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SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg match centre

SC Paderborn 07 badgeSC Paderborn 07Home · 3 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
45′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
1. FC Magdeburg badge1. FC MagdeburgAway · 14 in league
LLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising33/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Bilbija19′
F. Bilbija29′
F. Bilbija45+3′
L. Musonda25′
M. Zukowski37′
Home Deluxe Arena · PaderbornSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

45′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate63.9%SC Paderborn 07
Draw23.7%at full time
Current result estimate12.5%1. FC Magdeburg
Another goal79.8%before full time

Next goal: SC Paderborn 07 36.6% · no further goal 20.2% · 1. FC Magdeburg 43.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
SC Paderborn 071. FC Magdeburg
2Corner Kicks3
4Fouls4
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
185Total passes226
149Passes accurate196

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SC Paderborn 0735+1565↑ 1
3SV Elversberg34+2562↓ 1
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Dynamo Dresden34+141—
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13Arminia Bielefeld34+239—
141. FC Magdeburg35-739—
15Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837—
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth34-1937—
17Fortuna Düsseldorf34-2037—
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

SC Paderborn 07 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

1. FC Magdeburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Magdeburg

3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Magdeburg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

SC Paderborn 07

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

1. FC Magdeburg

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Paderborn 07 at home with 1. FC Magdeburg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

SC Paderborn 071. FC Magdeburg
28Matches played28
54Points earned30
16Wins9
1.7Goals scored / match1.5
1.2Goals conceded / match1.8
8Clean sheets5
4Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Paderborn 07 at home with 1. FC Magdeburg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

SC Paderborn 07

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
  1. 41D. SeimenG
  2. 25T. SchellerD
  3. 20F. GotzeD
  4. 4C. BrackelmannD
  5. 17L. CurdaM
  6. 14M. BaurM
  7. 22M. HansenM
  8. 23R. ObermairM
  9. 2R. MullerF
  10. 7F. BilbijaF
  11. 30S. MarinoF
Substitutes (8)

1 · M. Schubert

11 · S. Michel

8 · D. Kinsombi

27 · S. Tigges

3 · J. Sticker

26 · S. Klaas

9 · N. Batzner

10 · K. Okpala

1. FC Magdeburg

Confirmed formation4-3-3Petrik Sander
  1. 1D. ReimannG
  2. 7H. BockhornD
  3. 16M. MathisenD
  4. 5T. MullerD
  5. 19L. MusondaD
  6. 8L. UlrichM
  7. 21F. MichelM
  8. 25S. GnakaM
  9. 18R. TachieF
  10. 22M. ZukowskiF
  11. 23B. AtikF
Substitutes (9)

40 · R. Kampa

17 · A. Nollenberger

11 · A. Holmstrom

13 · C. Krempicki

27 · P. Hercher

24 · J. Hugonet

10 · N. Pesch

6 · D. Stalmach

29 · R. Ghrieb

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dennis Seimen907.7—0—36—
Tjark Lasse Scheller905.9—0—283
Felix Götze906.0—0—42—
Calvin Brackelmann907.9—11468
Laurin Curda906.9—11246
Mika Baur906.9—0—46—
Mattes Hansen456.5—0—271
Raphael Obermair726.3—1—241
Ruben Müller717.2—0—261
Filip Bilbija8910.040518—
Stefano Marino846.9—0116—
Sebastian Klaas456.9—1—182
Steffen Tigges196.2—0—8—
Jonah Sticker186.9—0—71
Kennedy Okpala116.3—0—5—
Sven Michel1——0—1—
David Kinsombi———————
Markus Schubert———————
Nick Bätzner———————

1. FC Magdeburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dominik Reimann906.7—0—37—
Herbert Bockhorn846.5—02402
Marcus Mathisen907.5—0—953
Tobias Müller846.2—0—712
Lubambo Musonda906.910246—
Laurin Ulrich908.0101324
Falko Michel906.9—0—712
Silas Gnaka797.2—01391
Richmond Tachie456.5—0—6—
Mateusz Żukowski907.7112161
Barış Atik796.9—0435—
Philipp Hercher455.9—02131
Dariusz Stalmach117.0—0—54
Alexander Nollenberger116.7—0—31
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom116.5—0———
Rayan Ghrieb116.7—0—3—
Jean Hugonet———————
Connor Krempicki———————
Noah Pesch———————
Robert Kampa———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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