Stade Brestois 29
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Stade Brestois 29’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREStade Brestois 29 vs Lens match centre
90′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Guindo7′
L. Tousart25′
J. Dina Ebimbe42′
F. Thauvin60′
A. Sima64′
A. Saint-Maximin90+5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.2%Stade Brestois 29
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.3%Lens
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Stade Brestois 29 3.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Lens 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Stade Brestois 29Lens
0.200Expected goals · API-Football2.650
3Shots on target4
5Total Shots21
36%Ball Possession64%
0Corner Kicks6
6Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves0
329Total passes570
246Passes accurate491
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 35 | +31 | 71 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 35 | -12 | 40 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Stade Brestois 29 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lens 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lens
5/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Lens’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Stade Brestois 29
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Lens
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stade Brestois 29 at home with Lens away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
Stade Brestois 29Lens
29Matches played29
37Points earned62
10Wins20
1.3Goals scored / match2.0
1.5Goals conceded / match1.0
9Clean sheets10
9Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stade Brestois 29 at home with Lens away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Stade Brestois 29
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Eric Roy
- 30
G. CoudertG - 77
K. LalaD - 5
B. ChardonnetD - 44
S. CoulibalyD - 27
D. GuindoD - 13
J. ChotardM - 10
R. Del CastilloM - 24
L. TousartM - 8
H. MagnettiM - 7
J. Dina EbimbeM - 19
L. AjorqueF
Substitutes (9)
50 · N. Jauny
1 · R. Majecki
17 · M. Balde
4 · J. M. Diaz
33 · H. Makalou
99 · P. Mboup
12 · L. Zogbe
21 · I. Y. Kante
39 · A. Lassus
Lens
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pierre Sage
- 40
R. RisserG - 25
I. GaniouD - 20
M. SarrD - 27
A. MasuakuD - 2
R. AguilarM - 8
M. SangareM - 28
A. ThomassonM - 14
M. UdolM - 7
F. SotocaF - 22
W. SaidF - 19
A. SimaF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Gorgelin
23 · S. Abdulhamid
10 · F. Thauvin
9 · A. Saint-Maximin
11 · O. Edouard
21 · A. Haidara
6 · S. Baidoo
5 · A. Bulatovic
38 · R. Fofana
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grégoire Coudert | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 44 | — |
| Kenny Lala | 97 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Brendan Chardonnet | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 27 | 2 |
| Soumaila Coulibaly | 97 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Daouda Guindo | 88 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Joris Chotard | 97 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Romain Del Castillo | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 35 | 1 |
| Lucas Tousart | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Hugo Magnetti | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Junior Dina Ebimbe | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Ludovic Ajorque | 97 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 5 |
| Mama Baldé | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| Michel Diaz | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Luc Zogbé | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pathé Mboup | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Radosław Majecki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Jauny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Lassus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamidou Makalou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Risser | 97 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | 97 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 83 | — |
| Malang Sarr | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 55 | — |
| Arthur Masuaku | 53 | 5.3 | — | — | — | 45 | 1 |
| Ruben Aguilar | 52 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 47 | 1 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 97 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 99 | 2 |
| Adrien Thomasson | 97 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 3 |
| Matthieu Udol | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 38 | 2 |
| Florian Sotoca | 52 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Wesley Said | 53 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Abdallah Sima | 64 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 6 | 10 | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | 45 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Florian Thauvin | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Samson Baidoo | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 15 | 2 |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | 44 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | — |
| Odsonne Édouard | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 4 | — |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrija Bulatovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Haidara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Fofana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Stade Brestois 29 | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.73 |
Snapshot from 23 Apr 2026, 18:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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