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Ligue 1Matchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Strasbourg vs Nice match centre

Strasbourg badgeStrasbourgHome · 8 in league
DWDDW
Momentum→ Steady62/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Nice badgeNiceAway · 16 in league
LDLWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Godo28′
J. Enciso36′
S. El Mourabet42′
A. Mendy82′
Stade de la Meinau · StrasbourgSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Strasbourg
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Nice
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Strasbourg 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Nice 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
StrasbourgNice
4Corner Kicks9
7Fouls15
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
559Total passes375
502Passes accurate319

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Strasbourg35+1356↑ 1
8Monaco34+654↓ 1
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice35-2532—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Strasbourg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Nice 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Strasbourg

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Strasbourg’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nice

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Nice’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Strasbourg at home with Nice away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

StrasbourgNice
27Matches played27
40Points earned27
11Wins7
1.6Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match1.9
9Clean sheets4
5Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Strasbourg at home with Nice away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Strasbourg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gary O'Neil
  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 22G. DoueD
  3. 2A. OmobamideleD
  4. 6I. DoukoureD
  5. 3B. ChilwellD
  6. 29S. El MourabetM
  7. 8M. OyedeleM
  8. 80G. YassineM
  9. 11S. NanasiM
  10. 20M. GodoM
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · K. Johnsson

15 · D. D. Fofana

10 · E. Emegha

17 · M. Amougou

5 · A. Anselmino

32 · V. Barco

27 · S. Amo-Ameyaw

83 · R. Luis

24 · L. Hogsberg

Nice

Confirmed formation4-4-2Claude Puel
  1. 80Y. DioufG
  2. 92J. ClaussD
  3. 33A. MendyD
  4. 28J. BahD
  5. 26M. BardD
  6. 20T. LouchetM
  7. 8M. SansonM
  8. 6H. BoudaouiM
  9. 10S. DiopM
  10. 21I. JanssonF
  11. 11E. WahiF
Substitutes (9)

31 · M. Dupe

4 · Dante

2 · A. Abdi

22 · T. Ndombele

24 · C. Vanhoutte

32 · K. Boudache

99 · S. Abdul Samed

25 · M. Cho

23 · G. Bernardeau

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Strasbourg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Penders906.9—0—50—
Guéla Doué907.9—11673
Andrew Omobamidele777.2—0—78—
Ismael Doukouré906.9—0—81—
Ben Chilwell587.0—0—35—
Samir El Mourabet588.6111352
Maxi Oyedele907.0—0—66—
Gessime Yassine909.0—03369
Sebastian Nanasi905.2—0—35—
Martial Godo778.2103222
Julio Enciso898.3105192
Lucas Høgsberg326.5—0—24—
Valentín Barco326.2—0—23—
Emmanuel Emegha136.6—0—3—
Aarón Anselmino136.7—0—4—
Mathis Amougou1——0—3—
Rafael Luis———————
Karl-Johan Johnsson———————
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw———————
David Datro Fofana———————

Nice

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yehvann Diouf906.7—0—25—
Jonathan Clauss906.2—0—453
Antoine Mendy907.210150—
Abdulay Juma Bah456.3—0—172
Melvin Bard906.5—0—355
Morgan Sanson647.3—0—321
Hicham Boudaoui906.5—0—393
Tom Louchet906.3—0—383
Isak Jansson455.9—0—81
Sofiane Diop456.7—0—183
Elye Wahi806.5—02131
Mohamed-Ali Cho456.3—0117—
Dante457.0—1—122
Charles Vanhoutte456.7—0—251
Ali Abdi266.5—0—15—
Kaïl Boudache106.2—0—3—
Maxime Dupé———————
Gabin Bernardeau———————
Salis Abdul Samed———————
Tanguy Ndombélé———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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