Rayo Vallecano
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRERayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Ndiaye65′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Rayo Vallecano
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate95.1%Samsunspor
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Rayo Vallecano 5.0% · no further goal 91.8% · Samsunspor 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Rayo VallecanoSamsunspor
1.230Expected goals · API-Football0.930
5Shots on target2
17Total Shots9
43%Ball Possession57%
12Corner Kicks1
16Fouls8
2Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves6
285Total passes393
201Passes accurate315
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | — |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | +5 | 13 | — |
| 6 |  Samsunspor | 7 | +5 | 13 | ↑ 6 |
| 7 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Samsunspor
→Current progressionSamsunspor
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rayo Vallecano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Samsunspor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Samsunspor
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Samsunspor’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rayo Vallecano
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Samsunspor
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KayserisporHome · Süper Lig2–1Rayo VallecanoHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–3FenerbahçeAway · Süper Lig2–3AntalyasporAway · Türkiye Kupası2–0Gaziantep FKHome · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Fatih KaragümrükAway · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–0AntalyasporAway · Süper Lig1–3TrabzonsporHome · Süper Lig0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rayo Vallecano at home with Samsunspor away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:35 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Rayo VallecanoSamsunspor
9Matches played9
22Points earned16
7Wins5
2.3Goals scored / match1.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.0
4Clean sheets5
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rayo Vallecano at home with Samsunspor away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-3-3Inigo Perez
- 13
A. BatallaG - 2
A. RatiuD - 24
F. LejeuneD - 5
Luiz FelipeD - 3
P. ChavarriaD - 7
I. PalazonM - 6
P. CissM - 17
U. LopezM - 19
J. de FrutosF - 9
AlemaoF - 18
A. GarciaF
Substitutes (11)
1 · D. Cardenas
30 · A. Molina
8 · O. Trejo
15 · G. Gumbau
22 · Pacha
4 · P. Diaz
23 · O. Valentin
12 · I. Akhomach
32 · N. Mendy
20 · I. Balliu
10 · S. Camello
Samsunspor
Confirmed formation3-5-2Thorsten Fink
- 1
O. KocukG - 55
Y. E. CiftD - 37
L. SatkaD - 4
R. Van DrongelenD - 2
J. MendesM - 29
A. MakoumbouM - 5
C. YukselM - 21
C. HolseM - 17
L. TomassonM - 9
MariusF - 19
C. NdiayeF
Substitutes (10)
48 · E. B. Toruz
71 · I. Egribayat
11 · E. Kilinc
18 · Z. Yavru
28 · S. Gonul
24 · T. Borevkovic
70 · T. Coulibaly
23 · E. Albak
99 · E. Ceesay
25 · F. Atoen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 2 |
| Florian Lejeune | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Luiz Felipe | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Josep Chavarría | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Isi Palazón | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Unai López | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | 2 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 80 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| Alemão | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Álvaro García | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 32 | — |
| Iván Balliu | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Pedro Díaz | 10 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Óscar Valentín | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Sergio Camello | 10 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Nobel Mendy | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Molina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Espino | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Trejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Samsunspor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | 90 | 9.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | 80 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 58 | — |
| Ľubomír Šatka | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 60 | — |
| Rick Van Drongelen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Josafat Mendes | 80 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 3 |
| Antoine Makoumbou | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Celil Yüksel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Carlo Holse | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Logi Tomasson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 18 | 3 |
| Cherif Ndiaye | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Emre Kılınç | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Toni Borevković | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Efe Berat Törüz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Yavru | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soner Gönül | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franck Atoen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Ceesay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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