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BundesligaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach match centre

Bayern München badgeBayern MünchenHome · 1 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Borussia Mönchengladbach badgeBorussia MönchengladbachAway · 12 in league
DDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Diaz33′
K. Laimer45+1′
J. Musiala57′ (pen)
N. Jackson79′
W. Mohya89′
Allianz Arena · MunichSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Bayern München
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Borussia Mönchengladbach
Another goal7.4%before full time

Next goal: Bayern München 5.2% · no further goal 92.6% · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Bayern MünchenBorussia Mönchengladbach
4Corner Kicks1
7Fouls12
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
725Total passes319
669Passes accurate253

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München35+8992—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach35-1438—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bayern München 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with Borussia Mönchengladbach away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Bayern MünchenBorussia Mönchengladbach
24Matches played24
63Points earned25
20Wins6
3.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.0Goals conceded / match1.7
9Clean sheets9
0Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with Borussia Mönchengladbach away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bayern München

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
  1. 1M. NeuerG
  2. 27K. LaimerD
  3. 2D. UpamecanoD
  4. 3Kim Min-JaeD
  5. 20T. BischofD
  6. 6J. KimmichM
  7. 8L. GoretzkaM
  8. 42L. KarlM
  9. 10J. MusialaM
  10. 14L. DiazM
  11. 11N. JacksonF
Substitutes (9)

40 · J. Urbig

22 · R. Guerreiro

4 · J. Tah

17 · M. Olise

45 · A. Pavlovic

7 · S. Gnabry

44 · J. Stanisic

47 · D. Daiber

49 · M. Cardozo

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Eugen Polanski
  1. 33M. NicolasG
  2. 16P. SanderD
  3. 30N. ElvediD
  4. 4K. DiksD
  5. 29J. ScallyM
  6. 27R. ReitzM
  7. 7K. StogerM
  8. 17J. CastropM
  9. 9F. HonoratF
  10. 38H. BolinF
  11. 15H. TabakovicF
Substitutes (9)

23 · J. Olschowsky

18 · S. Machino

13 · G. Reyna

26 · L. Ullrich

2 · F. C. Chiarodia

8 · A. Sarco

36 · W. Mohya

5 · M. Friedrich

10 · F. Neuhaus

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bayern München

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Manuel Neuer456.9—0—7—
Konrad Laimer617.310344—
Dayot Upamecano617.0—0—61—
Min-jae Kim907.7—0—1012
Tom Bischof907.2—01722
Joshua Kimmich818.6—0—1152
Leon Goretzka907.6—12981
Lennart Karl907.5—12582
Jamal Musiala907.2102441
Luis Díaz608.0111381
Nicolas Jackson908.2103301
Jonas Urbig456.9—0—9—
Raphaël Guerreiro306.2—0—30—
Josip Stanišić296.6—0—38—
Maycon Cardozo296.3—0—13—
David Daiber96.5—0—11—
Jonathan Tah———————
Michael Olise———————
Aleksandar Pavlović———————
Serge Gnabry———————

Borussia Mönchengladbach

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Moritz Nicolas905.7—0—30—
Philipp Sander906.3—0—464
Nico Elvedi905.9—0—291
Kevin Diks906.0—0—412
Joseph Scally906.6—0—251
Rocco Reitz554.9—0124—
Kevin Stöger906.5—0—431
Jens Castrop676.3—0—213
Franck Honorat616.3—0—12—
Hugo Bolin847.0—0—16—
Haris Tabaković616.7—01142
Fabio Chiarodia296.5—0113—
Shuto Machino296.9—028—
Lukas Ullrich236.3—0—51
Wael Mohya127.3101—1
Jan Olschowsky———————
Marvin Friedrich———————
Giovanni Reyna———————
Florian Neuhaus———————
Alejo Sarco———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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