Hertha BSC
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Hertha BSC’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREHertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Eichhorn55′
M. Cuisance84′
N. Futkeu88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate94.2%Hertha BSC
Draw5.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.2%SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Another goal7.8%before full time
Next goal: Hertha BSC 2.0% · no further goal 92.2% · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.020Expected goals · API-Football2.230
4Shots on target3
7Total Shots24
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks18
11Fouls7
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
279Total passes502
218Passes accurate434
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | +14 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 | Hertha BSC | 35 | +4 | 54 | ↑ 2 |
| 6 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | +1 | 41 | — |
| 12 |  Holstein Kiel | 34 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 35 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 17 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hertha BSC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hertha BSC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC MagdeburgAway · 2. Bundesliga0–1Holstein KielHome · 2. Bundesliga0–1Eintracht BraunschweigAway · 2. Bundesliga1–11. FC KaiserslauternHome · 2. Bundesliga0–1Dynamo DresdenAway · 2. Bundesliga1–0Fortuna DüsseldorfAway · 2. Bundesliga5–2VfL BochumHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Preußen MünsterAway · 2. Bundesliga2–11. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1SC Paderborn 07Away · 2. Bundesliga2–5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga1–2SV Darmstadt 98Home · 2. Bundesliga3–2Preußen MünsterAway · 2. Bundesliga0–0SC Paderborn 07Home · 2. Bundesliga0–2Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–3SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga2–1FC Schalke 04Home · 2. Bundesliga1–1Arminia BielefeldHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hertha BSC at home with SpVgg Greuther Fürth away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
31Matches played31
48Points earned33
13Wins9
1.4Goals scored / match1.4
1.2Goals conceded / match2.1
12Clean sheets4
8Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hertha BSC at home with SpVgg Greuther Fürth away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Hertha BSC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Stefan Leitl
- 1
T. ErnstG - 2
J. EitschbergerD - 44
L. GechterD - 27
N. KolbeD - 33
M. KarbownikD - 23
K. EichhornM - 30
P. SeguinM - 7
J. BrekaloM - 10
M. CuisanceM - 11
F. ReeseM - 22
M. WinklerF
Substitutes (9)
35 · M. Gersbeck
28 · J. Dudziak
5 · L. Jensen
18 · L. Schuler
14 · M. Krattenmacher
41 · P. Klemens
6 · D. Demme
37 · T. Leistner
17 · S. Gronning
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Heiko Vogel
- 43
S. PrufrockG - 15
J. ElvediD - 4
P. ZiereisD - 5
R. MunzD - 23
J. DehmM - 33
M. DietzM - 13
P. WillM - 16
A. KellerM - 30
F. KlausF - 10
B. HrgotaF - 9
N. FutkeuF
Substitutes (9)
26 · P. Boevink
27 · G. Itter
28 · D. Arifi
25 · B. Bjarnason
14 · J. Consbruch
37 · J. Green
7 · D. Srbeny
18 · F. Higl
47 · S. Ltaief
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Hertha BSC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tjark Ernst | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Julian Eitschberger | 81 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 8 |
| Linus Gechter | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Niklas Kolbe | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Michał Karbownik | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 18 | — |
| Kennet Eichhorn | 70 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Paul Seguin | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Josip Brekalo | 32 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | 89 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1 |
| Fabian Reese | 81 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Marten Winkler | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Pascal Klemens | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Toni Leistner | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jan Luca Schuler | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jeremy Dudziak | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Demme | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Marius Gersbeck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Krattenmacher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Jensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Grønning | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Prüfrock | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Jan Elvedi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | 4 |
| Philipp Ziereis | 60 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Reno Münz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 1 |
| Jannik Dehm | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Maximilian Dietz | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | — |
| Paul Will | 70 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 4 |
| Aaron Keller | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Felix Klaus | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 36 | — |
| Branimir Hrgota | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Noel Futkeu | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Felix Higl | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Sayfallah Ltaief | 30 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Julian Green | 20 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | — |
| Dennis Srbeny | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Luca Itter | 11 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Pelle Boevink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jomaine Consbruch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Doni Arifi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Hertha BSC | Draw | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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