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La LigaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

Villarreal vs Valencia match centre

Villarreal badgeVillarrealHome · 3 in league
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Valencia badgeValenciaAway · 9 in league
WLLLW
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Comesana31′
P. Gueye45′ (pen)
L. Ramazani27′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
VillarrealValencia
5Corner Kicks4
7Fouls16
2Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves3
362Total passes494
286Passes accurate422

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Villarreal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Valencia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Villarreal

3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Villarreal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Valencia

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Valencia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Villarreal at home with Valencia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

VillarrealValencia
24Matches played24
48Points earned26
15Wins6
1.9Goals scored / match1.1
1.1Goals conceded / match1.6
8Clean sheets6
4Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Villarreal at home with Valencia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Villarreal

Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
  1. 1Luiz JuniorG
  2. 15S. MourinoD
  3. 6P. NavarroD
  4. 12R. VeigaD
  5. 23S. CardonaD
  6. 19N. PepeM
  7. 14S. ComesanaM
  8. 18P. GueyeM
  9. 20A. MoleiroM
  10. 22A. PerezF
  11. 9G. MikautadzeF
Substitutes (10)

25 · A. Tenas

3 · A. Freeman

10 · D. Parejo

11 · A. Gonzalez

16 · T. Partey

17 · T. Buchanan

21 · T. Oluwaseyi

24 · A. Pedraza

27 · J. Valou

32 · H. Lopez

Valencia

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carlos Corberan
  1. 1S. DimitrievskiG
  2. 4U. NunezD
  3. 24E. ComertD
  4. 3J. CopeteD
  5. 11L. RiojaM
  6. 8J. GuerraM
  7. 2G. RodriguezM
  8. 14J. GayaM
  9. 23F. UgrinicF
  10. 17L. RamazaniF
  11. 6U. SadiqF
Substitutes (12)

13 · C. Rivero

28 · V. Abril

5 · C. Tarrega

7 · A. Danjuma

9 · H. Duro

10 · A. Almeida

12 · T. Rendall

18 · Pepelu

19 · D. Raba

21 · J. Vazquez

22 · B. Santamaria

27 · D. Otorbi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Villarreal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luiz Júnior907.0—0—23—
Santiago Mouriño907.3—02564
Pau Navarro906.9—0—461
Renato Veiga906.3—0—40—
Sergi Cardona906.9—0127—
Nicolas Pépé836.3—0125—
Santi Comesaña837.7101381
Pape Gueye588.2102301
Alberto Moleiro706.7—0226—
Ayoze Pérez706.6—0—181
Georges Mikautadze906.3—0213—
Thomas Partey326.9—0—82
Alfonso Pedraza207.0—0—2—
Tajon Buchanan206.3—0—51
Dani Parejo116.9—0—3—
Alfon González116.3—0—2—
Arnau Tenas———————
Alexander Freeman———————
Jean Ives Valou———————
Tani Oluwaseyi———————
Hugo Lopez———————

Valencia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stole Dimitrievski907.2—0—25—
Unai Núñez705.9—0—451
Eray Cömert906.3—0—711
José Copete906.5—02661
Luis Rioja786.3—0—241
Javier Guerra906.9—0—702
Guido Rodríguez887.2—0—526
José Luis Gayà786.9—0—325
Filip Ugrinić706.3—0—22—
Largie Ramazani906.910130—
Umar Sadiq906.7—0116—
Thierry Correia206.7—0—16—
Arnaut Danjuma206.5—0111—
Jesús Vázquez126.6—0—71
Hugo Duro126.5—0———
André Almeida2——0—6—
Vicent Abril———————
Cristian Rivero———————
César Tárrega———————
Pepelu———————
Baptiste Santamaria———————
Dani Raba———————
David Otorbi———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona38311695365994
LWLWW
2Real Madrid38275677354286
WWWLW
3Villarreal382261072462672
WLLDW
4Atletico Madrid382161162441869
LWWLW
5Real Betis381515859481160
WLWDW
6Celta Vigo381412125348554
WDLWW
7Getafe38156173238-651
WLWDL
8Rayo Vallecano381214124144-350
WWDDW
9Valencia381310154655-949
WWDWL
10Real Sociedad381113145961-246
DLDDL
11Espanyol381210164355-1246
DWWLL
12Athletic Club38136194358-1545
LDLLW
13Sevilla38127194660-1443
LLWWW
14Alaves381110174456-1243
LWWDL
15Elche381013154957-843
DWLDL
16Levante38119184761-1442
LWWWL
17Osasuna38119184450-642
LLLLL
18Mallorca38119184757-1042
WLLDW
19Girona38914153955-1641
DLDDL
20Oviedo38611212660-3429
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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