Estrela
1/7Wins
0.6Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREEstrela vs Tondela match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Bebeto4′ (pen)
Pedro Maranhao75′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EstrelaTondela
1.130Expected goals · API-Football1.290
3Shots on target5
15Total Shots11
67%Ball Possession33%
5Corner Kicks3
12Fouls17
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
486Total passes245
439Passes accurate189
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tondela
0/5Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estrela
7 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Tondela
5 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with Tondela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstrelaTondela
22Matches played22
23Points earned15
5Wins3
1.2Goals scored / match0.7
1.8Goals conceded / match1.7
5Clean sheets3
9Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with Tondela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Joao Nuno
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 17
J. EncadaD - 30
Luan PatrickD - 4
S. LekovicD - 83
OtavioD - 6
K. JanssonM - 99
A. MarcusM - 39
G. DoueM - 19
P. MoreiraM - 11
JovaneM - 20
S. van HooijdonkF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Dudu
3 · Ni
7 · L. Antonetti
9 · Rodrigo Pinho
10 · I. Stoica
21 · M. Scholze
26 · B. Brahimi
28 · T. Moustier
63 · A. Sola
Tondela
Confirmed formation5-4-1Cristiano Bacci
- 31
BernardoG - 2
BebetoD - 44
J. SilvaD - 4
C. MarquesD - 20
B. MedinaD - 27
R. ConceicaoD - 7
Pedro MaranhaoM - 10
J. HodgeM - 97
CiceroM - 90
M. AikoM - 23
B. KimpiokaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Canizares
5 · J. Afonso
8 · H. Tavares
15 · S. Sithole
16 · Rony Lopes
32 · J. Rodriguez
48 · T. Manso
70 · M. Ouattara
79 · H. Felix
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 96 | 2 |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Otavio | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 65 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 31 | 1 |
| Eddy Doué | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 56 | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 30 | 1 |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Max Scholze | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Billal Brahimi | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Ianis Stoica | 25 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Tom Moustier | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Eduardo Dos Santos Haesler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antonetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Bebeto | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 |
| João Silva | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Christian Marques | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Brayan Medina | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 5 |
| Maranhão | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 2 |
| Joe Hodge | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Cicero | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Makan Aïko | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 |
| Hugo Félix | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Hélder Tavares | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Siphephelo Sithole | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| João Afonso | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Manso | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Lucas Cañizares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony Lopes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moudjatovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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