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La LigaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE

Celta Vigo vs Elche match centre

Celta Vigo badgeCelta VigoHome · 6 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Elche badgeElcheAway · 15 in league
DLLWL
Momentum↗ Rising28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Alvarez14′
I. Aspas30′
B. Iglesias85′
Andre Silva82′ (pen)
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · VigoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Celta Vigo
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Elche
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Celta Vigo 3.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Elche 4.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Celta VigoElche
3Corner Kicks1
12Fouls13
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
275Total passes563
211Passes accurate505

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Barcelona38+5994—
2Real Madrid38+4286—
3Villarreal38+2672—
4Atletico Madrid38+1869—
5Real Betis38+1160—
6Celta Vigo39+757—
7Getafe38-651—
8Rayo Vallecano38-350—
9Valencia38-949—
10Real Sociedad38-246—
11Espanyol38-1246—
12Athletic Club38-1545—
13Elche39-1043↑ 2
14Alaves38-1243—
15Sevilla38-1443↓ 2
16Osasuna38-642↑ 1
17Mallorca38-1042↑ 1
18Levante38-1442↓ 2
19Girona38-1641—
20Oviedo38-3429—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Celta Vigo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Elche 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Celta Vigo

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Celta Vigo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Elche

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Elche’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Celta Vigo at home with Elche away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Celta VigoElche
32Matches played32
44Points earned35
11Wins8
1.4Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.6
8Clean sheets7
6Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Celta Vigo at home with Elche away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Celta Vigo

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Claudio Giraldez
  1. 13I. RaduG
  2. 32J. RodriguezD
  3. 29Y. LagoD
  4. 14A. NunezD
  5. 17J. RuedaM
  6. 8F. LopezM
  7. 6I. MoribaM
  8. 5S. CarreiraM
  9. 10I. AspasF
  10. 23H. AlvarezF
  11. 9F. JutglaF
Substitutes (12)

1 · I. Villar

19 · W. Swedberg

39 · J. El Abdellaoui

12 · M. Fernandez

36 · A. Antanon

21 · M. Ristic

7 · B. Iglesias

4 · J. Aidoo

3 · O. Mingueza

24 · C. Dominguez

22 · H. Sotelo

18 · P. Duran

Elche

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Eder Sarabia
  1. 1M. DituroG
  2. 18J. DonaldD
  3. 22D. AffengruberD
  4. 6P. BigasD
  5. 15Tete MorenteM
  6. 8M. AguadoM
  7. 14A. FebasM
  8. 3A. PedrosaM
  9. 12G. VillarF
  10. 20A. RodriguezF
  11. 9Andre SilvaF
Substitutes (10)

13 · I. Pena

45 · A. Iturbe

17 · Josan

19 · G. Diangana

21 · L. Petrot

23 · V. Chust

16 · M. Neto

42 · Buba Sangare

24 · L. Cepeda

39 · H. Fort

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ionuț Radu906.9—0—40—
Javi Rodríguez906.7—01333
Yoel Lago906.9—0—332
Alvaro Núñez786.7—0—241
Javier Rueda457.3—1—12—
Fer López906.9—0—234
Ilaix Moriba906.9—0—203
Sergio Carreira907.0—0—282
Iago Aspas637.7101182
Hugo Álvarez717.9101171
Ferran Jutglà717.7—11241
Manu Fernández456.0—0—13—
Jones El-Abdellaoui276.5—0—3—
Williot Swedberg196.9—1—42
Borja Iglesias197.71019—
Óscar Mingueza126.2—0—51
Iván Villar———————
Joseph Aidoo———————
Mihailo Ristić———————
Carlos Domínguez———————
Andrés Antañón———————
Hugo Sotelo———————
Pablo Durán———————

Elche

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matías Dituro906.9—0—57—
John Donald906.5—01533
David Affengruber585.9—01602
Pedro Bigas906.6—0—831
Tete Morente696.5—0131—
Marc Aguado776.7—01531
Aleix Febas907.0—0—692
Adrià Pedrosa696.3—0—261
Gonzalo Villar587.3—0—41—
Álvaro Rodriguez906.6—02161
André Silva907.210330—
Víctor Chust326.2—0134—
Martim Neto326.3—0—181
Hector Fort216.2—017—
Josan216.7—0—121
Lucas Cepeda136.5—014—
Iñaki Peña———————
Alejandro Iturbe———————
Buba Sangare———————
Léo Pétrot———————
Grady Diangana———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCelta VigoDrawElche
Bet3651.753.804.50

Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 21:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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