Villarreal
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s results
La LigaMatchweek 36THE MATCH CENTREVillarreal vs Sevilla match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Moreno13′
G. Mikautadze20′
Oso36′
K. Salas45+2′
A. Adams72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Villarreal
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate96.0%Sevilla
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Villarreal 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Sevilla 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VillarrealSevilla
0.810Expected goals · API-Football0.880
4Shots on target5
6Total Shots13
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks4
10Fouls9
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
542Total passes323
489Passes accurate275
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 | Villarreal | 39 | +25 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Sevilla | 39 | -13 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Villarreal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sevilla 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sevilla
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Sevilla’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Villarreal
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Sevilla
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Villarreal at home with Sevilla away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:17 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VillarrealSevilla
34Matches played34
68Points earned37
21Wins10
1.9Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match1.7
8Clean sheets6
5Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Villarreal at home with Sevilla away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
- 25
A. TenasG - 3
A. FreemanD - 6
P. NavarroD - 12
R. VeigaD - 24
A. PedrazaD - 19
N. PepeM - 10
D. ParejoM - 18
P. GueyeM - 20
A. MoleiroM - 7
G. MorenoF - 9
G. MikautadzeF
Substitutes (12)
1 · Luiz Junior
14 · S. Comesana
2 · L. Costa
23 · S. Cardona
5 · W. Kambwala
15 · S. Mourino
16 · T. Partey
22 · A. Perez
11 · A. Gonzalez
17 · T. Buchanan
4 · R. Marin
21 · T. Oluwaseyi
Sevilla
Confirmed formation5-3-2Luis Garcia Plaza
- 1
O. VlachodimosG - 2
J. A. CarmonaD - 3
C. AzpilicuetaD - 4
K. SalasD - 12
G. SuazoD - 36
OsoD - 11
R. VargasM - 18
L. AgoumeM - 20
D. SowM - 9
A. AdamsF - 17
N. MaupayF
Substitutes (12)
13 · O. Nyland
10 · A. Sanchez
6 · N. Gudelj
21 · C. Ejuke
5 · T. Nianzou
15 · F. Cardoso
24 · A. Januzaj
8 · Joan Jordan
19 · B. Mendy
14 · Peque
16 · J. Sanchez
32 · Castrin
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Alexander Freeman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 5 |
| Pau Navarro | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | — |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 1 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Dani Parejo | 70 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 3 |
| Pape Gueye | 60 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
| Gerard Moreno | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Tajon Buchanan | 30 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Thomas Partey | 30 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Santi Comesaña | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Luiz Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| César Azpilicueta | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Kike Salas | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Gabriel Suazo | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Oso | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| Ruben Vargas | 67 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Lucien Agoumé | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 4 |
| Djibril Sow | 86 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 4 |
| Akor Adams | 86 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Neal Maupay | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | 19 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Andres Castrin | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ørjan Nyland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Nianzou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Cardoso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adnan Januzaj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Jordán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 12 May 2026, 20:10 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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