Borussia Dortmund
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREBorussia Dortmund vs Bayern München match centre
86′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Schlotterbeck26′
D. Svensson83′
H. Kane54′
H. Kane70′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
86′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.6%Borussia Dortmund
Draw89.6%at full time
Current result estimate5.9%Bayern München
Another goal10.7%before full time
Next goal: Borussia Dortmund 4.7% · no further goal 89.3% · Bayern München 6.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Borussia DortmundBayern München
1.040Expected goals · API-Football2.050
2Shots on target5
8Total Shots12
32%Ball Possession68%
3Corner Kicks2
12Fouls8
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves0
248Total passes543
174Passes accurate473
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 35 | +86 | 90 | — |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 35 | +36 | 74 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayern München
8/10Wins
2.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League1–4RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–2AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga4–0VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–2InterHome · UEFA Champions League0–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga3–0TottenhamAway · UEFA Champions League0–2FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga3–2
Bayern München
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.8
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–2Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga3–0RB LeipzigHome · DFB Pokal2–01899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–2PSV EindhovenAway · UEFA Champions League2–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Union St. GilloiseHome · UEFA Champions League2–0RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga5–1Union BerlinAway · DFB Pokal3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Dortmund at home with Bayern München away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Borussia DortmundBayern München
23Matches played23
52Points earned60
15Wins19
2.1Goals scored / match3.7
1.0Goals conceded / match0.9
11Clean sheets9
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Dortmund at home with Bayern München away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 23
E. CanD - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 2
Y. CoutoM - 20
M. SabitzerM - 8
F. NmechaM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 14
M. BeierF - 27
K. AdeyemiF - 21
F. SilvaF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
5 · R. Bensebaini
6 · S. Ozcan
7 · J. Bellingham
9 · S. Guirassy
10 · J. Brandt
40 · S. Inacio
42 · A. Kabar
49 · L. Reggiani
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 40
J. UrbigG - 44
J. StanisicD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 4
J. TahD - 27
K. LaimerD - 6
J. KimmichM - 45
A. PavlovicM - 17
M. OliseM - 7
S. GnabryM - 14
L. DiazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
26 · S. Ulreich
35 · J. Bartl
3 · Kim Min-Jae
8 · L. Goretzka
10 · J. Musiala
11 · N. Jackson
20 · T. Bischof
22 · R. Guerreiro
42 · L. Karl
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Emre Can | 44 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Yan Couto | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Felix Nmecha | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 3 |
| Daniel Svensson | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Maximilian Beier | 75 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Fábio Silva | 67 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 3 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 46 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Serhou Guirassy | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Julian Brandt | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Samuele Inacio | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Jobe Bellingham | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Almugera Kabar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Reggiani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 5 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 4 |
| Jonathan Tah | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Konrad Laimer | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 92 | 2 |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Michael Olise | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 53 | 1 |
| Serge Gnabry | 62 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Luis Díaz | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 42 | 1 |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 8.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | — |
| Jamal Musiala | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Min-jae Kim | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Tom Bischof | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Sven Ulreich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannis Bartl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennart Karl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Jackson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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