Villarreal
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s results
La LigaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREVillarreal vs Celta Vigo match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Moreno2′ (pen)
N. Pepe29′
B. Iglesias73′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.8%Villarreal
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Celta Vigo
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Villarreal 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Celta Vigo 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VillarrealCelta Vigo
1.720Expected goals · API-Football2.080
3Shots on target3
10Total Shots9
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks4
12Fouls14
3Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
418Total passes489
375Passes accurate434
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 | Villarreal | 39 | +27 | 75 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 39 | +4 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Villarreal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Celta Vigo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Celta Vigo
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Celta Vigo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Villarreal
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Celta Vigo
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Villarreal at home with Celta Vigo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VillarrealCelta Vigo
32Matches played32
62Points earned44
19Wins11
1.8Goals scored / match1.4
1.2Goals conceded / match1.3
8Clean sheets8
5Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Villarreal at home with Celta Vigo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
- 25
A. TenasG - 3
A. FreemanD - 4
R. MarinD - 12
R. VeigaD - 24
A. PedrazaD - 19
N. PepeM - 14
S. ComesanaM - 18
P. GueyeM - 20
A. MoleiroM - 7
G. MorenoF - 9
G. MikautadzeF
Substitutes (11)
1 · Luiz Junior
10 · D. Parejo
2 · L. Costa
23 · S. Cardona
5 · W. Kambwala
16 · T. Partey
22 · A. Perez
11 · A. Gonzalez
21 · T. Oluwaseyi
6 · P. Navarro
32 · H. Lopez
Celta Vigo
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Claudio Giraldez
- 13
I. RaduG - 32
J. RodriguezD - 29
Y. LagoD - 20
M. AlonsoD - 3
O. MinguezaM - 22
H. SoteloM - 6
I. MoribaM - 5
S. CarreiraM - 18
P. DuranF - 23
H. AlvarezF - 7
B. IglesiasF
Substitutes (12)
1 · I. Villar
30 · H. Gonzalez
39 · J. El Abdellaoui
12 · M. Fernandez
36 · A. Antanon
10 · I. Aspas
21 · M. Ristic
9 · F. Jutgla
17 · J. Rueda
14 · A. Nunez
24 · C. Dominguez
8 · F. Lopez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Alexander Freeman | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Rafa Marín | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 3 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 78 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 78 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 3 |
| Santi Comesaña | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Pape Gueye | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 49 | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Gerard Moreno | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Sergi Cardona | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Dani Parejo | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Alfon González | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ayoze Perez | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Thomas Partey | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Luiz Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Lopez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 72 | — |
| Yoel Lago | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 3 |
| Marcos Alonso | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 4 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 65 | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 2 |
| Ilaix Moriba | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Sergio Carreira | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | — |
| Pablo Durán | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
| Borja Iglesias | 83 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | 45 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Alvaro Núñez | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Fer López | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Iago Aspas | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Hugo González | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Iván Villar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Domínguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ristic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Rueda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Snapshot from 26 Apr 2026, 08:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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