Nice
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Nice’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRENice vs Paris Saint Germain match centre
90′ · Live
0:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Mendes42′ (pen)
D. Doue49′
D. Fernandez81′
W. Zaire-Emery85′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Nice
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Paris Saint Germain
Another goal7.8%before full time
Next goal: Nice 1.8% · no further goal 92.2% · Paris Saint Germain 5.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NiceParis Saint Germain
0.240Expected goals · API-Football3.710
1Shots on target9
6Total Shots15
26%Ball Possession74%
2Corner Kicks5
11Fouls5
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
235Total passes687
188Passes accurate635
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 35 | +49 | 79 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 | Nice | 35 | -27 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nice 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Paris Saint Germain
7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nice
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nice at home with Paris Saint Germain away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
NiceParis Saint Germain
26Matches played25
27Points earned57
7Wins18
1.3Goals scored / match2.2
1.9Goals conceded / match0.9
4Clean sheets13
8Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nice at home with Paris Saint Germain away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nice
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Claude Puel
- 80
Y. DioufG - 33
A. MendyD - 4
DanteD - 28
J. BahD - 92
J. ClaussM - 8
M. SansonM - 55
Y. NdayishimiyeM - 6
H. BoudaouiM - 26
M. BardM - 10
S. DiopF - 11
E. WahiF
Substitutes (9)
31 · M. Dupe
2 · A. Abdi
24 · C. Vanhoutte
32 · K. Boudache
37 · K. Peprah
47 · T. Gouveia
90 · Kevin
20 · T. Louchet
39 · D. Coulibaly
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 39
M. SafonovG - 33
W. Zaire-EmeryD - 6
I. ZabarnyiD - 51
W. PachoD - 21
L. HernandezD - 19
Lee Kang-InM - 17
VitinhaM - 24
S. MayuluM - 14
D. DoueF - 7
K. KvaratskheliaF - 25
N. MendesF
Substitutes (8)
30 · L. Chevalier
89 · R. Marin
5 · Marquinhos
10 · O. Dembele
9 · G. Ramos
27 · D. Fernandez
4 · L. Beraldo
49 · I. Mbaye
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nice
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann Diouf | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Antoine Mendy | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Dante | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Abdulay Juma Bah | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| Jonathan Clauss | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Morgan Sanson | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye | 61 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Melvin Bard | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Sofiane Diop | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Elye Wahi | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Kaïl Boudache | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Ali Abdi | 19 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Maxime Dupé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles Vanhoutte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Coulibaly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Louchet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gouveia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 1 |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 93 | — |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 82 | 1 |
| Lucas Hernández | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Kang-in Lee | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Vitinha | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 101 | 2 |
| Senny Mayulu | 43 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Désiré Doué | 76 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 76 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 41 | 1 |
| Nuno Mendes | 76 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | 47 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 1 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 26 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Dro Fernández | 14 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Renato Marin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Chevalier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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