Rotherham match centre

Lincoln badgeLincolnHome · 1 in league
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rotherham badgeRotherhamAway · 23 in league
LWLDL
Momentum↓ Low25/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Cann18′ (og)
B. House34′
R. Hackett-Fairchild45′
LNER stadium · LincolnSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Lincoln
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Rotherham
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Lincoln 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Rotherham 3.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
LincolnRotherham
7Corner Kicks4
11Fouls2
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
342Total passes430
236Passes accurate327

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln47+51106—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham47-3341—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lincoln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rotherham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lincoln

8/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Lincoln’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rotherham

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Rotherham’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lincoln at home with Rotherham away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

LincolnRotherham
38Matches played37
81Points earned36
24Wins9
1.9Goals scored / match1.0
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
15Clean sheets8
5Failed to score15

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lincoln at home with Rotherham away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lincoln

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michael Skubala
  1. 1G. WickensG
  2. 2T. DarikwaD
  3. 22T. HamerD
  4. 15S. BradleyD
  5. 6R. TowlerD
  6. 14C. McGrandlesM
  7. 24I. VarfolomeevM
  8. 7R. Hackett-FairchildM
  9. 10J. MoylanM
  10. 18B. HouseM
  11. 17R. StreetF
Substitutes (7)

13 · Z. Jeacock

20 · R. One

8 · T. Bayliss

16 · D. Jefferies

12 · E. Ring

19 · A. Lloyd

25 · D. Elerewe

Rotherham

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Matthew Hamshaw
  1. 13T. CannG
  2. 2J. RaffertyD
  3. 18L. AgbaireD
  4. 3Z. JulesD
  5. 6R. JamesD
  6. 4L. KellyM
  7. 15J. BaptisteM
  8. 11A. MarthaM
  9. 19J. BensonM
  10. 20D. WatmoreM
  11. 10S. NombeF
Substitutes (7)

1 · C. Dawson

28 · B. Cover

44 · D. Gore

41 · J. Ayres

49 · L. Sousa

29 · G. Biancheri

23 · J. Holmes

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lincoln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
George Wickens906.3—0—24—
Tendayi Darikwa907.2—01401
Thomas Hamer887.7—01482
Sonny Bradley907.0—0130—
Ryley Towler907.3—0—263
Conor McGrandles906.9—01472
Ivan Varfolomeev846.5—02422
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild839.2112271
Jack Moylan686.5—02231
Ben House907.5102274
Robert Street686.0—0—61
Dom Jefferies226.5—0—5—
Ryan One226.2—0—2—
Alfie Lloyd126.5—0—2—
Tom Bayliss116.9—0—52
Deji Elerewe2——0———
Zachary Jeacock———————
Erik Ring———————

Rotherham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ted Cann906.0—0—34—
Joe Rafferty906.3—01494
Lenny Agbaire907.2—0—45—
Zak Jules906.9—0—511
Reece James806.3—0—361
Liam Kelly796.9—01542
Jamal Baptiste906.9—01573
ArJany Martha456.2—0—13—
Josh Benson656.2—0—37—
Duncan Watmore656.5—0—20—
Sam Nombe906.3—01111
Gabriele Biancheri456.2—0—131
Daniel Gore256.6—0—191
Josh Ayres256.5—0—5—
Brandon Cover116.5—0—1—
Lino Sousa106.3—0—4—
Cameron Dawson———————
Jack Holmes———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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