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Ligue 1Matchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRE

Rennes vs Paris FC match centre

Rennes badgeRennesHome · 6 in league
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Paris FC badgeParis FCAway · 11 in league
DDWDW
Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Lepaul74′
B. Embolo75′
W. Geubbels53′
Roazhon Park · RennesSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.5%Rennes
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Paris FC
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Rennes 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Paris FC 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
RennesParis FC
8Corner Kicks2
12Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
415Total passes411
328Passes accurate331

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Rennes35+1062↑ 3
4Lille34+1561↓ 1
5Lyon34+1360↓ 1
6Marseille34+1859↓ 1
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC35-444—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rennes 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paris FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rennes

7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Rennes’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paris FC

5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Paris FC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rennes at home with Paris FC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

RennesParis FC
31Matches played31
56Points earned38
16Wins9
1.8Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.5
10Clean sheets7
6Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rennes at home with Paris FC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rennes

Confirmed formation4-3-3Franck Haise
  1. 30B. SambaG
  2. 18M. NagidaD
  3. 48A. Ait BoudlalD
  4. 24A. RouaultD
  5. 26Q. MerlinD
  6. 17S. SzymanskiM
  7. 21V. RongierM
  8. 45M. CamaraM
  9. 11M. TamariF
  10. 9E. LepaulF
  11. 10L. BlasF
Substitutes (9)

60 · K. Belazzoug

70 · A. Nordin

36 · A. Seidu

77 · Y. Zabiri

4 · G. Kamara

7 · B. Embolo

3 · L. Brassier

65 · N. Mukiele

6 · D. Cisse

Paris FC

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Antoine Kombouare
  1. 35K. TrappG
  2. 14H. TraoreD
  3. 42D. CoppolaD
  4. 5M. MbowD
  5. 19N. SanguiD
  6. 33P. Lees-MelouM
  7. 23R. MatondoM
  8. 7A. GoryM
  9. 10I. KebbalM
  10. 24L. KoleoshoM
  11. 9W. GeubbelsF
Substitutes (9)

16 · O. Nkambadio

36 · C. Immobile

21 · M. Lopez

93 · J. Ikone

17 · A. Camara

27 · M. Simon

4 · V. Marchetti

18 · M. Munetsi

6 · Otavio

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rennes

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Brice Samba906.5—0—33—
Mahamadou Nagida767.2—0—441
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal907.3—02401
Anthony Rouault906.3—0154—
Quentin Merlin907.2—11463
Sebastian Szymański677.3—01262
Valentin Rongier906.6—0—551
Mahdi Camara907.0—0—293
Mousa Tamari906.6—0228—
Esteban Lepaul877.6103221
Ludovic Blas667.7—01271
Arnaud Nordin246.9—117—
Breel Embolo237.610151
Alidu Seidu146.9—0—8—
Djaoui Cissé106.3—0—1—
Kilian Belazzoug———————
Lilian Brassier———————
Glen Kamara———————
Yassir Zabiri———————
Nordan Mukiele———————

Paris FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kevin Trapp907.6—0—41—
Hamari Traoré766.9—0—371
Diego Coppola906.7—0—60—
Moustapha Mbow906.3—0—51—
Nhoa Sangui906.7—0—262
Pierre Lees Melou836.6—01352
Rudy Matondo906.2—0—261
Alimami Gory776.3—0—152
Ilan Kebbal456.6—0—24—
Luca Koleosho906.3—01273
Willem Geubbels717.210211—
Maxime López456.2—0131—
Ciro Immobile195.7—016—
Adama Camara147.6—0—111
Jonathan Ikoné136.6—0—10—
Vincent Marchetti146.6—0—8—
Obed Nkambadio———————
Otávio———————
Marshall Munetsi———————
Moses Simon———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerRennesDrawParis FC
Bet3651.554.505.50

Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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