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BundesligaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg match centre

VfB Stuttgart badgeVfB StuttgartHome · 4 in league
LWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling45/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
VfL Wolfsburg badgeVfL WolfsburgAway · 16 in league
LLLDL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Undav21′
J. Leweling30′
J. Leweling42′
N. Nartey90+5′
MHPArena · StuttgartSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%VfB Stuttgart
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%VfL Wolfsburg
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · VfL Wolfsburg 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
VfB StuttgartVfL Wolfsburg
7Corner Kicks3
5Fouls16
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves7
615Total passes364
533Passes accurate280

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3VfB Stuttgart35+2665↑ 1
4RB Leipzig34+1965↓ 1
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg35-2829—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

VfB Stuttgart 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

VfB Stuttgart

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

VfL Wolfsburg

0/6Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with VfL Wolfsburg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

VfB StuttgartVfL Wolfsburg
23Matches played23
43Points earned20
13Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match1.5
1.4Goals conceded / match2.2
8Clean sheets1
2Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with VfL Wolfsburg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

VfB Stuttgart

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Sebastian Hoeness
  1. 33A. NubelG
  2. 29F. JeltschD
  3. 14L. JaquezD
  4. 3R. HendriksD
  5. 18J. LewelingM
  6. 16A. KarazorM
  7. 6A. StillerM
  8. 10C. FuhrichM
  9. 11B. El KhannoussF
  10. 26D. UndavF
  11. 9E. DemirovicF
Substitutes (9)

1 · F. Bredlow

22 · L. Assignon

7 · M. Mittelstadt

2 · A. Al Dakhil

30 · C. Andres

28 · N. Nartey

27 · B. Bouanani

25 · Jeremy Arevalo

8 · T. Tomas

VfL Wolfsburg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dieter Hecking
  1. 1K. GrabaraG
  2. 26S. KumbediD
  3. 15M. JenzD
  4. 4K. KoulierakisD
  5. 6J. BelocianD
  6. 24C. EriksenM
  7. 31Y. GerhardtM
  8. 11A. DaghimM
  9. 10L. MajerM
  10. 37P. HenselM
  11. 9M. AmouraF
Substitutes (9)

29 · M. Muller

3 · D. Vavro

18 · J. Adjetey

41 · J. Burger

5 · Vini Souza

19 · J. Lindstrom

25 · A. Zehnter

7 · K. Shiogai

17 · D. Pejcinovic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alexander Nübel907.2—0—48—
Finn Jeltsch907.2—0—762
Luca Jaquez687.0—0—52—
Ramon Hendriks907.2—0—711
Jamie Leweling778.920239—
Atakan Karazor907.6—01642
Angelo Stiller907.9—01923
Chris Führich887.9—13551
Bilal El Khannouss887.5—02481
Deniz Undav778.210229—
Ermedin Demirović907.7—14191
Ameen Al-Dakhil227.3—0—201
Nikolas Nartey137.91018—
Lorenz Assignon136.3—015—
Tiago Tomás97.3—1—21
Jeremy Arevalo96.7—014—
Fabian Bredlow———————
Maximilian Mittelstädt———————
Badredine Bouanani———————
Chema Andrés———————

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kamil Grabara907.0—0—41—
Saël Kumbedi906.7—0—343
Moritz Jenz907.3—0—361
Konstantinos Koulierakis905.5—0—351
Jeanuël Belocian856.0—0—373
Christian Eriksen906.2—0—46—
Yannick Gerhardt906.3—01322
Adam Daghim456.5—0—191
Lovro Majer456.0—0112—
Pharell Hensel626.5—0122—
Mohamed Amoura456.3—0113—
Jonas Adjei Adjetey456.2—0124—
Dženan Pejčinović456.5—0110—
Kento Shiogai456.3—0242
Jesper Lindstrøm286.2—0191
Aaron Zehnter126.2—0—41
Marius Müller———————
Jan Bürger———————
Denis Vavro———————
Vinícius Souza———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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