AVS
2/8Wins
2.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect AVS’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREAVS vs Estrela match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.3%AVS
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.2%Estrela
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: AVS 3.4% · no further goal 92.3% · Estrela 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AVSEstrela
0.760Expected goals · API-Football0.880
3Shots on target6
9Total Shots14
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks9
15Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves3
263Total passes408
177Passes accurate328
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 35 | -18 | 31 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 | AVS | 35 | -40 | 22 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AVS 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estrela
1/8Wins
0.5Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AVS
8 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Estrela
8 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AVS at home with Estrela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AVSEstrela
23Matches played23
8Points earned23
1Wins5
0.8Goals scored / match1.2
2.5Goals conceded / match1.8
1Clean sheets5
12Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AVS at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AVS
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Joao Henriques
- 1
AdrielG - 97
Mateus PivoD - 33
A. SantosD - 3
Paulo VitorD - 12
D. RivasD - 70
RoniM - 11
T. AkinsolaM - 23
G. MendoncaM - 27
A. AlgobiaM - 20
D. DuarteM - 7
TomaneF
Substitutes (9)
14 · O. Perea
18 · Nene
19 · T. Galletto
21 · G. Neiva
24 · Kiki
26 · Ponck
35 · R. Semedo
42 · C. Devenish
88 · Trigueira
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Joao Nuno
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 17
J. EncadaD - 4
S. LekovicD - 14
Bernardo SchappoD - 83
OtavioD - 19
P. MoreiraM - 6
K. JanssonM - 99
A. MarcusM - 11
JovaneM - 10
I. StoicaM - 20
S. van HooijdonkF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Dudu
2 · Y. Kalley
3 · Ni
8 · Robinho
9 · Rodrigo Pinho
18 · J. Meireles
26 · B. Brahimi
28 · T. Moustier
39 · G. Doue
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AVS
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Mateus Pivô | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Aderllan Santos | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Paulo Vitor | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Leonardo Rivas | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Roni | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 3 |
| Babatunde Akinsola | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Gustavo Mendonca | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Ángel Algobia | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | 2 |
| Diego Duarte | 62 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Tomané | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Kiki Afonso | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Óscar Perea | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Carlos Ponck | 17 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Nenê | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Guilherme Neiva | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Simão | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rúben Semedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Castro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Galletto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | 58 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 74 | 2 |
| Otavio | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 45 | 4 |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
| Ianis Stoica | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | 56 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 34 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Eddy Doué | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Billal Brahimi | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jorge Meireles | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Eduardo Dos Santos Haesler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yahya Kalley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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