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League OneMatchweek 39THE MATCH CENTRE

Wigan vs Exeter City match centre

Wigan badgeWiganHome · 16 in league
WDLWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Exeter City badgeExeter CityAway · 21 in league
DLLLL
Momentum↓ Low5/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Taylor5′
F. Murray85′
The Brick Community Stadium · WiganSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Wigan
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Exeter City
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Wigan 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Exeter City 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
WiganExeter City
3Corner Kicks4
6Fouls13
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
323Total passes422
237Passes accurate323

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan47-759—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City47-1149—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Wigan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Exeter City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Wigan

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Wigan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Exeter City

0/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Exeter City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wigan at home with Exeter City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:28 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

WiganExeter City
37Matches played38
42Points earned42
10Wins11
1.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
9Clean sheets11
11Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wigan at home with Exeter City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Wigan

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Gary Caldwell
  1. 1S. TickleG
  2. 4W. AimsonD
  3. 15J. KerrD
  4. 45C. LlytonD
  5. 21R. Borges RodriguesM
  6. 33O. MoxonM
  7. 6J. WeirM
  8. 7F. MurrayM
  9. 43H. BettoniF
  10. 25C. VickersF
  11. 10J. TaylorF
Substitutes (7)

30 · T. Savin

20 · C. McManaman

17 · M. Smith

11 · D. Costelloe

9 · C. Saydee

44 · J. Hungbo

23 · J. Carragher

Exeter City

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dan Green
  1. 1J. WhitworthG
  2. 26P. SweeneyD
  3. 20L. WoodhouseD
  4. 15J. YfekoD
  5. 14I. NiskanenM
  6. 10J. AitchisonM
  7. 6E. BrierleyM
  8. 2J. McMillanM
  9. 12R. ColeF
  10. 28T. Tuterov
  11. 9J. WarehamF
Substitutes (7)

23 · J. Bycroft

29 · K. McDonald

27 · J. Magennis

7 · C. Mendes

19 · S. Cox

17 · A. Higgins

21 · D. Andrew

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Wigan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sam Tickle907.0—0—30—
Will Aimson906.9—0—351
Jason Kerr907.3—0—491
Llyton Chapman877.6—0—52—
Raphael Rodrigues907.2—0—272
Owen Moxon866.7—0—22—
Jensen Weir907.2—0128—
Fraser Murray908.911132—
Harrison Bettoni616.3—01111
Caylan Vickers456.2—0110—
Joe Taylor827.21025—
Matthew Smith457.0—0123—
Dara Costelloe296.7—0—41
Joseph Hungbo86.7—0—11
Christian Saydee116.5—0—1—
James Carragher106.7—0—2—
Toby Savin———————
Callum McManaman———————

Exeter City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joe Whitworth907.0—0—53—
Pierce Sweeney906.3—0—921
Luca Woodhouse906.3—0—561
Johnly Yfeko456.2—0—251
Ilmari Niskanen907.2—0—325
Jack Aitchison746.7—0—242
Ethan Brierley756.5—0—32—
Jack McMillan906.7—0—223
Reece Cole656.7—0—201
Timur Tutierov146.5—0—2—
Jayden Wareham906.5—01162
Josh Magennis766.7—0120—
Danny Andrew456.9—0—242
Akeel Higgins256.9—0283
Carlos Mendes Gomes166.3—019—
Kevin McDonald156.3—0—17—
Jack Bycroft———————
Sonny Cox———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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