Lille
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Lille’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRELille vs Le Havre match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Haraldsson29′
I. Soumare33′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.7%Lille
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate2.8%Le Havre
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Lille 4.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Le Havre 2.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LilleLe Havre
1.460Expected goals · API-Football0.140
9Shots on target2
20Total Shots2
66%Ball Possession34%
12Corner Kicks5
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves8
464Total passes240
411Passes accurate172
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 | Lille | 35 | +15 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Le Havre | 35 | -12 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lille 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Le Havre 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Le Havre
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Le Havre’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lille
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Le Havre
10 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lille at home with Le Havre away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
LilleLe Havre
30Matches played30
54Points earned30
16Wins6
1.6Goals scored / match0.9
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
11Clean sheets7
9Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lille at home with Le Havre away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lille
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Bruno Genesio
- 1
B. OzerG - 12
T. MeunierD - 3
N. NgoyD - 23
A. MandiD - 15
R. PerraudD - 32
A. BouaddiM - 21
B. AndreM - 17
N. MukauM - 10
H. HaraldssonM - 27
F. CorreiaM - 7
M. Fernandez-PardoF
Substitutes (9)
16 · A. Bodart
9 · O. Giroud
11 · O. Sahraoui
4 · Alexsandro
8 · E. Mbappe
18 · C. Mbemba
24 · C. Verdonk
28 · G. Perrin
22 · T. Santos
Le Havre
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Didier Digard
- 99
M. DiawG - 7
L. NegoD - 15
A. SekoD - 4
G. LlorisD - 18
Y. ZouaouiD - 26
S. EbonogM - 19
L. Gourna-DouathM - 13
F. DoucoureM - 17
S. BoufalM - 45
I. SoumareM - 25
A. SamattaF
Substitutes (9)
77 · L. Mpasi-Nzau
10 · F. Mambimbi
11 · G. Kyeremeh
8 · Y. Kechta
33 · Y. Beau Djellel
32 · T. Pembele
6 · E. Youte Kinkoue
78 · D. N. Mosengo
27 · E. K. Vinette
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lille
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | 85 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 48 | 1 |
| Aïssa Mandi | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 62 | — |
| Romain Perraud | 74 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 39 | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Benjamin André | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| Ngal'ayel Mukau | 66 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 51 | 2 |
| Félix Correia | 74 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Calvin Verdonk | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Olivier Giroud | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Tiago Santos | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Arnaud Bodart | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osame Sahraoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Le Havre
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Loic Négo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Ayumu Seko | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Gautier Lloris | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 5 |
| Yanis Zouaoui | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 4 |
| Simon Ebonog | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Lucas Gourna-Douath | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Fodé Doucouré | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Sofiane Boufal | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 4 |
| Issa Soumaré | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Ally Samatta | 88 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Timothee Pembele | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Yassine Kechta | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Enzo Koffi | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Étienne Youte Kinkoue | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Lionel Mpasi Nzau | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daren Nbenbege Mosengo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yanis Beau Djellel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Godson Kyeremeh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Mambimbi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lille | Draw | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 21:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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