Rayo Vallecano
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s results
La LigaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRERayo Vallecano vs Elche match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Nteka74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate97.8%Rayo Vallecano
Draw2.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Elche
Another goal7.4%before full time
Next goal: Rayo Vallecano 5.1% · no further goal 92.6% · Elche 2.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Rayo VallecanoElche
1.350Expected goals · API-Football0.440
5Shots on target4
21Total Shots9
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks4
16Fouls9
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total passes283
342Passes accurate208
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 39 | -2 | 53 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 39 | -9 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rayo Vallecano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Elche 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Elche
1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Elche’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rayo Vallecano
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarcelonaAway · La Liga0–1SamsunsporHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1LevanteHome · La Liga1–1SamsunsporAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–1SevillaAway · La Liga1–1Athletic ClubHome · La Liga1–1Real BetisAway · La Liga1–1Atletico MadridHome · La Liga3–0Real MadridAway · La Liga1–2OsasunaHome · La Liga1–3
Elche
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rayo Vallecano at home with Elche away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Rayo VallecanoElche
29Matches played29
32Points earned29
7Wins6
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.2Goals conceded / match1.6
8Clean sheets6
11Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rayo Vallecano at home with Elche away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-3-3Inigo Perez
- 13
A. BatallaG - 2
A. RatiuD - 24
F. LejeuneD - 5
Luiz FelipeD - 3
P. ChavarriaD - 7
I. PalazonM - 23
O. ValentinM - 17
U. LopezM - 19
J. de FrutosF - 9
AlemaoF - 18
A. GarciaF
Substitutes (12)
1 · D. Cardenas
40 · A. Molina
15 · G. Gumbau
22 · Pacha
4 · P. Diaz
14 · C. Martin
33 · J. Vertrouwd
32 · N. Mendy
20 · I. Balliu
16 · A. Mumin
11 · R. Nteka
10 · S. Camello
Elche
Confirmed formation3-4-3Eder Sarabia
- 1
M. DituroG - 22
D. AffengruberD - 6
P. BigasD - 21
L. PetrotD - 42
Buba SangareM - 8
M. AguadoM - 14
A. FebasM - 15
Tete MorenteM - 11
G. ValeraF - 20
A. RodriguezF - 10
R. MirF
Substitutes (12)
13 · I. Pena
45 · A. Iturbe
9 · Andre Silva
17 · Josan
7 · Y. Santiago
16 · M. Neto
5 · F. Redondo Solari
12 · G. Villar
3 · A. Pedrosa
24 · L. Cepeda
31 · D. Delgado
43 · A. Herraiz
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| Florian Lejeune | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 54 | 4 |
| Luiz Felipe | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 3 |
| Josep Chavarría | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 48 | 1 |
| Isi Palazón | 66 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Óscar Valentín | 66 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 4 |
| Unai López | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| Alemão | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Álvaro García | 84 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 26 | 1 |
| Randy Nteka | 24 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Pedro Díaz | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sergio Camello | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Alfonso Espino | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Martín | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Iván Balliu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Mumin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Molina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nobel Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jozhua Vertrouwd | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Elche
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Dituro | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| David Affengruber | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Pedro Bigas | 39 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Léo Pétrot | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Buba Sangare | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Marc Aguado | 77 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Aleix Febas | 77 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Tete Morente | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 8 |
| Germán Valera | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | 77 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Rafa Mir | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
| Adrià Pedrosa | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| André Silva | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Federico Redondo | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Yago Santiago | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Cepeda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Delgado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Herraiz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Neto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñaki Peña | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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