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Ligue 1Matchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon match centre

Paris Saint Germain badgeParis Saint GermainHome · 1 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Lyon badgeLyonAway · 4 in league
DDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Kvaratskhelia90+4′
Endrick6′
A. Moreira18′
Parc des Princes · ParisSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Paris Saint Germain
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate95.3%Lyon
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Paris Saint Germain 4.8% · no further goal 91.8% · Lyon 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Paris Saint GermainLyon
13Corner Kicks5
10Fouls8
4Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
777Total passes240
718Passes accurate180

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain35+4476—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lyon35+1463↑ 1
4Lille34+1561↓ 1
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Paris Saint Germain 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lyon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lyon

1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Lyon’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris Saint Germain at home with Lyon away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Paris Saint GermainLyon
27Matches played29
63Points earned51
20Wins15
2.2Goals scored / match1.4
0.9Goals conceded / match1.0
14Clean sheets15
2Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Lyon away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Paris Saint Germain

Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
  1. 39M. SafonovG
  2. 2A. HakimiD
  3. 6I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 51W. PachoD
  5. 21L. HernandezD
  6. 24S. MayuluM
  7. 4L. BeraldoM
  8. 17VitinhaM
  9. 14D. DoueF
  10. 9G. RamosF
  11. 29B. BarcolaF
Substitutes (9)

30 · L. Chevalier

5 · Marquinhos

10 · O. Dembele

8 · F. Ruiz

87 · J. Neves

33 · W. Zaire-Emery

27 · D. Fernandez

7 · K. Kvaratskhelia

19 · Lee Kang-In

Lyon

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Paulo Fonseca
  1. 1D. GreifG
  2. 98A. Maitland-NilesD
  3. 22C. MataD
  4. 19M. NiakhateD
  5. 21R. KluivertD
  6. 23T. MortonM
  7. 5O. MangalaM
  8. 16Abner ViniciusM
  9. 44K. MerahM
  10. 9EndrickF
  11. 17A. MoreiraF
Substitutes (9)

40 · R. Descamps

18 · R. Ghezzal

77 · R. Yaremchuk

33 · H. Hateboer

6 · T. Tessmann

7 · A. Karabec

99 · N. Nartey

85 · N. Kamara

34 · S. Kango

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Paris Saint Germain

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matvey Safonov907.2—0—15—
Achraf Hakimi906.3—0—932
Ilya Zabarnyi907.0—0—1273
Willian Pacho907.3—0—123—
Lucas Hernandez907.0—0—942
Senny Mayulu596.2—0130—
Lucas Beraldo907.3—05583
Vitinha396.5—0—30—
Désiré Doué596.9—0140—
Gonçalo Ramos595.9—0315—
Bradley Barcola726.7—0129—
Warren Zaïre-Emery517.2—0—531
Kang-in Lee316.7—0—27—
Ousmane Dembélé316.5—028—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia318.210325—
Fabián Ruiz187.7—1—25—
Lucas Chevalier———————
Marquinhos———————
João Neves———————
Dro Fernández———————

Lyon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dominik Greif907.6—0—251
Ainsley Maitland-Niles907.2—0—162
Clinton Mata907.2—0—21—
Moussa Niakhaté907.0—0—241
Ruben Kluivert606.3—0—172
Tyler Morton906.6—0—332
Orel Mangala796.7—0—21—
Abner Vinícius906.3—01132
Khalis Merah856.9—0—224
Endrick798.2112132
Afonso Moreira909.3112212
Hans Hateboer306.6—0—81
Tanner Tessmann116.3—0—4—
Adam Karabec116.3—0—4—
Noham Kamara106.2—0—2—
Rémy Descamps———————
Steeve Kango———————
Noah Nartey———————
Rachid Ghezzal———————
Roman Yaremchuk———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerParis Saint GermainDrawLyon
Bet3651.306.008.50

Snapshot from 19 Apr 2026, 12:17 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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