Fortuna Düsseldorf
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Fortuna Düsseldorf’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREFortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Itten71′
P. Harres50′
I. Nekic79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Fortuna Düsseldorf
Draw4.2%at full time
Current result estimate95.7%Holstein Kiel
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Fortuna Düsseldorf 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Holstein Kiel 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Fortuna DüsseldorfHolstein Kiel
1.100Expected goals · API-Football1.420
4Shots on target3
9Total Shots11
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks3
13Fouls12
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
460Total passes350
387Passes accurate292
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | +14 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | — |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | +3 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Holstein Kiel | 35 | -3 | 44 | ↑ 2 |
| 11 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | +1 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | -19 | 37 | — |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 35 | -21 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Holstein Kiel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Holstein Kiel
1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Holstein Kiel’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KaiserslauternAway · 2. Bundesliga0–3Hertha BSCHome · 2. Bundesliga2–5Eintracht BraunschweigAway · 2. Bundesliga0–11. FC NürnbergAway · 2. Bundesliga1–0VfL BochumHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga1–2Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga0–0Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–1SC Paderborn 07Home · 2. Bundesliga2–1Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga1–2
Holstein Kiel
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga0–0VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga3–21. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–3SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga0–2SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–3FC Schalke 04Home · 2. Bundesliga1–2Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga1–3VfB StuttgartHome · DFB Pokal0–3SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with Holstein Kiel away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:34 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Fortuna DüsseldorfHolstein Kiel
28Matches played28
31Points earned29
9Wins7
1.0Goals scored / match1.2
1.6Goals conceded / match1.5
5Clean sheets6
10Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with Holstein Kiel away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Alexander Ende
- 33
F. KastenmeierG - 15
T. OberdorfD - 44
E. EgouliD - 2
J. DalandD - 16
S. TanakaM - 7
L. RaimundM - 8
A. El AzzouziM - 23
S. AppelkampM - 24
F. MuslijaM - 10
C. RasmussenF - 13
C. IttenF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Lotka
12 · V. Lunddal
11 · J. Hettwer
20 · M. Ljubicic
27 · J. Paulina
5 · M. Heyer
14 · S. Alexandropoulos
6 · T. Breithaupt
29 · K. Sauck
Holstein Kiel
Confirmed formation4-5-1Tim Walter
- 1
T. WeinerG - 23
L. RosenboomD - 13
I. NekicD - 26
D. ZecD - 47
J. TolkinD - 20
A. KapralikM - 8
U. TohumcuM - 28
J. MeffertM - 49
I. UgohM - 7
S. SkrzybskiM - 19
P. HarresF
Substitutes (9)
21 · J. Krumrey
43 · L. Borges
25 · M. Muller
6 · M. Ivezic
29 · N. Niehoff
10 · J. Therkelsen
2 · F. Roslyng
40 · L. Parduzi
22 · S. Schwab
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Kastenmeier | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Tim Christopher Oberdorf | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Elias Egouli | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | 2 |
| Jesper Daland | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Satoshi Tanaka | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Luca Raimund | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Anouar El Azzouzi | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 6 |
| Shinta Karl Appelkamp | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Florent Muslija | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Christian Rasmussen | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cédric Itten | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 |
| Marin Ljubičić | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Valgeir Lunddal | 29 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Moritz Heyer | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Jordi Paulina | 25 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Marcel Lotka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Alexandropoulos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Hettwer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Breithaupt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kilian Sauck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon Weiner | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Ivan Nekić | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| David Zec | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 1 |
| John Tolkin | 7 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Adrián Kaprálik | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Umut Tohumcu | 89 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| Jonas Meffert | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Ikem Ugoh | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Steven Skrzybski | 60 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Phil Harres | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Marko Ivezić | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Niklas Niehoff | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Frederik Roslyng | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jonas Krumrey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lenny Borges | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Schwab | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Parduzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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