Paris Saint Germain
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREParis Saint Germain vs Chelsea match centre
90′ · Live
5:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Barcola10′
O. Dembele40′
Vitinha74′
K. Kvaratskhelia86′
K. Kvaratskhelia90+4′
M. Gusto28′
E. Fernandez57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Paris Saint Germain
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Chelsea
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Paris Saint Germain 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Chelsea 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Paris Saint GermainChelsea
0.870Expected goals · API-Football1.530
7Shots on target4
8Total Shots9
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks3
14Fouls6
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
580Total passes415
511Passes accurate347
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | +19 | 24 | — |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | +14 | 21 | — |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | — |
| 4 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | +13 | 17 | ↑ 7 |
| 5 |  Tottenham | 8 | +10 | 17 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 9 |  Chelsea | 9 | +4 | 16 | ↓ 3 |
| 10 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | +2 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | -1 | 12 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Paris Saint Germain 5–2 Chelsea
→Current progressionParis Saint Germain
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Chelsea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Chelsea
5/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Chelsea
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
WrexhamAway · FA Cup2–2Aston VillaAway · Premier League4–1ArsenalAway · Premier League1–2BurnleyHome · Premier League1–1Hull CityAway · FA Cup4–0LeedsHome · Premier League2–2WolvesAway · Premier League3–1ArsenalAway · League Cup0–1West HamHome · Premier League3–2NapoliAway · UEFA Champions League3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris Saint Germain at home with Chelsea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Paris Saint GermainChelsea
10Matches played8
18Points earned16
5Wins5
2.6Goals scored / match2.2
1.5Goals conceded / match1.3
2Clean sheets3
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Chelsea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 39
M. SafonovG - 2
A. HakimiD - 5
MarquinhosD - 51
W. PachoD - 25
N. MendesD - 33
W. Zaire-EmeryM - 17
VitinhaM - 87
J. NevesM - 14
D. DoueF - 10
O. DembeleF - 29
B. BarcolaF
Substitutes (11)
30 · L. Chevalier
89 · R. Marin
9 · G. Ramos
24 · S. Mayulu
27 · D. Fernandez
21 · L. Hernandez
7 · K. Kvaratskhelia
19 · Lee Kang-In
6 · I. Zabarnyi
4 · L. Beraldo
49 · I. Mbaye
Chelsea
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Liam Rosenior
- 12
F. JorgensenG - 27
M. GustoD - 29
W. FofanaD - 23
T. ChalobahD - 3
M. CucurellaD - 24
R. JamesM - 25
M. CaicedoM - 10
C. PalmerM - 8
E. FernandezM - 7
P. NetoM - 20
Joao PedroF
Substitutes (12)
50 · M. Merrick
1 · R. Sanchez
5 · B. Badiashile
49 · A. Garnacho
17 · Andrey Santos
19 · M. Sarr
38 · M. Guiu
4 · T. Adarabioyo
9 · L. Delap
45 · R. Lavia
21 · J. Hato
34 · J. Acheampong
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 4 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 73 | 4 |
| Nuno Mendes | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 78 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 1 |
| João Neves | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 7 |
| Désiré Doué | 62 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 69 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | — |
| Bradley Barcola | 77 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 3 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 28 | 9.3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Kang-in Lee | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Lucas Hernández | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Lucas Chevalier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dro Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Jørgensen | 90 | 4.6 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Malo Gusto | 88 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 4 |
| Wesley Fofana | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| Trevoh Chalobah | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| Reece James | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 5 |
| Cole Palmer | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Enzo Fernández | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 3 |
| Pedro Neto | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 22 | — |
| João Pedro | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| Roméo Lavia | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Liam Delap | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Robert Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Merrick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benoît Badiashile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Sarr | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorrel Hato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Acheampong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrey Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Guiu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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