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BundesligaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTRE

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim match centre

1. FC Köln badge1. FC KölnHome · 14 in league
WLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
1899 Hoffenheim badge1899 HoffenheimAway · 5 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Ache15′
S. El Mala63′
O. Kabak45′
A. Kramaric60′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
3Corner Kicks10
6Fouls12
1Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves2
265Total passes482
184Passes accurate388

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1. FC Köln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

1899 Hoffenheim 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Köln

2/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

1899 Hoffenheim

4/5Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect 1899 Hoffenheim’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
22Matches played22
23Points earned45
6Wins14
1.4Goals scored / match2.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets6
3Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1. FC Köln

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Lukas Kwasniok
  1. 1M. SchwabeG
  2. 2J. SchmiedD
  3. 33R. van den BergD
  4. 39C. OzkacarD
  5. 28S. SebulonsenM
  6. 6E. MartelM
  7. 5T. KraussM
  8. 32K. LundM
  9. 16J. KaminskiF
  10. 13S. El MalaF
  11. 9R. AcheF
Substitutes (9)

20 · R. Zieler

22 · J. Simpson-Pusey

27 · F. Chavez

18 · I. Johannesson

8 · D. Huseinbasic

40 · F. Schenten

30 · M. Bulter

7 · L. Waldschmidt

44 · M. Kobbing

1899 Hoffenheim

Confirmed formation3-5-2Christian Ilzer
  1. 1O. BaumannG
  2. 2R. HranacD
  3. 5O. KabakD
  4. 21A. HajdariD
  5. 34V. CoufalM
  6. 6G. PromelM
  7. 7L. AvdullahuM
  8. 18W. BurgerM
  9. 29B. ToureM
  10. 11F. AsllaniF
  11. 27A. KramaricF
Substitutes (9)

37 · L. Philipp

15 · V. Gendrey

25 · K. Akpoguma

10 · M. Damar

22 · A. Prass

48 · L. Djuric

49 · V. Lassig

31 · Y. Eduardo

33 · M. Moerstedt

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1. FC Köln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marvin Schwäbe907.5—0—48—
Joel Schmied906.3—0—171
Rav van den Berg906.2—0—16—
Cenk Özkaçar906.2—01382
Sebastian Sebulonsen696.9—0—152
Eric Martel907.3—01235
Tom Krauß897.2—0—327
Kristoffer Lund907.0—0—25—
Jakub Kamiński897.9—11241
Said El Mala858.211117—
Ragnar Ache857.21027—
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey216.6—0—4—
Marius Bülter116.3—0—2—
Luca Waldschmidt116.5—0———
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson1——0—2—
Fynn Schenten1——0———
Ron-Robert Zieler———————
Matthias Köbbing———————
Felipe Chávez———————
Denis Huseinbašić———————

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oliver Baumann906.5—0—30—
Robin Hranáč906.7—0—48—
Ozan Kabak907.9103631
Albian Hajdari906.9—1—591
Vladimír Coufal907.6—0—371
Grischa Prömel906.5—05485
Leon Avdullahu906.9—0—762
Wouter Burger736.9—0—332
Bazoumana Touré896.2—0318—
Fisnik Asllani896.7—0123—
Andrej Kramarić896.910234—
Alexander Prass176.9—01121
Max Moerstedt1——0—2—
Valentin Gendrey1——0—1—
Yannick Eduardo1——0———
Luca Philipp———————
Valentin Lässig———————
Kevin Akpoguma———————
Luka Duric———————
Muhammed Damar———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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