Sevilla
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Sevilla’s results
La LigaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTRESevilla vs Atletico Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Adams10′ (pen)
N. Gudelj45+2′
J. Bonar35′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.7%Sevilla
Draw4.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Atletico Madrid
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Sevilla 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Atletico Madrid 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SevillaAtletico Madrid
1.850Expected goals · API-Football0.840
2Shots on target2
11Total Shots13
32%Ball Possession68%
6Corner Kicks6
7Fouls12
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
245Total passes548
177Passes accurate476
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 39 | +17 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 | Sevilla | 39 | -13 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sevilla 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Madrid
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sevilla
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarcelonaAway · UEFA Champions League2–0BarcelonaHome · La Liga1–2Real MadridAway · La Liga2–3TottenhamAway · UEFA Champions League2–3GetafeHome · La Liga1–0TottenhamHome · UEFA Champions League5–2Real SociedadHome · La Liga3–2BarcelonaAway · Copa del Rey0–3OviedoAway · La Liga1–0Club Brugge KVHome · UEFA Champions League4–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sevilla at home with Atletico Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SevillaAtletico Madrid
30Matches played30
31Points earned57
8Wins17
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.7Goals conceded / match1.0
5Clean sheets12
7Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sevilla at home with Atletico Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sevilla
Confirmed formation5-4-1Luis Garcia Plaza
- 1
O. VlachodimosG - 16
J. SanchezD - 32
CastrinD - 6
N. GudeljD - 4
K. SalasD - 36
OsoD - 7
I. RomeroM - 18
L. AgoumeM - 28
M. BuenoM - 11
R. VargasM - 9
A. AdamsF
Substitutes (12)
13 · O. Nyland
10 · A. Sanchez
20 · D. Sow
12 · G. Suazo
21 · C. Ejuke
15 · F. Cardoso
17 · N. Maupay
24 · A. Januzaj
8 · Joan Jordan
19 · B. Mendy
22 · F. Gattoni
14 · Peque
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Diego Simeone
- 1
J. MussoG - 32
J. BonarD - 18
M. PubillD - 30
D. MartinezD - 34
J. DiazD - 4
R. MendozaM - 21
O. VargasM - 29
R. BelaidM - 10
A. BaenaM - 11
T. AlmadaM - 9
A. SorlothF
Substitutes (12)
31 · S. Esquivel
14 · M. Llorente
22 · A. Lookman
16 · N. Molina
3 · M. Ruggeri
20 · G. Simeone
47 · J. Morcillo
7 · A. Griezmann
15 · C. Lenglet
19 · J. Alvarez
36 · G. Spina
27 · J. Monserrate
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Sevilla
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 89 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Andres Castrin | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Kike Salas | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Oso | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Isaac Romero | 70 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
| Lucien Agoumé | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 3 |
| Manu Bueno | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Ruben Vargas | 78 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Akor Adams | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Djibril Sow | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Peque Fernández | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Alexis Sanchez | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Batista Mendy | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 |
| Gabriel Suazo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Orjan Nyland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Gattoni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Cardoso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neal Maupay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Jordán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adnan Januzaj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Javier Boñar | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
| Marc Pubill | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 80 | — |
| Dani Martinez | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 1 |
| Julio Díaz | 86 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Obed Vargas | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 3 |
| Rayane Belaid | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Alejandro Baena | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Thiago Almada | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Ademola Lookman | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Javi Morcillo | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jano Monserrate | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Ruggeri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geronimo Spina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Alvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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