Nacional
2/5Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs FC Porto match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Bednarek60′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalFC Porto
0.650Expected goals · API-Football0.450
2Shots on target5
9Total Shots8
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks8
13Fouls11
4Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves2
294Total passes328
220Passes accurate261
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Porto 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Porto
4/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect FC Porto’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
5 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
FC Porto
9 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with FC Porto away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
NacionalFC Porto
21Matches played21
21Points earned56
5Wins18
1.3Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match0.4
4Clean sheets15
5Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with FC Porto away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation4-3-3Tiago Margarido
- 1
Kaique PereiraG - 16
A. NunezD - 33
C. GoncalvesD - 38
Ze VitorD - 5
Jose GomesD - 26
J. SilvaM - 6
Matheus DiasM - 28
LizieroM - 7
WitiF - 9
J. RamirezF - 11
Paulinho BoiaF
Substitutes (9)
50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
8 · M. Baeza
10 · Daniel Junior
15 · C. Labidi
19 · L. Joao
24 · L. Vallier
30 · Watts
88 · Deivison
99 · Pablo Ruan
FC Porto
Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
- 99
D. CostaG - 20
A. CostaD - 3
Thiago SilvaD - 5
J. BednarekD - 12
ZaiduD - 8
V. FroholdtM - 22
A. VarelaM - 86
R. MoraM - 11
PepêF - 27
D. GulF - 77
O. PietuszewskiF
Substitutes (9)
14 · Claudio Ramos
7 · William Gomes
10 · G. Veiga
13 · P. Rosario
17 · B. Sainz
21 · D. Prpic
29 · T. Moffi
42 · S. Fofana
73 · G. Bras
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Alan Núñez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Francisco Gonçalves | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | 1 |
| José Gomes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 3 |
| Joel Silva | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 4 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Liziero | 85 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Witi | 71 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Jesús Ramírez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Paulinho Bóia | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 |
| Miguel Baeza | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Pablo | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Lenny Vallier | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Chiheb Labidi | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | — | 2 |
| Kevyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deivison Souza Brito | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Gustavo Watts | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas João | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Porto
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Alberto Costa | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Thiago Silva | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| Jan Bednarek | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | — |
| Zaidu Sanusi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Victor Froholdt | 74 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Alan Varela | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Mora | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Pepê | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Deniz Gül | 74 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Oskar Pietuszewski | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Gabri Veiga | 31 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Borja Sainz | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Seko Fofana | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Terem Moffi | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| William Gomes | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Prpić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rosario | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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