FSV Mainz 05
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREFSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Nebel6′
P. Nebel89′
N. Brown20′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.5%FSV Mainz 05
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Eintracht Frankfurt
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: FSV Mainz 05 3.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Eintracht Frankfurt 4.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
1.550Expected goals · API-Football1.230
3Shots on target4
6Total Shots11
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks3
12Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
214Total passes510
165Passes accurate458
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 35 | -5 | 44 | — |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 35 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Eintracht Frankfurt
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Eintracht Frankfurt’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sigma OlomoucHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–0Sigma OlomoucAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–2Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga0–4FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–0RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–1VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga1–0FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga0–0SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga2–3Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga3–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga1–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–3TottenhamHome · UEFA Champions League0–21899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga1–3QarabagAway · UEFA Champions League2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FSV Mainz 05 at home with Eintracht Frankfurt away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
26Matches played26
27Points earned38
6Wins10
1.2Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.9
3Clean sheets7
9Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FSV Mainz 05 at home with Eintracht Frankfurt away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-5-2Urs Fischer
- 33
D. BatzG - 21
D. da CostaD - 4
S. PoschD - 31
D. KohrD - 30
S. WidmerM - 8
P. NebelM - 6
K. SanoM - 7
Lee Jae-SungM - 2
P. MweneM - 23
S. BeckerF - 20
P. TietzF
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Riess
15 · L. Maloney
11 · A. Sieb
14 · W. Boving
24 · S. Kawasaki
5 · M. Leitsch
22 · N. Veratschnig
44 · N. Weiper
48 · K. Potulski
Eintracht Frankfurt
Confirmed formation4-3-3Albert Riera
- 23
M. ZettererG - 34
N. CollinsD - 5
A. AmendaD - 3
A. TheateD - 21
N. BrownD - 20
R. DoanM - 16
H. LarssonM - 8
F. ChaibiM - 25
A. KalimuendoF - 9
J. BurkardtF - 19
J. BahoyaF
Substitutes (9)
33 · J. Grahl
15 · E. Skhiri
7 · A. Knauff
2 · E. Baum
31 · L. Arrhov
6 · O. Hojlund
29 · A. Amaimouni
42 · C. Y. Uzun
11 · Y. Ebnoutalib
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Danny da Costa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Stefan Posch | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Dominik Kohr | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 5 |
| Silvan Widmer | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 81 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Sheraldo Becker | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 10 | — |
| Phillip Tietz | 69 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Nelson Weiper | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Sota Kawasaki | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lennard Maloney | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lasse Riess | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Potulski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxim Leitsch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armindo Sieb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Bøving | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zetterer | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Nnamdi Collins | 64 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| Aurèle Amenda | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 124 | 1 |
| Arthur Theate | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 96 | 1 |
| Nathaniel Brown | 45 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Ritsu Doan | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Hugo Larsson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Farès Chaïbi | 79 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Jean-Mattéo Bahoya | 58 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Ellyes Skhiri | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab | 32 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Elias Baum | 26 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Can Uzun | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Ansgar Knauff | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Jens Grahl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Højlund | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Love Arrhov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Younes Ebnoutalib | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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