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Süper LigMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Samsunspor vs Galatasaray match centre

Samsunspor badgeSamsunsporHome · 7 in league
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Galatasaray badgeGalatasarayAway · 1 in league
WWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Marius22′
C. Ndiaye57′
Marius71′
C. Ndiaye82′
Y. Akgun9′
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · SamsunSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Samsunspor
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Galatasaray
Another goal7.4%before full time

Next goal: Samsunspor 5.1% · no further goal 92.6% · Galatasaray 2.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
SamsunsporGalatasaray
3Corner Kicks5
15Fouls14
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
334Total passes303
284Passes accurate238

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super Lig

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Galatasaray35+4477—
2Fenerbahçe34+4074—
3Trabzonspor34+2269—
4Beşiktaş34+1960—
5Başakşehir34+2357—
6Göztepe34+1055—
7Samsunspor35+454—
8Rizespor34-641—
9Konyaspor34-740—
10Alanyaspor34037↑ 1
11Kocaelispor34-1237↓ 1
12Gaziantep FK34-1537—
13Kasımpaşa34-1635—
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.34-1134—
15Eyüpspor34-1533—
16Antalyaspor34-2232—
17Fatih Karagümrük34-2330↑ 1
18Kayserispor34-3530↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Samsunspor 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Galatasaray 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Samsunspor

6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Samsunspor’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Galatasaray

6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Galatasaray’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Samsunspor

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Galatasaray

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Samsunspor at home with Galatasaray away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:35 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches

SamsunsporGalatasaray
30Matches played30
42Points earned71
10Wins22
1.2Goals scored / match2.3
1.3Goals conceded / match0.8
8Clean sheets11
8Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Samsunspor at home with Galatasaray away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Samsunspor

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thorsten Fink
  1. 1O. KocukG
  2. 2J. MendesD
  3. 37L. SatkaD
  4. 4R. Van DrongelenD
  5. 17L. TomassonD
  6. 20Y. KayanM
  7. 29A. MakoumbouM
  8. 19C. NdiayeM
  9. 21C. HolseM
  10. 70T. CoulibalyM
  11. 9MariusF
Substitutes (9)

48 · E. B. Toruz

71 · I. Egribayat

18 · Z. Yavru

28 · S. Gonul

24 · T. Borevkovic

7 · E. Tavsan

55 · Y. E. Cift

23 · E. Albak

15 · A. B. Diabbate

Galatasaray

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Okan Buruk
  1. 19G. GuvencG
  2. 7R. SallaiD
  3. 6D. SanchezD
  4. 42A. BardakciD
  5. 4I. JakobsD
  6. 34L. TorreiraM
  7. 99M. LeminaM
  8. 10L. SaneM
  9. 11Y. AkgunM
  10. 53B. A. YilmazM
  11. 45V. OsimhenF
Substitutes (10)

12 · B. Sen

20 · I. Gundogan

90 · W. Singo

17 · E. Elmali

23 · K. Ayhan

9 · M. Icardi

77 · N. Lang

21 · A. Kutucu

93 · S. Boey

74 · R. Nhaga

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Samsunspor

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Okan Kocuk906.7—0—25—
Josafat Mendes876.6—01361
Ľubomír Šatka906.9—0—532
Rick Van Drongelen897.2—0—542
Logi Tomasson906.3—0—24—
Carlo Holse907.2—01523
Yalçın Kayan877.7—2—246
Cherif Ndiaye908.0203201
Antoine Makoumbou906.6—0—52—
Tanguy Coulibaly726.7—01132
Marius Mouandilmadji899.621512—
Elayis Tavsan186.2—027—
Zeki Yavru86.9—0—4—
Yunus Emre Çift86.6—0—7—
Ali Diabaté1——0—7—
Soner Gönül1——0—6—
İrfan Can Eğribayat———————
Efe Berat Törüz———————
Toni Borevković———————
Enes Albak———————

Galatasaray

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Günay Güvenç635.6—0—301
Roland Sallai845.7—0—251
Davinson Sánchez905.3—0—35—
Abdülkerim Bardakcı745.9—01192
Ismail Jakobs905.7—0—282
Lucas Torreira456.5—0—17—
Mario Lemina905.9—0—36—
Leroy Sané666.3—02131
Yunus Akgün907.310126—
Barış Alper Yılmaz747.0—0—15—
Victor Osimhen906.5—12171
İlkay Gündoğan456.3—0—30—
Batuhan Şen246.3—0—14—
Wilfried Singo166.2—0—8—
Noa Lang166.6—0—31
Sacha Boey116.6—0—2—
Kaan Ayhan———————
Eren Elmalı———————
Renato Nhaga———————
Ahmed Kutucu———————
Mauro Icardi———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSamsunsporDrawGalatasaray
Bet3654.754.331.62

Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:44 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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